NHL Power Plays – 3/13/17
This week’s schedule is a bit more back to normal. The goal of this article is to highlight and summarize the potential plays so we can focus our salary cap resources on a specific set of players.
There are eight games on Monday. Let’s get cracking on this edition of NHL Power Plays.
What Went Wrong?
Sadly, Minnesota and Chicago were not part of the main slate. That would have featured just enough scoring to round things out. Detroit was playing solid until they allowed a shorthanded goal to Ryan McDonagh of all people and then the wheels fell off. Their third line was good again and Detroit’s top line was not. Dallas tied the game and then just did not show up for the rest of the game. Edmonton held a 1-0 lead until late in the third where Montreal struck four times (two empty netters) and turned Cam Talbot’s night into a losing one. Alex Ovechkin did not score again as the Capitals made it 0 for California. They had a closed door meeting after this one, though.
What Went Right?
Hey, picking for offense with Anaheim and San Jose worked. Joe Pavelski scored twice and so did Corey Perry. Ryan Getzlaf added three points for the Ducks. The funny thing about the Sharks game was that Aaron Dell did wind up with 29 saves and just that one goal allowed. Like we mentioned earlier, Ryan McDonagh scored twice in the Rangers win as Antti Raanta stopped all but one shot. Paul Byron and Max Pacioretty had two goals each as Montreal’s late outburst was more than enough to stop Edmonton. Byron was even given a third period on Montreal’s second empty net goal for good measure.
The Schedule For Monday, March 13, 2017
|Tampa Bay||NY Rangers||7:00 PM|
|Columbus @ *||Philadelphia||7:00 PM|
|Carolina||NY Islanders||7:30 PM|
|Pittsburgh @ *||Calgary||9:00 PM|
|St. Louis @ *||Los Angeles||10:00 PM|
* = Back end of back to back. @ = Third game in four nights.
News And Notes (Well More Notes)
Like we mentioned before, FanDuel and DraftKings are running a normal main slate of eight games starting at 7:00 PM ET. Here are some possible FantasyDraft Value Plays for tonight.
FantasyDraft Value Plays:
- Calle Jarnkrok (NSH) — $7200
- Yanni Gourde (TAM) — $7200
- Andrew Ladd (NYI) — $7900
- Brandon Perlini (ARZ) — $7100
- Anthony DeAngelo (ARZ) — $6300
- David Savard (CLB) — $7200
- Calgary Goaltending — $15,100 (it’s still high risk!)
Quick Plays (DraftKings pricing is used)
John Tavares – $7000 – NYI vs CAR
Tavares is a good play in cash and even in some GPP formats just because the offense often gets driven by that top line. Carolina gives up more chances and more goals on the road than most teams (3.06 goals per night) and there could be an adrenaline rush. The Islanders returning home after a nine game road trip could help.
Mikael Backlund — $6000 – CGY vs PIT
Backlund is a nice GPP play and cash option against Pittsburgh on Monday. Pittsburgh is a team that will give up chances and there is a coin flip pivot to Sean Monahan if a person wants exposure to the top line. It is a matter of choice here as Backlund is basically producing as a point a game player over the last 8-10 games. His speed and ability to win puck battles makes him more attractive on a night like this.
Nathan MacKinnon — $5400 – COL vs ARZ
MacKinnon is a high risk GPP play on Monday against Arizona. Colorado is scoring at just 1.7 goals per game on the road and their offense is predicated mostly in that top six. Arizona has been giving up goals lately and Mike Smith just allowed four to New Jersey at home. So, there is hope. The center has been more active firing pucks on net (11 in the last three games). Arizona still has a shaky penalty kill and 5 on 5 is where they have some real issues because of their youth.
Brayden Point — $4500 – TAM vs NYR
Point is also a higher risk GPP option for Monday against the Rangers. New York’s home woes are well documented. However, Tampa appears to be missing three of their centers again which means Point will play a ton of minutes. It does mean that he will have a better chance to hit value though. His price has come up some too so that has to be kept in mind. He will see extensive power play time which is great news for potential.
Patrik Berglund — $4200 – STL vs LA
Alas, Berglund is a contrarian tournament option for Monday versus Los Angeles. With Paul Stastny banged up, Berglund gets the next step up in playing time which just means more chances. Los Angeles has not been shutting teams completely down. They are allowing goals, even at home. With this being a hotly contested game for playoff positioning, there could be some unexpected results. It is why a player like Berglund may be coveted tonight. Just do not go full 100% exposure on him. That is all.
