NHL Power Plays – April 19th
Stanley Cup Playoffs tonight features four games. It is like a present in many ways. The playoffs do not just start…they erupt! That is the best way to describe them. The late nights could very well continue though there were no overtime games on Tuesday.
There are four games on Wednesday night’s slate. Let’s get cracking on this edition of NHL Power Plays.
What Went Wrong?
Edmonton forgot the memo where scoring is needed in the playoffs. Give San Jose credit as they shut out the Oilers. Pittsburgh and Columbus goaltending were missing in action from a DFS standpoint as usual. That game was more defense optional like Game 3. Montreal and New York were back to their low scoring ways. Last night’s focus was on one team and that was San Jose.
What Went Right?
Hey, there was some goaltending. Martin Jones was good in net with the shutout and Henrik Lundqvist stopped 23 of 24 shots in the win. After that, things did get ugly. The two highest owned guys were Lundqvist and Jones last night. San Jose hit the motherload with seven goals so if you went crazy stacking them, you should have been rewarded. Again, a mini game stack between Pittsburgh and Columbus was also good unless one had Alexander Wennberg apparently. Tonight is a four game slate but due to some uncertainty, the write-ups will be shorter so we can focus on shifts and more plays later. Let’s dig in.
The Schedule For Wednesday, April 19, 2017
|Edmonton||San Jose||9:30 PM|
* = No Back end of back to back.
Quick Plays (DraftKings pricing is used)
Sean Monahan – $6000 – CGY vs ANA
Monahan is an almost chalk play in cash and even in some GPP formats just because he has been much better in the last two games of this series. His price has crept upward a bit but not a lot. He has goals in three straight contests and Anaheim again is just giving up too many opportunities. Yes, blowing a three goal lead has huge consequences but Calgary’s top line should get ample chances. This all comes down to execution. Some can say the same for Eric Staal but too hard to go against St. Louis at this point. Staal could be a contrarian play tonight albeit an expensive one. Auston Matthews is better for one-offs because of his price unless you can squeeze in William Nylander or one of their defensemen as well.
Derrick Brassard — $4400 – OTT vs BOS
Brassard is a moderate risk GPP play and cash option against Boston. The fear is Boston figures out how to play his line by playing the same counterattacking style. However, the center has four points in his last two games on good shot volume and chance volume. Boston’s defense has Tommy Cross on it. Who? Exactly! There could be a few goals again in this game tonight and so far, Brassard has been the most reliable center in Ottawa this series.
Tyler Bozak — $4700 – TOR vs WAS
Bozak is a solid GPP play on Wednesday especially at his price. The first three games have featured some relatively high event hockey. Expect more of the same. These two teams just play some fun back and forth hockey. Again, the Bozak line is an excellent pivot point in this series as most of the offense comes from it on both sides at times. Many will be on Matthews tonight and rightfully so but any Toronto line kind of comes into play because of their balanced time on ice and utilization.
Vladimir Tarasenko — $7900 – STL vs MIN
Tarasenko is a super chalky play in tournaments. He had an assist during game three and lots of high danger chances. The Minnesota plan of funneling him into the middle did not work very well and the right winger was able to dance in and out of traffic. The Russian will get more favorable match-ups and with Jake Allen in Minnesota’s head, Tarasenko may get increased chances on transition situations alone.
William Nylander — $5800 – TOR vs WAS
Nylander will be a nice GPP play against Washington because lately home games have been a bit of an adventure. The first three games of the Montreal series has seen Nylander playing at a very good level. Game three saw him get three shots on six attempts and a goal. He was able to create plays and use his speed to get down low. Toronto is young and can feed off pace. This is the way they have to go at this if they expect to pull off the upset. Nylander will be a big cog in that plan. Mike Hoffman still makes a good contrarian option for Ottawa against Boston.
David Backes — $4700 – BOS vs OTT
Backes is going to be a little higher owned in tournaments than expected simply because people will take a shot on him for his value play alone. The Bruins make this backdoor play almost too viable because the forward can block some shots which does add value. He has points in two straight games and gets one exposure upward on the Boston depth chart. It is okay to string along price relief as long as one spends up in the right spots. Also, teams are pressing more because leads just are not very safe in these playoffs so far.
Vladimir Sobotka – STL vs MIN- $3400
Let’s get a little dangerous with a higher risk GPP pick here as Sobotka has point potential because of his ability to be a playmaker and he is playing top six minutes in good offensive situations. He has three points in four games so far since signing in St. Louis. The concern is the zero shots in the last two games. Sobotka has been missing the net a good bit. Maybe the two goals caused him to get too cute with his shot. He has to hit the net more to keep exceeding value.
Erik Karlsson – OTT vs BOS – $7500
Karlsson is a very high chalk play on Wednesday. Karlsson can still play half a game not at 100%. Think about that for a second. He played over 30 minutes in each of the last two contests in this series. The pain is manageable for him now and he has three points in the previous two games. His floor has been steadily increasing also. The risk is that his price is so much above every other defenseman on the slate. That 20% gap is tremendous so if one feels they need to slide down in value, it may be good to do it here.
Colton Parayko – STL vs MIN- $4700
Paryako sits at a nice price in cash and tournament games tonight. That alone will bump up his value because of a decent floor and match-up. The defenseman is more effective when he keeps firing that hard blast from the point. In the playoffs, this is very simple. Keep doing it until they stop you. The problem with a young defenseman like Parayko is sometimes they stop. However, that goal in game three gave him a real boost in confidence. It was easy to see and that has to scare the heck out of Minnesota. His power play ice time should inch upward as well. Minnesota could take more frustration penalties tonight.
T.J. Brodie – CGY vs ANA – $4000
Do not laugh! Brodie makes a decent value option tonight just because he has been averaging an assist a game over the past ten contests! His shot volume is poor at only one shot per night. However, he did have five shots in game two for what it is worth. This is a bit of a hit or miss proposition but Anaheim is just allowing so many opportunities. While Dougie Hamilton and Mark Giordano have largely busted this series, Brodie has had freedom to create for better or for worse.
Devan Dubnyk – MIN vs STL- $7500
Dubnyk is an insanely high risk choice on Wednesday given what is out there. However, he has only yielded six goals in three games. His save percentage has been solid and Jake Allen has just been ridiculous (three goals given up on 117 shots). This pick could blow up in our faces but every game has been low scoring and hit the under. There is some reason to suggest that St. Louis may get a bit nervous at the prospect of closing out Minnesota. Allen has swung at least two games by himself practically. Now it may be time for Dubnyk to return the favor. Allen will be higher owned honestly.
If for whatever reason, you are a little queasy on Dubnyk then pivot to Allen perhaps to be safe. No one is sure what will happen in Calgary. This is the type of slate where risk could be rewarded with the right mix of chalk plays. Watch out for any late changes.
There will be lots more on Twitter as always. Do not be afraid to ask the tough or the easy questions. You can follow me @ChrisWasselDFS on the social media. Good luck with tonight.