NHL Power Plays – April 17th
Stanley Cup Playoffs tonight features four games. It is like a present in many ways. The playoffs do not just start…they erupt! That is the best way to describe them. Out of almost nowhere, there was another overtime game on Sunday. The late nights could very well continue.
There are four games on Monday night’s slate. Let’s get cracking on this edition of NHL Power Plays.
What Went Wrong?
San Jose forgot the memo where scoring is needed in the playoffs. Give Edmonton credit as they shut out the Sharks for a second time. Marc-Andre Fleury and Sergei Bobrovsky looked human but Pittsburgh found a way to win to put Columbus on the brink. Minnesota is also near elimination after scoring just one goal again versus St. Louis. The New York Rangers looked virtually lifeless in a 3-1 home loss to Montreal on Sunday night. New York has lost six straight home playoff games now.
What Went Right?
Hey, there was some goaltending. Cam Talbot shut down Edmonton and Zack Kassian scored the game winner for the Oilers. Jake Allen saved the Blues’ bacon again in a 3-1 win. He has now stopped 114 of 117 shots in that series. Carey Price stopped all but one shot against New York. Jake Guentzel not only delivered but sent Columbus fans home unhappy. His hat trick was a huge coup for those who fades most of the chalk on Sunday. Cam Atkinson scored twice in a losing effort for Columbus yet was relatively low owned. Alex Radulov had a goal and assist for Montreal along with that highlight reel goal. Anyway, here is tonight’s schedule.
The Schedule For Monday, April 17, 2017
* = No Back end of back to back.
Quick Plays (DraftKings pricing is used)
Patrice Bergeron – $7300 – BOS vs OTT
Bergeron is a chalk play in cash and even in some GPP formats just because he has not hit value yet despite points in the first two games. The scene shifts to Boston and every number or metric ticks upward for the Boston center. We have noticed that Erik Karlsson is not 100% and that is great news for the top Boston line. Some will pivot to the second or find power play choices to bring the stack price down. Either way, Bergeron’s line should have a good amount more shot attempts than their opposition which means more chances and more point possibilities.
Sean Monahan — $5900 – CGY vs ANA
Monahan is a safer GPP play and cash option against Anaheim. The shot volume is okay and the chances have been more than expected. Overall, Calgary has 67 shots in the first two games and have outplayed Anaheim from the second period onward in both contests. If Monahan can spearhead a better start, it could be a big night from the top line center. Anaheim is still giving up a lot of unblocked shot attempts. Both teams are undisciplined at times too. There will be chances. Ryan Johansen or even Jonathan Toews are slightly riskier choices.
Tyler Bozak — $4500 – TOR vs WAS
Bozak is a close to value GPP play on Monday especially at his price. The first two games have featured some relatively high event hockey. Expect more of the same. Tonight’s pricing structure is a bit different as far as dynamics. Less punt plays exist in these games than say Sunday night. There are some just not as many. The Toronto center has a line that plays the highest event of hockey (chances per 60) in the league. They have played better than expected in this series and could be something to eye tonight. James van Riemsdyk and Mitch Marner have been excellent so far in this series (stack option on DK). Bozak has points in his first two games and has missed several chances. Look to Jean-Gabriel Pageau as a wildcard from Ottawa tonight.
Patrick Kane — $8000 – CHI vs NSH
Kane is a high-risk chalk play in GPP’s tonight. How is that possible? Here is how. He has just one goal in his last ten games on nearly 30 shots. Kane normally shoots around 11-12% on the season or better. There is a law of averages here. Chicago does not have a goal yet in the series either. How long can that continue? Does the dam break tonight? Pekka Rinne has been perfect in net for the Predators but he could also be very ordinary at times too. The Blackhawks are up against it. Let’s see what Kane brings. Brad Marchand is another chalk pivot.
