NHL Power Plays 4/5/17        

This week’s schedule is a bit more up and down. The goal of this article is to highlight and summarize the potential plays so we can focus our salary cap resources on a specific set of players.

There are just two games on Wednesday. Let’s get cracking on this brief edition of NHL Power Plays.

What Went Wrong?

Sadly, the Tuesday slate drove some nuts. However, Colorado unexpected defeated Chicago in overtime which may have helped others. However, for a majority, the Chicago chalk donkeys not hitting value did make a negative impact. There were some very low numbers that cashed in GPP’s and cash on a 13 game slate. That is not normal but it did happen. Several games were a lot more low scoring than most anyone expected. St. Louis laid an egg at home which did not help things because that was a game which had potential mini stack written all over it. Carolina and Minnesota did hit but even that was more one line and one-off based which helped some lineups but not others. Toronto was a let-down and Dallas chalk went south. Even the late hammer was more Edmonton based and featured balanced scoring mostly. Again, a late hammer needs something more amplified to make a difference.

What Went Right?

Hey, there were ten goals in Los Angeles which was great. Nick Shore had a four point night and was owned at less than 1% everywhere! Keith Kinkaid managed a 35 save shutout in one of the ugliest games of the year. Craig Anderson also pitched a shutout against Detroit. That was more predictable. The biggest surprise was the Tuukka Rask shutout over Tampa Bay which clinched a playoff spot for Boston. It was again that kind of night where guessing right on goalie and one or two players was enough to be in the money. In some cases, cash lineups did better than GPP’s. It was that kind of night which is why it is sometimes good to toss a cash out in a GPP just to see what may happen. Now, let’s get to Wednesday’s schedule.

The Schedule For Wednesday, April 5, 2017

AwayHomeTime (ET)
MontrealBuffalo7:30 PM
NY RangersWashington8:00 PM

 

* = Back end of back to back.  @ = Third game in four nights.

News And Notes (Well More Notes)

Like we mentioned before, FanDuel and DraftKings are running a main slate of two games starting at 7:30 PM ET. Here are some possible FantasyDraft Value Plays for tonight.

FantasyDraft Value Plays:

  1. Lars Eller (WSH) — $6800
  2. Andrew Shaw (MTL) — $7500
  3. Andre Burakovsky (WSH) — $8400
  4. Paul Byron (MTL) — $7500
  5. Dmitry Orlov (WSH) — $7300
  6. Nathan Beaulieu (MTL) — $6900
  7. New York Rangers Goaltending — $14,300 (it’s moderate risk!)

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Quick Plays (DraftKings pricing is used)

Centers

Nicklas Backstrom – $7000 – WSH vs NYR

Backstrom is a chalky play in cash and even in some GPP formats just because most will concentrate on the fact that the center has good point potential and is playing a team that loves to give up chances whether it is at home or on the road. The top line typically gives better than it gets so there is no contrarian play here. Whomever matches up with his line could have a long night also. This also leads to the possibility of a power play stack for Washington to gain price relief in that way. Derek Stepan is a decent contrarian option and is heating up. New York does play better on the road.

Phillip Danault — $4600 – MTL vs BUF

Danualt is a nice GPP play and cash option against Florida on Monday. The center has eight points and three goals over his last ten games. His shot volume is solid enough and playing with top talent like Max Pacioretty does not hurt. Florida will be playing very loose since they have been eliminated. Montreal could have even more in the way of chances than they usually do in Florida. Andrew Shaw could be a pivot play here even.

Wingers

Max Pacioretty — $7300 – MTL vs BUF

Pacioretty is a chalky play in tournaments. He has seven points in his last ten games which includes two goals. The winger has 33 shots over this span and is generating the most chances by far. Buffalo’s penalty kill is garbage poor and on the road, the Sabres allow over three goals a game with ease. Things did not go well against Toronto and the only real concern is the fact that Montreal is locked into a playoff position. When does Montreal start adjusting ice time or outright rest players? Chris Kreider and Evander Kane become lower priced pivots just in case.

Marcus Johansson — $4900 – WSH vs NYR

Johansson will be a moderate risk GPP play on Wednesday against the Rangers because some will still tend their favor toward the higher profile plays. The winger has 11 points and ten assists in the last ten games. The only concern is shot volume with just 14 shots in this span. Scoring chances with Johansson mostly depends on the players around him normally. However, he does have two goals and three points in three games against New York. The Rangers seem to have problems containing him and he does shoot more (2.67 shots per game) against them.

Defensemen

Kevin Shattenkirk – WSH vs NYR – $5600

Shattenkirk is a good GPP or cash play tonight against New York with some point upside. He can play only 20 minutes for Washington plus and yet can save nights where it looks like he has having a bad time of it. He has nine points in the last ten games and finally scored his first goal as a member of the Capitals. His first meeting against the Rangers featured several high-danger scoring chances but he did not convert. Going down to Brady Skjei or even Andrei Markov could prove to be profitable.

Goalies

Henrik Lundqvist – NYR vs WSH – $7300

The goalie is a moderate risk GPP play going up against a Washington team that has a ton of firepower. New York and Lundqvist plays better on the road (.921 road split and .901 home split as far as save percentage). Dynamic pricing helps the pick a bit more and his career numbers in Washington are excellent. He has two wins in three starts against Washington with a solid .929 save percentage. He is averaging 30 saves a contest this year versus the Capitals. That is right at the GPP threshold.

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If for whatever reason, you are a little queasy on Lundqvist then wait a little closer to confirmations. A lot of confirmations did not come in early. Tonight’s a night where one could even go with backup options but will they get the W? That is quite a question. This is the type of slate where risk could be rewarded with the right mix of chalk plays. Watch out for any late changes as well due to the flu, injuries, and rest. It has been a factor of late.

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There will be lots more on Twitter as always. Do not be afraid to ask the tough or the easy questions. You can follow me @ChrisWasselDFS on the social media. Good luck with tonight.