NHL Power Plays 4/16/17
Stanley Cup Playoffs tonight features three games. It is like a present in many ways. Night number one featured an explosion of sorts. The playoffs do not just start…they erupt! That is the best way to describe them. Out of almost nowhere, there was a double overtime game on Saturday. The late nights could very well continue.
There are three games on Sunday night’s slate. Let’s get cracking on this edition of NHL Power Plays.
What Went Wrong?
Chicago forgot the memo where scoring is needed in the playoffs. Give Nashville credit as they shut out the Blackhawks for a second time. Braden Holtby has also looked human and now Toronto and Washington are tied in their series at one. Anaheim and Calgary played their typical 3-2 game or what feels like it. Contrarian picks fared well last night much to the dismay of many. If only that early game had been on the main slate.
What Went Right?
Hey, there was some goaltending. Pekka Rinne getting another shutout was unexpected as could be. Let’s be honest! I had him in one lineup out of four on the night. Yes, that lineup placed well. John Gibson was very good late for Anaheim in their 3-2 win. Ryan Getzlaf had a goal and assist again in another tour de force performance. Kasperi Kapanen surprised everyone with two goals against Washington. That included the game winner in double overtime. Ryan Johansen had a goal and two assists in the Nashville shutout. What will happen this evening?
The Schedule For Sunday, April 16, 2017
|Montreal||NY Rangers||7:00 PM|
|Edmonton||San Jose||10:00 PM|
* = No Back end of back to back.
Quick Plays (DraftKings pricing is used)
Logan Couture – $5500 – SJ vs EDM
Couture is a high risk play in cash and even in some GPP formats just because he has not shown much in the first two games of this series. However, the scene shifts to San Jose and maybe that does mean something. He is playing a lot of minutes and the opportunities are there. It just has been a disaster of sorts for Couture. The key tonight will be can the Sharks make some adjustments on the power play. This is like trying to take another swing at it. Malkin, Crosby, and McDavid are chalky but choosing one of them may be essential in at least a couple lineups if one goes that route. Tomas Hertl may be a nice lower priced option.
Alexander Wennberg — $4700 – CLB vs PIT
Wennberg is a moderate risk GPP play and cash option against Pittsburgh. The fear is shot volume and just the trend that teams are rolling the Wennberg line as far as shot attempts and chances. However, with this game in Columbus, that line may get to see more of Pittsburgh’s depth. The first two lines from Pittsburgh were not good match-ups so maybe some home cooking. Maybe the scoring chances per 60 tilts a bit back in this line’s direction. Sam Gagner is the higher risk play but lower priced.
Andrew Shaw — $3900 – MTL vs NYR
Shaw is a value GPP play on Sunday especially at his price. The first two games have featured some relatively high event hockey. Expect more of the same. Montreal is a not so good road team and New York is a not so good home team. It is the type of game where goals could come in those garbage areas near the net. Shaw is an antagonist extraordinaire and can generate scoring chances on almost any line. He will be one to watch. Some pivots in this price range include Mark Letestu and even William Karlsson as a high risk punt play.
Jake Guentzel — $5800 – PIT vs CLB
Guentzel is a nice point potential play in tournaments. He had a goal and assist during game two and lots of high danger chances. The Columbus plan on shadowing the Crosby line may be a bit more effective tonight but Pittsburgh will still get opportunities. They are a good bit more than just Sidney Crosby. Their fast transition and accelerations will still cause Columbus some fits. Guentzel has ten points in his last eight games. Pittsburgh’s best possession and chance line can still get some work in tonight.
Rick Nash — $4900 – NYR vs MTL
Nash will be a moderate risk GPP play on against Montreal because lately home games have been a bit of an adventure. The first two games of the Montreal series has seen Nash playing at a very good level. Game two saw him get six shots on nine attempts and a goal. He was able to create plays and use his mass to get down low. If he plays at home like he did on the road then Carey Price could have some considerable headaches on Easter.
Joel Ward — $3800 – SJ vs EDM
Ward is going to be a little higher owned in tournaments than expected simply because people will take a shot on him for his value play alone. The Sharks were outworked particularly on their own power play in Game 2. That is a sobering thought to say the least. Ward is just one of those players that has come up big in playoffs past. Some have suggested Melker Karlsson as a center to use here but Ward in a critical game three has something tangible to it.
Zack Kassian – EDM vs SJ- $3400
Let’s get dangerous with a higher risk GPP pick here as Kassian has point potential because of his ability to be a pest and does have a better shot than most would expect. He had a huge shorthanded goal in game number two but had four shots on goal and four scoring chances. That was lost among the two shorthanded goals Edmonton scored. Kassian was able to get deep past San Jose’s depth defense and create opportunities. Until San Jose finds a solution there, Kassian becomes a value play once more.
Brent Burns – SJ vs EDM – $8000
Burns is a risky semi-chalk play on Sunday. Game two was a dud for the defenseman with just two shots on goal and he was outworked a ton on San Jose’s own power play. Besides the two short-handed goals, there were many lapses on defense by the Sharks that could have turned out more disastrous. The defenseman has to tilt the offensive scales and play downhill. It’s that simple. No deep numbers are needed here. San Jose has to move the puck up the ice and that starts with guys like Burns.
Ryan McDonagh – NYR vs MTL- $5200
McDonagh sits at a nice price in cash and tournament games tonight. That alone will bump up his value because of a decent floor and match-up. This is more of a Murphy’s Law type of scenario where New York now knows it cannot sit back and guys like McDonagh and even Brady Skjei have to rush the puck up the ice with pace. He has four points in his last eight games and has been very close to value based on his price point. Also, do expect a few more shots and chances created while McDonagh is on the ice. His defensive pairing was -21 in game two.
Kris Russell – EDM vs SJ – $3900
Do not laugh! Russell provides enough blocks to hit value as he had five more in game two. Providing, he keeps up that level of production, the floor is high enough. San Jose should generate more chances which means more potential for blocks. Watch Oscar Klefbom (leg) for Edmonton, if he cannot handle his full load of shifts then Russell may even see a shift or two extra. Every little bit helps in the NHL playoffs, especially when it comes to DFS.
Carey Price – NYR vs MTL- $7500
Price is a moderate GPP and cash play going up against a New York team that does have some issues at home. This is risky no question. When does Price steal a game? He was solid in games one and two but not that outstanding level most are accustomed to. Price did improve in the third period and overtime against the Rangers though and that may be vital going forward. The other dynamic risky play tonight is Sergei Bobrovsky for the same reason. Expect shots!
If for whatever reason, you are a little queasy on Price then pivot to Jones perhaps. No one is sure on Cam Talbot which could make him the high risk/high reward player of the night again. This is the type of slate where risk could be rewarded with the right mix of chalk plays. Watch out for any late changes.
There will be lots more on Twitter as always. Do not be afraid to ask the tough or the easy questions. You can follow me @ChrisWasselDFS on the social media. Good luck with tonight…the second night of the playoffs.