Nikita Kucherov — $7800 – TAM vs NYR
Kucherov is a chalky play in tournaments and yet the temptation is extremely high to play him anyway. He has 18 points in his last ten games which includes eight goals. The winger has 50 shots over this span and is Tampa Bay’s best attempter of shots and chances by far. A key variable will be to see how long it is before any of the three centers missing return. So far, it is not affected him at all which means the green light has to be given.
Filip Forsberg — $6600 – NSH vs WPG
Forsberg will be an intriguing GPP play on Monday because he has cooled off a little bit of late. People may be off him a bit but then when they see it is Winnipeg, they go oh. Los Angeles and San Jose were tough on that first line as they did not allow many shots and even fewer quality chances. Winnipeg is not expected to put up as much resistance and again there is some power play possibilities as well. It may not be Tuesday but the feeling is that Forsberg should get a good amount of scoring chances tonight.
Wayne Simmonds — $6200 – PHI vs CLB
Simmonds is going to be moderately owned in tournaments tonight because of the game stacking potential of the Columbus and Philadelphia game. This is based off the logic from the Columbus and Buffalo home and home. There are a bunch of narratives here. However, both teams have an excellent power play that can strike at any time. Simmonds has six goals in his last ten games. He has an average shot distance that is still top ten in the league. Some will go with Jakub Voracek and some may stack him with Simmonds here even. It is like Forsberg with Viktor Arvidsson.
Radim Vrbata — $5700 – ARZ vs COL
Vrbata will be a GPP play that could have multiple point upside tonight. The forward averages nearly a point a game at home and the match-up against the worst team DFS wise cannot hurt. He has nine points in his last ten games and good shot volume. Shots may not be the highest in this game but chances could be due to transitional play. There are some sneaky plays again down the Arizona roster on wing too so keep that in mind.
Rick Nash — $4900 – NYR vs TAM
Nash is extremely high risk here tonight whether it is in cash or GPP’s. However, his price is so low that in a few lineups he could be worth that risk. Nash is capable of firing 5+ shots in a night which increases his floor and he has two points in two meetings against Tampa on nine shots. No one said this would be an easy night. However, Nash could be a different type of chance to take that could pay off just enough.
Roman Josi – NSH vs WPG – $6000
Josi is a chalk play tonight but still there is a chance that the ownership may get spread out a fraction. He has 11 points in his last ten games with elevated potential for shots tonight at least. Winnipeg takes among the most penalties in the league and Nashville’s power play could cash in on that. Josi is the power play quarterback there and a lot of the offense sets through him with some of that share going to P.K. Subban at times. As far as a cash play, he will be higher owned than even Victor Hedman.
Shayne Gostisbehere – PHI vs CLB- $4900
Gostisbehere sits at a solid price point tonight and is in play in GPP’s and Cash games. He has looked better in his previous ten games with seven points and 31 shots on goal. When two special teams behemoths face off, the tendency is to make sure you at least have one of the power play quarterbacks. So, it is either Zach Werenski or Gostisbhere. It’s a coin flip but the Flyers defenseman is cheaper. Hey, one can save that little bit of money for somewhere else.
David Savard – CLB vs PHI- $3700
Savard sits at a value play price range tonight which makes him good for any format. He has seven points in his last ten games on 24 shots on goal. His price has moved but not very much. It is as if the wave could end at any time. That is true. However, as long as he keeps playing 22+ minutes a night, the chances at even strength are going to keep coming. Savard has more offensive upside than people think and he often goes overlooked on even medium slates.
Jonathan Quick – LAK vs STL – $7700
Quick should be a cash play with the hopes of a moderately save count. St. Louis has been better on the road of late and that will help and hurt here. Quick is 4-0-1 in six appearances this year but is again not facing a ton of shots on net for the most part. He has only seen 42 shots in his last two games (against Washington and Nashville). That is the problem. If he gives up two goals, that limits him to a cash play and little else. The chances for a win are high at least.
Other Options (Some Not Confirmed In Net)
Pekka RInne – Nashville
Thomas Greiss – NY Islanders (elevated risk)
Tuukka Rask – Boston
Ryan Miller – Vancouver (for GPP’s only)
Mike Smith – Arizona (cash mostly)
If for whatever reason, you are a little queasy on Quick then wait a little closer to confirmations. A lot of confirmations did not come in early. Tonight’s a night where one could even go with backup options (see what the Rangers do) but will they get the W? That is quite a question. This is the type of slate where risk could be rewarded with the right mix of chalk plays. Watch out for any late changes as well due to the flu and other illnesses like the mumps. It has been a factor of late.
There will be lots more on Twitter as always. Do not be afraid to ask the tough or the easy questions. You can follow me @ChrisWasselDFS on the social media. Good luck with tonight!