NHL Power Plays – April 30th
Stanley Cup Playoffs tonight features two games. It is like a present in many ways. Game two of the second round sometimes has unexpected adjustments along with the expected. The late nights could very well continue considering the games are spread out (8:00 and 10:30). Let’s get cracking on this edition of NHL Power Plays as the Western Conference takes the spotlight. Here is tonight’s schedule.
The Scene Shifts
Game number three of each series shifts the scene to Nashville and Edmonton. Nashville and St. Louis are tied at one and both teams have scored six goals. The key is game two showed the return of Vladimir Tarasenko, who scored two goals in the St. Louis 3-2 win. Both teams possess a nice balance of forwards but it comes down to the top lines. Nashville’s top line has not quite shown up just yet. They are a team that will have to create some of the pace a bit more because of how St. Louis plays. The Predators also must rush the puck up the ice with their defensemen better. St. Louis, early in Game 2, controlled that part of the game and it showed.
Edmonton is a case that is baffling. They are up 2-0 but the Oilers cannot win face-offs to save their life. Anaheim, like San Jose at times, dominated scoring chances and shot attempts for long segments. Connor McDavid has made his impact with his speed more than from a points perspective. Cam Talbot was good in game one and amazing in game two, with a little help from some posts now and then. Mark Letestu has been a pleasant surprise. The Oilers will need to control a bit more of the play as Anaheim has been dangerous in both games so far from an offensive standpoint. Their penalty kill keeps on allowing goals and that has been the bigger problem. Will luck change here? Let’s get to the particulars.
The Schedule For Sunday, April 30, 2017
|St. Louis||Nashville||3:00 PM|
* = No back end of back to back.
Quick Plays (DraftKings pricing is used)
Ryan Getzlaf – $7400 – ANA vs EDM
Getzlaf is a chalk play in cash and GPP formats just because he must get so many points just to hit value. He needs a point or two at least and/or a decent shot count. That is possible given that Getzlaf has 14 points in his last 11 games. Can Cam Talbot hold the fort down late yet again? That is a legitimate question given how fast paced that third period was in game one and two. Edmonton had few answers for Getzlaf who could seemingly create at will and has found his goal scoring touch this postseason. Connor McDavid is the other chalk play tonight from the center position and will be looking to get on the scoresheet. It’s just a question of spending the money.
Mark Letestu — $4000 – EDM vs ANA
Letestu is a moderate risk GPP play and cash option against Anaheim. The idea that the center has been very good on the man advantage against a bad penalty kill is encouraging. Anaheim has allowed nine power play goals in this postseason and is number in the league in unblocked shot attempts yielded. The forward has been a bit up and down as far as production but does have 11 blocks in his last nine contests. That adds a bit of a floor. Patrik Berglund and even Mike Fisher might be wildcard center plays on a slate like this.
Vladimir Tarasenko — $7600 – STL vs NSH
Tarasenko is still a chalky play in tournaments. He has shots and scoring chances galore and Leon Draisaitl along with Viktor Arvidsson make nice alternatives considering the price. Nashville slowed him down to just two shots in game one. The Russian rebounded with two goals in game two and had six shots with five scoring chances. Nashville should be able to get their best defensive pairing on him but again, can they contain Tarasenko like in Game 1? Expect the pace to go up a bit in Nashville which could suit Tarasenko more than hurt.
Jakob Silfverberg — $5700 – ANA vs EDM
Silfverberg will be a nice GPP play against Edmonton because he is on a bit of a heater once again at the right possible time. He has goals in consecutive games. There are other picks to be had here like Rickard Rakell (higher risk) and some other Ducks players. Sliding down to James Neal could be argued here as Neal created a lot of scoring chances much like Silfverberg. Edmonton is giving up shots and chances in bunches at even strength. The Anaheim winger has a very good match-up against Edmonton’s second line. It will be intriguing to see if the Oilers adjust to this. In the meantime, he is at least worth a play in a couple lineups.
Patrick Maroon – EDM vs ANA- $4600
Let’s get a little dangerous with this dicey pick for GPP’s and cash here as Maroon looked good unlike most of the Edmonton players in game number two. He had a goal on four shots but more importantly, he seemed to get into open positions faster than most any forward. Taking advantage of the few windows of space is key. Few generate that space like Connor McDavid so Maroon may get a couple more chances. One could take a swing at the value picks like David Perron or Colin Wilson. It is a slate where going bold could reward.
Ryan Ellis – NSH vs STL – $5100
Ellis is a solid play on Sunday against St. Louis because of an expected slight pace increase. He has points in six straight games and yet his price has stayed stagnant. How could you not keep taking advantage of this? Truthfully, we went Parayko-Ellis in some lineups on Friday and were rewarded handsomely. The Nashville defenseman has moderate to high block potential but the thinking is he may shoot more at home as well. There is a lot of good with playing Ellis and riding the wave is not a half bad idea. Alex Pietrangelo and Roman Josi are your chalk plays because of their slightly higher floors. Oscar Klefbom could be a consideration given the Edmonton home cooking and his four scoring chances in game two.
Andrej Sekera – EDM vs ANA- $4400
Sekera is a safer pick on Sunday given the volatility of what the value plays represent. He has exceeded value over his last four starts and has points in three of those games. There is a weird thing with the defenseman where he suddenly sees some good power play time here and there. It is fun to take a mid-range shot here as say an Ellis-Sekera scenario is still $1500 below average for a defensive pairing. That bit of price relief can mean something up the line. If Sami Vatanen does not play again, taking a shot at Brandon Montour one more time is not half bad and saves a good bit of dollars.
John Gibson – ANA vs EDM – $7400
Gibson is a high risk play for GPP and cash on Sunday given the short slate. The goalie has not played bad but the feeling is he should see more shots against from Edmonton as the scene shifts for Game 3. That may be a benefit because, at times, the Anaheim goalie looked bored. He showed against Calgary that he could handle the increased load. Anaheim is down 2-0 in the series but not out. Edmonton is a young team and projections suggest a bit of a correction tonight. However, risk is quite elevated because of how good Cam Talbot has been.
If for whatever reason, you are a little queasy on Gibson then pivot to Talbot perhaps. This is the type of slate where risk could be rewarded with the right mix of chalk plays. Watch out for any late changes. For Sunday, we will have a series capsule of what went right and wrong as the home scenes shift.
There will be lots more on Twitter as always. Do not be afraid to ask the tough or the easy questions. You can follow me @ChrisWasselDFS on the social media. Good luck with tonight.