NHL Power Plays 2/28/17      

Tuesday nights are usually big nights in the NHL DFS world, and tonight is no different.  There are TWELVE games on tap for tonight.  With this massive size slate, the scoring is usually inflated so it’s going to take a big number to take something down tonight.  There are only three teams that are playing on back to back nights, but two of them are also playing their third game in four nights. There are a couple juicy matchups to target tonight and we will hit on them later, but let’s dig into the massive slate tonight and see If we can find you a couple plays that will help you take down that big GPP tonight.  Here are your Power Plays for Tuesday night.  Good luck!

 

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Schedule for Wednesday, February 28th, 2017

AWAY HOME TIME
ArizonaBoston7:00 PM
ColoradoPhiladelphia7:00 PM
NashvilleBuffalo7:00 PM
WashingtonNY Rangers7:00 PM
CarolinaFlorida7:30 PM
ColumbusMontreal*7:30 PM
EdmontonSt. Louis8:00 PM
MinnesotaWinnipeg8:00 PM
PittsburghDallas8:30 PM
Los Angeles*Calgary9:00 PM
DetroitVancouver10:00 PM
TorontoSan Jose10:30 PM

BOLD = Back to Back

*Third game in 4 nights

 

CENTERS

Patrice Bergeron – BOS vs ARI – $7,100

Bergeron is my top play on the night tonight.  He sees a bump in his price but it’s still worth every penny.  The Boston top line could be pretty chalky tonight but I don’t care, I’m taking a stand and I will differentiate elsewhere.  Bergeron is coming off of a three point game and the top line seems to be firing on all cylinders.  The Coyotes have pretty much raised the white flag on the year as they just traded one of their top players Martin Hanzal, and it is not being received well at all in the locker room.  Not that we needed any more  reasons to target the Coyotes, because they have been one of the worst teams in hockey this year.  Arizona is giving up a hair under 35 shots on net per game, they are giving up 3.42 goals allowed per game, and their penalty kill is 75%.  Every stat I just mentioned they are in the bottom three in the league, but the most important stat is their scoring chances.  The Coyotes are giving up 11.3 scoring chances against per 60 minutes, which is ridiculous and the worst in the league.  I know I don’t need to sit here and give you many more reasons to play as much Boston as you can, but the top line of Brad Marchand – Bergeron – David Backes are in a beautiful spot tonight with last change.  They should avoid the only reasonable defensive minded player on the Coyotes Oliver Ekman-Larsson.  Boston is a very good puck possession team as they lead the league in Corsi with a 55.08 CF%.  This game spells doom for the Coyotes all night long.  Now if you want to get away from some of the chalk, I’m not sure if you can but you can also look to the second line of Peter Cehlarik – David Krejci – David Pasternak, or even the third line of Frank Vatrano – Ryan Spooner – Jimmy Hayes.  I favor the top two by far but in a large field GPP the third could be worth a flyer for sure as they also get power play time except for Hayes.  Don’t forget to throw in Torey Krug with a stack if you are planning on the top power play line.

Evgeni Malkin – PITT @ DAL – $7,700

Malkin gets a grade “A” prime matchup tonight against the team we love to pick on, the Dallas Stars. This matchup seems like it will be extreme chalk tonight too so if you roll with the Pens you will have to find ways to be different on the rest of your roster.   At home,  Dallas is giving up just under 31 shots per game (22 of 30), they are allowing 2.79 GAA (20th of 30), and their penalty kill is the worst in the league with a 70.5% kill rate.  Not to mention they are almost in a dead heat with the Coyotes in scoring chances with 10.23 SCA/60.  The Penguins have a ton of firepower on their team especially on the top two lines.  Pittsburgh is averaging over three goals per game on the road this year and they are creating 10.23 SCF/60 which is second in the league.  This game appears to be lopsided and Malkin should get the better matchups of the top two lines, as the Stars will do their best to keep Crosby and his mates at bay.  Maybe the double center stack could work tonight for ya, who knows.

