NHL Power Plays 4/22/17
Stanley Cup Playoffs today features three games. It is like a present in many ways. The playoffs do not just start…they erupt! That is the best way to describe them. The late nights could very well continue considering the games are spread out (3:00, 8:00, and 10:30). Let’s get cracking on this edition of NHL Power Plays.
What Went Wrong?
The overtime games just did not quite go the way one expected. Toronto and Washington was a good bit lower scoring than anyone predicted. Ottawa and Boston was much the same and some of the chalk did not perform at all. As a matter of fact, some players were almost downright missing. The goaltenders were much better on Friday night much to the chagrin of DFS players.
What Went Right?
Hey, there was some goaltending like we said as Braden Holtby stopped all but one shot. Auston Matthews scored again but Justin Williams stole the show for Washington again. Little known Sean Kuraly had two goals which no one saw coming but David Backes managed two primary assists. That back-door value was an asset. With a two game slate and subsequent shorter slates, it is vital to go outside the box sometimes.
The Schedule For Saturday, April 22, 2017
|St. Louis||Minnesota||3:00 PM|
|Montreal||NY Rangers||8:00 PM|
|Edmonton||San Jose||10:30 PM|
* = No Back end of back to back.
Quick Plays (DraftKings pricing is used)
Logan Couture – $5700 – SJ vs EDM
Couture is a dicey chalk play in cash and even in some GPP formats just because he has only had one game in this entire series. His price has stayed steady for the most part. Couture’s low shot volume (nine shots over the past seven games is troubling). His role on the power play is high and during the rout in Game 4, Couture did have his best game. One can spend up to Eric Staal or even Connor McDavid but remember how chalky McDavid will be on Saturday.
Alex Galchenyuk — $4700 – MTL vs NYR
Galchenyuk is a moderate risk GPP play and cash option against New York. The fear is Galchenyuk is relegated to less power play time once again. He does have three assists in the last four games. There is some inherent risk here but Galchenyuk being listed as center does help. His shot volume is decent enough and New York does give up more scoring chances at home than on the road typically. Mika Zibanejad is in the price range as well but just as dicey.
Mark Letestu — $3400 – EDM vs SJ
Letestu is a solid GPP play on Saturday especially at his price. He has three points in the first five games of the series and is especially valuable on the power play where San Jose’s penalty kill has come into question. San Jose tends to allow a lot of unblocked shots in spurts but so does Edmonton. This game could be a little tighter than expected but no one knows what Edmonton will do in this situation. This is why depth could be so much more vital.
Max Pacioretty — $6600 – MTL vs NYR
Pacioretty is a super dicey play in tournaments. He has shots and scoring chances galore but few goals to speak of lately. The winger has one goal in his last 39 shots. Talk about a major case of bad luck at the worst possible time! He had another futile breakaway in Game 5 on Henrik Lundqvist. People forget that in the first three games, Pacioretty had five points against the Rangers. Does he finally remember his scoring touch before it is too late? Artturi Lehkonen makes a great depth play if one does not want to risk things on Pacioretty and he is only $3900 (has six goals in last nine games too).
Charlie Coyle — $4800 – MIN vs STL
Coyle will be a nice GPP play against St. Louis because he is on a bit of a heater once again at the right possible time. He has nine points in his last ten games and does have goals in the last two contests. Coyle has solid shot volume and is seeing a bit more ice time of late too. His opportunities have increased and some power play time too. Minnesota has played better in this series than it appears. Their shot and chance metrics have been much better than the Blues (like better than 60/40). Coyle is just a little more of a depth play.
Mikkel Boedker — $3600 – SJ vs EDM
Boedker is going to be low owned in tournaments simply because people will take a shot somewhere else. He had six points in his last nine contests. However, he did not play in six days before his two point outburst against Edmonton in game number five. There Is a low chance volume risk and limited playing time but in the playoffs, this is like trying to find gems in the rough. It is the time of the year where being a bit different is okay.
Drake Caggiula – EDM vs SJ- $3300
Let’s get a little dangerous with an ultra-dangerous risk pick for GPP’s and cash here as Caggiula did play on the top line with Connor McDavid in game five. He had five shots on goal and three scoring chances. His speed was particularly noticeable and San Jose had some issues. The problem was the conversion as goals did not quite happen. However, the Sharks were pinned in their zone quite a few times and could be again if the line is kept together.
Brent Burns – SJ vs EDM – $8000
Karlsson is a very high chalk play on Saturday but also extreme risk. His price makes him that but the enticing underlying numbers. He has just one goal on his last 41 shots. Chances have again been high and there have been games this series where Burns had literally single handedly pinned Edmonton in their own zone several times. The problem is the ownership issue. People will be enticed to own him even despite his lower than usual point production.
Brady Skjei – NYR vs MTL- $3700
Skjei sits at a nice price in cash and tournament games tonight. That alone will bump up his value because of a decent floor and match-up. The defenseman is more effective when he keeps firing from the point. In the playoffs, this is very simple. Keep doing it until they stop you. The problem with a young defenseman like Skjei is sometimes they stop. However, he has six points in his last nine games. Also, Skjei is New York’s biggest offensive threat from the blueline right now. The fact that his price has stayed pretty low is good news here. Matt Dumba is an intriguing possibility at this price. For middle of the road options, Oscar Klefbom is at least viable from Edmonton.
Devan Dubnyk – MIN vs STL- $7800
Dubnyk is a moderate risk choice for GPP and cash on Saturday given what is out there. However, he has only yielded six goals in four games. His save percentage has been very good and Jake Allen did look a bit vulnerable for the first time in game four. Dubnyk has made 100 saves on 106 shots in this series and that has gone overlooked a bit. That makes him a reasonable enough play and his price is not cost prohibitive. The likelihood of a lower scoring game here is enough when it comes to dangling the carrot.
If for whatever reason, you are a little queasy on Dubnyk then pivot to Allen or Lundqvist perhaps to be safe. No one is sure what will happen in New York either. This is the type of slate where risk could be rewarded with the right mix of chalk plays. Watch out for any late changes.
There will be lots more on Twitter as always. Do not be afraid to ask the tough or the easy questions. You can follow me @ChrisWasselDFS on the social media. Good luck with tonight.