2017 Tour Championship – Thursday, September 21st through Sunday, September 24th
We have finally made it to the last event of the golf year if you do not count the President’s Cup which is like the Ryder Cup except its vs the rest of the world, not Europe. This week it is the final 30 players left in the FedEx cup competing for the trophy and the giant pay day that comes with winning. It has been an awesome golf year and it should be a wild finish to see who can take this tourney home.
For DFS purposes 30 guys in the field makes this a non-cut on steroids. I am playing a little, but would caution anyone from going crazy this week as it is very difficult to avoid dupes and gain edge. Still, there are some solid GPPs out there and I am down to the final 30 in the survivor tourney so we have a few reasons to try and break down this mini slate.
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The finale will be decided at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta, GA. East Lake is a par 70 measuring out around 7,375 yards, making it a sizable course and one that could be a tough test for the players. The fairways are narrow, and playing out of the rough consistently is a recipe for disaster.
Greens are Bermuda which is an angle to consider, but overall it is the same story as most weeks on tour with us searching for players with solid tee to green (T2G) and/or with great scrambling ability. I do not think length is a must here, but it is a bonus as long as you are not playing out of the really thick stuff. If the weather is going to be an issue we should bump up scramblers as there will be less greens hit, but if we have ideal conditions birdies or better / proximity to hole both will get a boost. In non-cuts, we always want those volatile players and this week is no different except for having only 30 players to choose from.
As I have said a few times already, we only have 30 players to choose from. This means everyone gets placement point automatically, and to really contend in a bigger tourney you are going to need close to a perfect lineup. I rarely think it is important to leave money on the table, but this is a week you would be wise to consider leaving at least a few hundred dollars off of lineups because having a ton of people duplicate your lineup kills your EV.
Was pretty focused on getting thru in that survivor tourney and thanks to Jason Day and DK’s stupid hole in one bonus I did just that. Gave it a run in a few GPPs and finished pretty high so it was a good week all around in golf. Leishman was impressive, he just did not miss with the putter, especially when he needed to respond or felt any sort of pressure. Patrick Reed…. good job good effort :/
Dustin Johnson $11.4k DK/$19.1k FDraft – He is within the top 5 in the standings, so if he wins he automatically wins the FedEx Cup. His length can be a real factor here, and if he keeps it somewhat straight he will have a ton of wedges and birdie opportunities this week. Obviously, the price is steep, but DJ seems like one of the favorites to be holding the trophy on Sunday.
Ricky Fowler $10.9k DK/$18.6k FDraft – Riding with Ricky once again. Does not have great course history here, but I think this is the best Ricky has ever been so I am not worried. Elite scrambler who always seems to be in the hunt, but has not fully broken thru in the biggest events. Sitting 6th in the FedEx cup standings so technically does not control his own destiny even though with a win he would be almost a lock to win the FedEx Cup.
Justin Rose $8.9k DK/$17k FDraft – Well Rose is officially back in form. He was dominant last week with 21 birdies and 3 bogeys, but he ran into Leishman who was running hotter than the sun. Still, Rose loves East Lake with two runner ups, and four top 10 finishes in the last four appearances. Solid form and solid course history make him a great mid-range target this week.
Paul Casey $8.6k DK/$17.2k FDraft – Feels kind of like the lifetime achievement award they give at the Oscars, as I definitely feel inclined to play Casey after the year he has had. I have rostered him more than anyone else this year and he has consistently performed, but never seems to win. Last week he took a step back T2G and that is concerning, but he is going to a course he likes with two straight top 5 finishes. Do not think he is a must play like he has been a few weeks this year, but for that salary you should expect another top 10 finish for Casey.
Matt Kuchar $7.7k DK/$16k FDraft – If it seems like East Lake is going to play tough due to weather then Kuchar becomes more appealing. He is not a crazy high scorer, but he can grind with the best of them and tough conditions make that the style of golfer you want. Not someone who is going to make or break your lineup, but you could do a lot worse than Kuchar at $7,700 this week. His course history reflects his steady safe nature with a four top 15 finishes in the last five years, but nothing better than T10.
Gary Woodland $6.4k DK/$14.4k FDraft – Price is at $6,400 on DK which is awfully tempting. Woodland scares me because he sometimes sprays off the tee which is a death sentence at this course. Still, four rounds for a bomber who does not need anything special to pay off this cheap tag makes him a nice punt play.
Good luck everyone!
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