2017 FedEx St. Jude Classic – June 8th through June 11th
We still have another week until the US Open, but do not worry we have the FedEx St. Jude Classic on tap from TPC Southwind in Memphis, TN. Let’s be honest, the field this week is just plain awful, with most of the elites already heading for Erin Hills to prep for the US Open. All is not lost though as tournaments like this give you a chance to take some lesser known players and even roster some people you may have not known existed before this week started.
Being the week before a major get ready to have some random WD’s for any minor illness, pain or just the general I started 6 over thru 9 and now I do not want to play. There is no way to predict this, but keep an eye on twitter before lock as I would not be surprised to see some WD’s right before we are set to get underway.
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TPC Southwind is a pretty difficult course with a winner usually between -10 and -15 and a cut slightly over par most years. The players will face a par 70 roughly ~7250 in length so being a bomber is not a necessity and you can find a lot of different types of golfers who have excelled here. Water is a major factor here so being able to avoid the drink will put you a leg above most and on the inside track to succeed.
Narrow fairways and small greens are going to make scrambling important as players are going to have to get up and down often around this place. Targeting elite ball strikers seems to be the way to go when talking tee to green, but that’s usually a pretty safe option no matter what event we are at. Greens are Bermuda so that is something to keep in mind if you are looking over putting statistics, but I consider that more of a tiebreaker than something I am weighing heavily.
We are back to a full field after a few weeks of invitationals, but this week that means just some extra guys who may or may not be made up. It is going to be a fine line of trying to target some sneaky under the radar plays and just being stupid and targeting guys who are barely professionals over guys who play every week on PGA tour. Up top we have some legit talent with Fowler, Koepka and Adam Scott leading the charge, but it drops off fast after that. Plus, we have Mickelson playing after saying he is skipping the Open next week for his daughter’s graduation. I always assume the worst/ ulterior motives with Phil so I would not be shocked on him still finagling a way to tee it up next week even after saying he was going to miss the tourney.
I was at a wedding in Maine all weekend which was a great time, but the lobsters and alcohol took a serious toll on my watching golf time. I basically saw Dufner smash the field thru 36 holes, missed him blow up on Saturday, and got back home Sunday to see him nail that putt and beat Fowler. I had a ton of Fowler, but was still happy for Dufner as it is really tough to come back after being in the driver’s seat and blowing it.
I am hopefully on the start of a heater with a really solid showing this week after last week’s big hit. Fowler, Stanley, and some of my cheapies like Lowry and Bubba really played well and I was able to survive Rahm and DJ both shockingly getting cut. That was mostly due to having a ton of Day and some Spieth up top, but overall it was nice to have another positive week and hopefully we can keep that momentum going this week and into the US open.
** As always keep an eye on weather and wind and this week those WD’s. If you are around Wednesday night 9 PM EST check out the premium lineup builder show where we will update and break down the latest info we get as this article is written a few days before lock **
Brooks Koepka (11.5k DK, $18k FDraft) – Massive upside with Koepka and he has two straight top 5’s here in Memphis. I was really surprised to see Rickie Fowler in this field, figured he would be in WI already prepping, and am not sure of his motivation and prefer the slight savings with Koepka this week. Was off Brooks last week, but if he can avoid blowups and scramble better than he has so far this year I expect him to be there with a chance to win come Sunday.
Adam Scott $11k DK/$17.6k FDraft – Scott is starting to show the form that we are used to seeing, but has not put it together for 72 holes yet this year. Still an elite ball striker and I think him playing a few weeks in a row is a positive as he has been flying between US and Australia a lot this year which cannot be good for consistency and rhythm. Like him this week and think he will be grinding hard to be in peak form for the Open next week.
Ryan Palmer $9k DK/$15.6k FDraft – Solid course history and has been better this year after a dreadful start. Risk is always there with Palmer because he has some really cold putting rounds, but that gives him tremendous upside when he heats up. Price is pretty premium on DK and a little softer on Fantasy Draft, and in such a weak field I will have some GPP shares in hopes we get the good Palmer on the greens and the winning upside that he brings.
Kevin Chappell $8.8k DK/$15.8k FDraft – Since his breakthrough win he has been really quiet only playing a few times and not making much of a splash. Like Chappell against a weaker field like this as he has elite talent when he is on and the upside is tremendous. Scrambling is a concern with him so if he is not hitting greens it could be trouble, which makes me only want to consider him in GPP’s this week.
Kyle Stanley $8.4k DK/$15.7k FDraft – Stanley is going to be really popular this week, but I will still have plenty. He might be the best ball striker on tour right now and is playing maybe the best golf of his career, it seems only a matter of time before Stanley puts one together and gets a win this year.
Ian Poulter $7.6k DK/$15.1k FDraft – This is a first and a last most likely. I do not like Poulter and rarely if ever use him so I am stunned that he grades out as well as he does for me. In solid form, course history checks out and he is motivated to keep this run going. I actually think he will be decently popular maybe double-digit ownership, but nothing insane and he makes a nice mid-range play this week.
Peter Uihlein $7.2k DK/$14.7k FDraft – Uihlein is one of those players trying to qualify for the US Open before this tourney begins. Even if he gets a spot I still like him this week if he stays in the field as he is motivated to get his tour card and has been playing some solid golf lately. Price is in check and in this field Uihlein is one of the more talented players, giving him great upside.
JT Poston $6.7k DK/$13k FDraft – Super cheap price tag on DK & FDraft and Poston has been really consistent so far this year making 8 of his last 9 cuts. Seems like a natural fit for last man in cash and in GPP’s provides plenty of salary relief. If he makes the cut he should easily return value and is one of the safer options you are going to find in this price range. Again, he is another trying to get into Open so keep an eye on that as we get closer to lock.
Grayson Murray $6.5k DK/$12.8k FDraft – Sites are not adjusting this guy’s price even though he is finding his form on the course. His twitter form is still god awful, but that can only help lower ownership as people do not like to play people they root against. After an ugly start to the year Murray is really coming on and his talent does not reflect his cheap tag in a field this soft.
Fades & Notes
US Open Qualifiers – This is one that is hard to quantify / not an auto fade, but as this article is being written there are a ton of players who are trying to qualify for the open. Some will get in and that may mean they will WD as we get closer to lock, or just be uninspired this week. On the flip side, some players will have all the motivation in the world this week to try and win and possibly get into the field next week so keep an eye on this as we get closer to Thursday.
Good luck everyone!
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