2017 The Memorial Tournament – June 1st – June 4th
Up to Ohio we go with the Memorial set to tee off from Muirfield Village GC in Dublin, OH. This is a Jack Nicklaus course, so we will most likely be seeing plenty of the Golden Bear throughout the week which helps draw in most of the game’s elite players. With the US Open only a few weeks away this will probably be the last chance to see many of the top tier in action before they make the trip up to Erin Hills.
This is another invitational so like last week the field will only be around 120 players, reduced from the normal 150ish that traditional events have. This will mean more players make the cut, and the 6/6% will be elevated.
Muirfield Village is a par 72 layout measuring in around 7400 yards so we are back to having four par 5’s to take advantage of. However, this course also has six long par 4’s all over 450 yards, so being able to survive those for the week will be a key test for the players. Courses fairways are easy to hit, but bombers need to still be careful as the rough is unforgiving if you start spraying the ball. Still, I think Driving Distance is a plus and we are going to need players who hit a bunch of Greens in regulation as consistent scrambling opportunities is recipe for disaster at this place.
Greens are Bentgrass and fast, but those are more secondary stats than targeting the elite iron players and guys who can give themselves plenty of birdie opportunities this week. If you are not hitting the greens you better have the ability to save out of the sand and hole some long par putts because this course will test both of those things in a hurry.
Stacked field with most of the big names in attendance and ready to play. DJ, Day, Hideki and Spieth headline the field, but the depth is there with plenty of top 50 players to choose from. Again, the invitational angle is important to remember as a higher percentage of players make the cut and it will be very difficult for 5/6 to get much done this week unless some major chalk gets cut.
Well the Dean and Deluca turned out to be more memorable than I had I imagined. The wind was the story of the first two days with the AM/PM wave getting a big boost, but some players from the ugly side still managed to survive and get onto the weekend. Pretty much all the big names got thru the cut except Dufner who put on an ugly performance to miss on Friday.
Weekend saw a lot of big names contending and the leaderboard was bunched, but Kisner finally got over the hump this year and held on for a W. He had a few runner up showings this year and it seemed like every time he was leading late Sunday something would go wrong. I am a Kisner fan so I was happy to see him hold it down, and as many of you already know I also had a financial interest in seeing Kisner hold on. I was able to connect all the dots and had a team that took down the giant $8 and $36 GPP’s on Draftkings which was awesome. Had as nice of a sweat as you really could ask for with timely birdies pretty much anytime someone seemed to get within striking distance of the team and it was smooth sailing for most of the back 9 holes. Appreciate all the congrats messages from everyone and I am excited to keep it going this week so let’s get after it.
Dustin Johnson (12k DK, $19.7k FDraft) – Ton of talent at the top this week, but you have to consider DJ the favorite. With pricing so soft on DK it’s really easy to fit him in without any trouble and you can even pair him up with another top guy and have plenty of salary left for the other golfers. He should feast on these par 5’s and the longer par 4’s should not be a huge issue for someone as talented and who has the length of DJ.
Jason Day $10.3k DK/$17.7k FDraft – Day seems to be rounding into form and that starts with getting his putter back to where it was last year when he was the best of the best. Lives in Ohio, so close to home, and clearly has the talent to get it done against an elite field. His approaches are a little concerning, and Hideki also makes sense at a similar price point, but I will certainly have Day shares with the upside he brings.
Ricky Fowler $8.9k DK/$16.4k FDraft – Three straight MC’s at Muirfield for Ricky which is not ideal, but this DK price is awfully tempting. He missed the cut twice on the number and then last year by two strokes so it is not like he has been totally out of it after 36 holes. Fowler has been great off the tee, great with the irons and in the event he does miss some greens he is an elite sand player and scrambler.
Tony Finau $7.9k DK/$15.3k FDraft – Had the ugly side of the weather last week, but grinded it out to make the cut and then fizzled on the weekend to an uneventful T-29. Finau is a bomber who should like seeing open fairways, the four par 5’s and has solid course history in his two appearances here. Bentgrass is a welcome site for Tony who struggles with Bermuda greens, and although I expect him to be popular I plan to be overweight on Finau this week.
Kyle Stanley $7.4k DK/$13.7k FDraft – I dodged Stanley last week which was huge, but if you breakdown the stats he just had an awful putting week which is the easiest thing to forgive / correct. Stanley still grades out as one of the best ball strikers in the field and I am sure a lot of people will be jumping off of him after last week’s showing. Has not played in this event in the last few years, but should set up well against this course and if his putter responds he will be a nice mid-range target this week on both DK and FDraft.
Gary Woodland $7.2k DK/$13.9k FDraft – Did not come into this week expecting to actively target Woodland, but he keeps popping for the stats I am looking at. Bomber off the tee, good with the irons and has a 4th place finish last year at Memorial. Recent form is lacking, but the talent is there and the price point is very appealing.
Marc Leishman $6.9k DK/$14.5k FDraft – Leishman continues to have a cold putter, but still is striking the ball well enough to be in the mix. If the putter ever returns to its usual form watch out because Leishman will be dangerous. This price range on DK is crowded with Byeung Hun An also in play at the same price point. Similar to Haas and Lee last week I will probably pair up Leishman and Benny An on several teams and work my way up from there. On Fantasy Draft Grayson Murray is dirt cheap and a solid option, but on Draftkings he is priced right about Leishman which is too rich to have a ton of exposure to besides maybe a few flyers in GPP’s.
Shane Lowry $6.6k DK/$14.1k FDraft – With such a deep field you are going to have quality players down in the sub 7k range and Lowry fits the mold. Coming off a 6th place finish across the pond last week in England and is lining up to be a solid punt this week. Very solid tee to green and with the irons, just needs to stop being god awful on and around the greens and he will easily pay off this cheap tag.
Fades & Notes
Brooks Koepka – Talent and upside always there with Koepka, but in a deep field he is priced at a premium. Stats do not grade out as elite, especially the proximity to hole and SG approach and I prefer to spend up to get Hideki or Day or drop down to the lower salaried guys this week. Depending on where I think ownership will fall may not be a total fade, but I will be underweight on Brooks.
Tiger Woods – Full fade in life right now, get it together guy.
Good luck everyone!
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