2017 Dell Technologies Championship – Friday, September 1st through Monday, September 4th
First leg of the Fed Ex Cup is dunzo and we are down to the final 100 players. We go from Long Island to Boston with the Dell Technologies Championship set to be played at TPC Boston. This used to be called the Deutsche Bank, but like every other tournament lately it seems that their sponsor has changed. This tournament is over Labor Day so we have something really atypical – a Friday to Monday schedule instead of the normal Thursday to Sunday.
This week we have 100 golfers eligible to play and they are expecting 96, with the top 70 set to move on and keep their hopes alive to make the final week of the playoffs.
TPC Boston is a par 71 measuring out right around 7300 yards, but past results show this course is gettable so expect to see birdie streaks and U70 bonuses to play a role. Since this is a par 71 players have 3 par 5’s to take advantage of and very generous fairways to hit into. This should allow bombers to really feel comfortable knowing that unless you really spray it you are going to still have an opportunity to score on this course. You are going to want to target players who excel T2G and have some upside as birdies will be important this week. I will lean distance over accuracy, and want those elite iron players who can dial it in and set up plenty of birdie chances on these bentgrass greens.
We are down to the top 100 players in the FedEx standings so this is still a major level field, but with less options down towards the bottom. There is a normal cut this week so the 6/6 % should be thru the roof since only 25 or so guys will get cut. You can look at that and say I can take some risks and feel confident I still can get 6/6 thru, or you can say I have to make sure I do not get anyone cut because 5/6 is going to have no chance to do any damage this week. Like most things the optimal most likely falls in the middle of those two ideas, as you want to take a few chances without going crazy and taking guys who are way too risky.
I was in Vegas this weekend so I did not get to watch much golf Thursday-Saturday. I did get to sweat Sunday golf while flying home and it turned out to be an instant classic with DJ and Spieth battling. I was Team DJ and was sure he was dead after his drive on 18, but he was masterful with the recovery, saving par in incredible fashion. His drive on the 1st playoff hole was beyond incredible and I was desperately looking around the plane to see if anyone else was watching this because it was so absurd. DJ winning closed a really nice week for me, moved on in the FWGC and had a bunch of top 10 gpp finishes so that was exciting.
Quick side note – I have been on a plane during Sunday golf twice this year – First was the Travelers where Spieth holed out from bunker to win over Berger in the playoff and then this weekend where DJ won over Spieth. Basically, anytime I fly expect Spieth to be in a playoff.
** As always keep an eye on weather and wind. If you are around Wednesday night 9 PM EST check out the deep dive show where we will update and break down the latest info we get as this article is written a few days before lock **
Jordan Spieth $12.1k DK/$19k FDraft – You can’t go wrong at the top with either DJ or Spieth. I think DJ takes the lion’s share of ownership, but for good reason. Spieth does benefit from generous fairways, as he should keep it in play and have more chances for birdies which means anything from inside 25 feet as his putting is elite. Depending on how ownership plays out I may reduce or add, but you really are going to be hard pressed to find anything wrong with the elite players in this field.
Ricky Fowler 9.7k DK/$17.4k FDraft – Had a terrible Saturday which took him out of contention, but other than that Ricky was his usual consistently good self. Now he gets a price drop and he might be somewhat overlooked with DJ and Spieth being the players making the most noise lately. I have most of these top top golfers somewhat bunched in terms of rankings so when a few are sub 10k I will naturally gravitate towards them and use that savings to bolster the rest of my roster.
Jason Day $9.5k DK/$17.4k FDraft – I have been on Day for weeks now, so no way I am going to stop now since he is showing signs of life. Surged last Sunday to a top 10 finish and is starting to regain some of that elite form we are used to seeing. He is not going to be overlooked like he was a few weeks ago, but with a somewhat reasonable salary I have no problem going back to Day and hope this is the week he gets back in the win column.
Paul Casey $8.9k DK, $16.4k FDraft – As consistent as consistent gets, another top 10 finish and was never really in contention. That has been Casey’s entire year, he is wildly consistent, but rarely threatens to take home the trophy. Super safe cash option, he has strung together 5 straight top 15 finishes and even before then was play solid golf.
Justin Rose $8.1k DK/$15.5k FDraft – Rose showed signs of life and now im getting pulled back in. This may be too reactive, but at this price if Rose goes out and contends you are in massive trouble if you do not have any exposure. Rose was the best with the approaches last week and that is always going to put you in contention. If he can stay somewhat consistent off the tee and be dialed in with the irons/wedges he will crush this ~8k tag.
Phil Mickelson $7.5k DK/$12.9k FDraft – Mickelson is the kind of guy I am a little more comfortable taking because it is such an easy cut. He still has the skills to somehow get cut in this small field, but he would really have to go full Mickelson to do that. If he can get thru the cut he should outscore his price and makes a very interesting GPP play in the midrange.
Patrick Cantlay $7.2k DK/$14.4k FDraft – I am super late to the party with last week being the first time I rostered Cantlay all year. He is playing great golf and has been for a while now , but I was a little hesitant to see if he could keep it up. It seems like he can and is primed to really start contending with the way he can strike the ball. Consistency is there with a very appealing price tag , the one thing I am interested in is the ownership level. If he is getting talked up all over I may reduce my exposure , but I will have Cantlay teams no matter what this week.
Tony Finau $7.1k DK/$13.9k FDraft – Wrote the following last week and it is exactly how I feel again this week:
“Going to be the chalk in this range, as his price is way lower than most expected. Has not missed a cut since the Players so the consistency is there, plus he is a bomber who can score. Ownership is really going to be up there, but it seems like Finau makes sense on almost all levels to return value at a reduced price tag”
Marc Leishman $6.9k DK/$14.4k FDraft – Missed cut last week, but that was mostly due to ugly putting. Still he will have to improve on the greens to contend, but this price is really tempting. Sub 7k for a consistent solid player like Leishman is a spot where I am willing to overlook a recent MC and rely more on the season long data we have with him. FantasyDraft he is 14.4 which is more in line with what I expect him to be, so the value is not as appealing over there.
Good luck everyone!
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