NHL Power Plays – 3/12/17
This week’s schedule is a bit more back to normal. The goal of this article is to highlight and summarize the potential plays so we can focus our salary cap resources on a specific set of players.
There are five games on Sunday but we are focusing on the four game main slates. Let’s get cracking on this edition of NHL Power Plays.
What Went Wrong?
Sadly, Arizona and New Jersey went to the toilet as far as goaltending. Cory Schneider was given the hook in the second period and Mike Smith allowed four goals in the win. Pittsburgh’s scoring did not really kick in until the third period and Vancouver just did nothing. St. Louis almost let the New York Islanders back in the game which could have been disaster. Craig Anderson got the win but gave up two goals on just 16 shots. Tampa Bay fell behind 2-0 and then Aaron Ekblad went down for Florida. Tampa rallied and won with a little unexpected scoring. Winnipeg forgot the memo about scoring goals and that hurt some as Calgary’s line two took over and not line one.
What Went Right?
Hey, picking for offense with New Jersey worked. Kyle Palmieri scored twice in the loss and Arizona had good, balanced performances across the board. Brian Elliott surprised a lot of people with 31 saves for his second consecutive shutout. Buffalo rallied for a 5-3 win after falling behind 3-0 early. Jack Eichel had almost zero points and then had a great third period with multiple points to save his night. Rasmus Ristolainen saved his night as well. Vladimir Tarasenko had two goals and an assist for St. Louis in the win. He was just a crossbar away from a hat trick. Ultimately, there was a good bit of balanced scoring and yes Erik Karlsson exceeded value despite a slow start for Ottawa.
The Schedule for Sunday, March 12, 2017
|NY Rangers||Detroit||7:00 PM|
|Washington * @||Anaheim||9:30 PM|
|Dallas||San Jose * @||10:00 PM|
* = Back end of back to back. @ = Third game in four nights.
News and Notes (Well More Notes)
Like we mentioned before, FanDuel and DraftKings are running a normal main slate of four games starting at 7:00 PM ET. Here are some possible FantasyDraft Value Plays for tonight. Please note that Minnesota and Chicago starts at 12:30 PM ET but is not in the main slate.
FantasyDraft Value Plays:
- Mark Letestu (EDM) — $7100
- Dylan Larkin (DET) — $7800
- Pavel Buchnevich (NYR) — $7500
- Brett Ritchie (DAL) — $6700
- Andrej Sekera (EDM) — $7700
- Sami Vatanen (ANA) — $7700
- Detroit Goaltending — $13,900 (it’s still high risk!)
Quick Plays (DraftKings pricing is used)
Logan Couture – $6400 – SJ vs DAL
Couture is a solid play in cash and even in some GPP formats just because most will concentrate on players like Brent Burns and Joe Pavelski. That is rightfully so. However, he has three special teams’ points in his last three games and four goals in his last nine. Dallas gives up nearly 3.6 goals a night on the road and Couture does get first unit power play time along with an easier match-up.
Alex Galchenyuk — $5400 – MTL vs EDM
Galchenyuk is a nice GPP play and cash option against Edmonton on Sunday. The Oilers are just not as good at home. They even allow three to four more scoring chances a night. Their first line will try to push the place but Galchenyuk should be able to exploit the depth. He has nine points in his last ten games on average shot volume. Watch his line mates to see if he gets an even bigger boost in this one like some are expecting.
Dylan Larkin — $3900 – DET vs NYR
Larkin is a high risk GPP play on Sunday against New York. His speed is undisputed but his finishing and defense leave something to be desired. Larkin does have points in three of his last four games but is missing the net a lot (five shots on target). His minutes have been solid most of the way and the Rangers defense is a bit slow which should lead to more shot attempts. The center has to hit the net more. It is that simple.
Max Pacioretty — $6600 – MTL vs EDM
Pacioretty is a somewhat chalky play in tournaments and yet the temptation is extremely high to play him anyway. He has eight points in his last ten games which includes three goals. The winger has 43 shots over this span and is Montreal’s best attempter of shots and chances by far. A key variable will be to see how long it is before Alex Radulov is by his side. Radulov is an A+ playmaker and Montreal could surprise on the power play tonight. Remember, goal potential!
Chris Kreider — $5500 – NYR vs DET
Kreider will be an intriguing GPP play on Sunday against Detroit because the expectation is for this to be a low event game. Most will steer clear of this one and run right to Dallas and San Jose. However, Kreider has goals in three of his last four contests and 17 shots in that time. Again, he must keep hitting the net and being active off the rush. These are essential components which infuriate Kreider owners too often. His potential is nice, however.
Tomas Tatar — $4000 – DET vs NYR
Tatar is going to be moderately owned in tournaments tonight because he is a lower cost alternative to so much of the chalk tonight. He has five goals and seven points in the last ten games while averaging over two shots a game. His production can be a bit erratic but on a night like this, dipping for value can be okay especially in one-off scenarios. The nice part is he will draw great match-ups because he is going to be matched up against the Rangers weakened defensive core. Plus, there is no Henrik Lundqvist. That might help here.
John Klingberg – DAL vs SJ – $4900
Klingberg is an against the grain play tonight against San Jose because Dallas has been playing loose and mostly care-free. He has nine points in his last ten games while averaging around two shots a game. The defenseman is creating more and rushing the puck up the ice like he used to. Klingberg is also getting into those lanes that he was afraid of earlier in the season. He is just a type of player that has to be allowed to go unbridled into offensive situations.
Sami Vatanen – ANA vs WSH- $4000
Vatanen sits at a solid price point tonight and is in play in GPP’s and Cash games. He has looked better in his previous three games with two points and 13 shots on goal. Again, a power play quarterback must facilitate but at even strength, his game had been in shambles most of this season. Vatanen is a puck mover and shoots often off the rush or roaming. That is just his game. Washington could be a tired bunch tonight and may just want to be glad to be out of California after this tilt.
Petr Mrazek – DET vs NYR – $6900
Mrazek should be a high risk GPP play wise with the hopes of a moderately high save count. The Rangers average over 3.2 goals per contest on the road. That is the big concern here. Also, New York comes off a subpar performance at Carolina. The Detroit goalie has just a .911 save percentage in his last ten games and has been underwhelming of late. With Jimmy Howard breathing down his neck for playing time, Mrazek needs to come up with a gem or at least a win to garner more chances to start.
If for whatever reason, you are a little queasy on Mrazek then wait a little closer to confirmations. A lot of confirmations did not come in early. Tonight’s a night where one could even go with backup options (Aaron Dell possibly) but will they get the W? That is quite a question. This is the type of slate where risk could be rewarded with the right mix of chalk plays. Watch out for any late changes as well due to the flu and other illnesses like the mumps. It has been a factor of late.
There will be lots more on Twitter as always. Do not be afraid to ask the tough or the easy questions. You can follow me @ChrisWasselDFS on the social media. Good luck with tonight!