Johnny Gaudreau — $6300 – CGY vs ANA
Gaudreau will be a moderate risk GPP play on against Anaheim because the winger has struggled some with shot and chance volume. He also only has one point in his last four games and so far, Anaheim has mostly contained him in this series. Gaudreau should get matched up against the depth of the Ducks a bit more tonight. Even his home/road splits are close to even. The winger must turn on the jets early and often in game three. Calgary’s playoff lives depend on it honestly. Anaheim again will give power play chances and shots. Viktor Arvidsson or even Rickard Rakell could be nice choices in this price range.
Justin Williams — $5100 – WAS vs TOR
Williams is going to be an exposure play to get a little relief from playing Alex Ovechkin if that is the route some choose. The winger has been on fire of late with seven points in his last five games. He is averaging nearly three shots a game and his price has not crept up too much just yet. In these short playoff slates, it is all about setting up your stacks well to afford other stacks in GPP’s. Whiffing partially is better than whiffing completely here. Also, Ovechkin creates a ton of space when he is on the ice. If the left winger attempts double digit shot totals again, Williams could be a beneficiary.
Bobby Ryan – OTT vs BOS- $4100
Let’s get dangerous with an elevated risk GPP pick here as Ryan has point potential because he does have points in three straight games. He has exceeded value in all three and remains priced low enough given his solid ice time (around 16 minutes a night). The winger will be set up to take advantage of offensive situations against an injured Boston defense. Check to see who is in or out from Boston’s blueline just in case. Drew Stafford and Kris Versteeg are interesting choices here in this price range.
Kevin Shattenkirk – WAS vs TOR – $6200
Shattenkirk is a semi-chalk play on Monday. He has 13 shots on goal in the first two games against Toronto and the Maple Leafs are giving him the point a lot to shoot almost wide open from. As we have alluded to from the beginning, Toronto may have the most scoring chances per 60 but most of the season, they allowed among the most as well. At home, the Maple Leafs may only play more frenetic here especially if they get an early lead. Shattenkirk should also have chances on the power play where Toronto gave up way too many chances in game two. Roman Josi is in this price range or even Ryan Ellis if one is feeling more risky.
Dion Phaneuf – OTT vs BOS- $4200
Phaneuf sits at a nice price in cash and tournament games tonight. That alone will bump up his value because of a decent floor and match-up. This is a bit like chasing points but the floor is more the concern here as Boston can put some pressure on Ottawa especially with last line change. It is also expected to be a very contentious contest also. That could suit Phaneuf well as the game will be slower at times. There is some risk here but there is potential for reward.
Brandon Montour – ANA vs CGY – $3000
Montour could be a decent punt play with a little bit of point upside. He did play over 21 minutes last game and maybe has more trust defensive wise from the coaching staff than Shea Theodore. Maybe. Either way, he has looked better in the first two games of this series and has seen his role increase. Most will be off of him just because Calgary has some high-profile names from the blueline that could do well tonight (Hamilton and Giordano). Theodore has more offensive potential but is a bit more expensive if one goes this way.
Corey Crawford – CHI vs NSH- $7400
Crawford is a higher risk GPP and cash play going up against a Nashville team that just scored five goals in game two. This is dicey no question. When does Crawford steal a game? He was solid in game one and Nashville should come out firing. Chicago might too. That is the only problem in this play. There are flashbacks of series past where these two teams would get in some shootouts early. Crawford has had one cold April so far. With the season virtually on the line, is this the time to take a chance on a likely low owned player? Brian Elliott is another possibility tonight because of dynamic pricing.
If for whatever reason, you are a little queasy on Crawford then pivot to Elliott perhaps. No one is sure on Tuukka Rask which could make him the high risk/high reward player of the night. This is the type of slate where risk could be rewarded with the right mix of chalk plays. Watch out for any late changes.
There will be lots more on Twitter as always. Do not be afraid to ask the tough or the easy questions. You can follow me @ChrisWasselDFS on the social media. Good luck with tonight…the second night of the playoffs.