NHL Power Plays – 3/6/17
This week’s schedule is a bit more back to normal. The goal of this article is to highlight and summarize the potential plays so we can focus our salary cap resources on a specific set of players.
There are just four games on Monday. Let’s get cracking on this edition of NHL Power Plays.
What Went Wrong?
Sadly, Arizona and Carolina went to the toilet once again but this time Carolina won with two goals. Anaheim was facing a backup and only scored once. Most of the games were low scoring and two of the worst home teams in the league rolled over (Colorado and New Jersey). Also, the 4:00 PM game was not on most main slates which would have been an easy Calgary stack. Hey, these things happen. However, it was a part of what went wrong on Sunday.
What Went Right?
Hey, picking against Colorado and New Jersey worked for a change. Both teams were shutout 3-0 at home by St. Louis and Columbus. Yes, the save counts were low but Jake Allen and Sergei Bobrovsky got the job done. Richard Bachmann found a way to stop 43 out of 44 shots for Vancouver and he was bargain basement priced. If people took that risk, they could construct their lineups in so many ways. Evgeni Malkin had a couple points in Pittsburgh’s dramatic comeback from a 3-0 deficit. Eric Staal scored twice in Minnesota’s 3-1 win over San Jose. Even Zach Parise put the puck in the back of the net in his return from the mumps. Let’s get to the schedule.
The Schedule for Monday, March 6, 2017
|NY Rangers||Tampa Bay @||7:30 PM|
|San Jose*||Winnipeg||8:00 PM|
* = Back end of back to back. @ = Third game in four nights.
News and Notes (Well More Notes)
Like we mentioned before, FanDuel and DraftKings are running a normal main slate of four games starting at 7:00 PM ET. Here are some possible FantasyDraft Value Plays for tonight.
FantasyDraft Value Plays:
- Mathieu Perreault (WPG) — $8900 (barely qualifies)
- Ryan Spooner (BOS) — $7800
- Pavel Buchnevich (NYR) — $7500
- Joel Armia (WPG) — $6400
- Dmitri Orlov (WSH) — $7300
- Cody Ceci (MTL) — $6200
- Winnipeg Goaltending — $15,100 (its high risk!)
Quick Plays (DraftKings pricing is used)
Mark Scheifele – $6600 – SJ vs WPG
Scheifele is a borderline contrarian play in cash and even in some GPP formats just because most will not have as much faith in Winnipeg. The risk here is that the center typically produces high chance volume but low shot volume. There are pivots to move up and down on tonight’s slate. One can go Patrice Bergeron or even Nicklas Backstrom. Also, Tyler Johnson or Bryan Little could be potential options.
Ryan Spooner — $3900 – BOS vs OTT
Spooner is a value GPP play and cash option against Ottawa on Monday. Boston is being more selective with their shots but their chances per 60 have remained about the same. He can be a bit up and down but does have seven points in the last ten games on okay shot volume. Spooner will have better opportunities against the depth pairings that Ottawa has to offer.
Tomas Hertl — $4500 – SJ vs WPG
Hertl is a nice GPP play because of his ability to play as a top line yet responsible center. He blocks more shots (1.4 per game) than most forwards and still produces okay shot volume. Hertl has seven points in his previous nine games. It is a bit risky to play him on the road but again Winnipeg but the Jets are one of those teams that can take penalties and gives up power play chances galore. The Jets also can give up three or more goals a night even at home.
Blake Wheeler — $6500 – WPG vs SJ
Wheeler is a somewhat chalky play in tournaments and yet the temptation is extremely high to play him anyway. He has 10 points in his last ten games which includes four goals. The winger had three points against Colorado. There is the fact that he is averaging nearly four shots a game in that span. Chance volume is high here and the Sharks are on a back to back. The question is which goalies Winnipeg winds up facing. Nikita Kucherov will be chalky but ownership will gravitate toward him anyway. Mathieu Perrault is a decent spend down here given his price.
Mike Hoffman — $6000 – OTT vs BOS
Hoffman will be an intriguing GPP play on Monday against Boston because the expectation is for this to be a moderately high event game. Hoffman averages over three shots a night and is particularly dangerous on the man advantage. Boston is susceptible to a counterattacking team like the Senators but Boston can neutralize the winger with the Patrice Bergeron line. This is going to be dicey.
Frank Vatrano — $4500 – BOS vs OTT
Vatrano is going to be moderately owned in tournaments tonight because he is a lower cost alternative to so much of the chalk tonight. He has four goals and eight points in the last ten games while averaging nearly three shots a game. His production can be a bit erratic but on a night like this, dipping for value can be okay especially in one-off scenarios. The nice part is he will draw great match-ups because he is depth himself at even strength. Vatrano also gets power play time.
John Klingberg – DAL vs WSH – $4600
Klingberg is an against the grain play tonight against Washington because Dallas has absolutely zero to lose. They will be attractive to pick on and pick. He has eight points in his last ten contests. The shot volume is okay and the blocks are a little below average. That’s alright given his price. A mirror pick would be Kevin Shattenkirk but will be a bit more costly.
Dion Phaneuf – OTT vs TAM- $4300
Phaneuf sits at a decent price point tonight and is in play in GPP’s and Cash games. He looked better against Florida but was not rewarded on a few good looks. The defenseman did manage five blocked shots and a shot on goal. He may have to block several more tonight against Boston considering they will be active and will try to pick on the Phaneuf pairing heavily. He has a bit of offensive upside with good shot volume and averaging a point every other game lately. Phaneuf has come down with an illness and Cody Ceci may be a decent option if Phaneuf cannot go.
Andrei Vasilevskiy – TAM vs NYR – $7400
Vasilevskiy should be a gamble GPP play wise with the hopes of a moderately high save count. The Rangers average over 3.2 goals per contest on the road. That is the big concern here. Also, New York comes off a subpar performance at home over the weekend. The Tampa Bay goalie has faced 103 shots over the last three games and come out a winner in each. He has a .930 save percentage over his last ten starts but again is the clear number one. Tampa is charging hard for a playoff berth which makes every game of the essence. Again, the concern is the Rangers who do have success against Tampa. There are several other options tonight to pivot to.
If for whatever reason, you are a little queasy on Vasilevskiy then wait a little closer to confirmations. A lot of confirmations did not come in early. Tonight’s a night where one could even go with backup options (Aaron Dell possibly) but will they get the W? That is quite a question. This is the type of slate where risk could be rewarded with the right mix of chalk plays. Watch out for any late changes as well due to the flu and other illnesses like the mumps. It has been a factor of late.
There will be lots more on Twitter as always. Do not be afraid to ask the tough or the easy questions. You can follow me @ChrisWasselDFS on the social media. Good luck with tonight!