Martin Hanzal – MIN @ WPG – $4,400

Hanzal had a boring debut for the Wild but that’s ok because it will take time to get adjusted to the system and his new surroundings.  Hanzal is a pretty solid offensive facilitator and he should get plenty of ice time with the Wild dealing with some injuries, and he makes a great depth center for the Wild.  Hanzal is in a pretty decent spot tonight against the Jets, who are coming off their bye so they haven’t played in five days, and they are also missing their second best defenseman Jacob Trouba.  The Jets will most likely send out the Schiefele Laine line out against the Staal NiNo line because they will want to stay away from the Koivu shutdown line.  Leaving Hanzal the depth matchups, which will be a plus matchup all night.  Before Winnipeg went on their bye, at home they were giving up the second most goals per game in the league with 3.07 GAA and they were also giving up 31 shots on net per game.  But the most alarming thing about the Jets is their penalty kill at home is bad, with only a 72.8% kill rate.  With Hanzal getting depth matchups and power play time tonight, he makes for a solid play.

Calle Jarnkrok – NSH @ BUF – $3,500

Jarnkrok has seven points in his last ten games, and he makes for an interesting punt play on a night we need all the savings we can get.  Jarnkrok is playing on the third line for the Preds and he is also seeing some power play time on the second unit, which is where we want to attack the Sabres.  Since the All-Star break, the Sabres are giving up just about 37 shots per game, that’s ridiculous.  The Sabres are also having a hard time killing penalties with a 77.8% kill rate.  Jarnkrok should get some solid matchups tonight as the Sabres lack any depth past their top six and with the lowest Corsi rating on the slate of 43.81 CF% the Preds should have plenty of chances and opportunities tonight.  I like the Preds a lot on the road here.

 

WINGERS

 

I will stay away from the Bruins & Penguins wings as I have mentioned them in the Centers above, just know they are firmly in play tonight.

 

Joe Pavelski – SJ vs TOR – $7,100

Pavelski gets a fast paced game tonight against the Maple leafs which should have a ton of action and a plethora of shots flying around.  The Maple Leafs play one of the fastest pace games in the league, but they also make plenty of mistakes and give up a ton of shots and scoring chances.  Toronto is giving up 8.83 SCA/60 which is the fourth most on the slate tonight, and they are also giving up 33 shots on net per game.  The last time these teams squared off Pavelski had a goal and five shots on net, that’s not out of the realm for what to expect tonight.  Pavelski’s shot volume has been down a tad lately but you can expect more tonight.

Filip Forsberg – NSH @ BUF – $6,600

Forsberg has been playing out of his mind lately and in the NHL, when a guy is hot you gotta ride him.  Forsberg has a ridiculous five game points streak with 11 points in them five games.  You could say he is in the zone.  The matchup tonight isn’t the greatest, as the Sabers are going to do everything they can to stop Forsberg’s line.  Buffalo will deploy the Ryan O’reilly line against Forsbergs unit. Even though O’reilly is a solid shutdown center, the Forsberg line will get plenty of opportunities and Forsberg doesn’t have a problem playing facilitator.  Buffalo is giving up the most shots on net in the league, and with Forsberg so hot, I can see him having over five tonight.  In fact,  the last time these teams faced off, Forsberg had eight shots on net and a Lamplighter.

Brayden Schenn – PHI vs COL – $5,700

Schenn has been a steady producer for the Flyers here lately and he is rolling along with five points in his last four games.  The Avalanche come to town tonight and this makes for an interesting game for dfs reasons.  Schenn is playing on the second line with Wayne Simmonds and Nick Cousins, but they should get the depth matchups tonight, as the Flyers should roll out the Couturier line to play the shutdown role against the top line of the Avs.  Colorado lacks any kind of depth and they can be target every night, and the best part about the Schenn line is that they he and Simmonds both play on the top power play line.  Colorado has played better defensively recently and that can be attributed to their best defenseman Erik Johnson coming back from injury, but their penalty kill is still ranked 26th of 30 with a 76.6% kill rate.  Schenn also has three power play points in the last four games, and he leads his team with 24.  This game has a good chance for some fireworks and I want some exposure to this game tonight.  You could roll out a Schenn – Wayne Simmonds – Shane Gostibehere stack tonight.

Oliver Bjorkstrand – CBJ vs MON – $3,600

Bjorkstrand makes for a decent punto tonight as the Habs are playing on a back to back and also their third game in four nights.  Montreal has been pretty solid at limiting chances but last night they looked off, they made mistakes and the Devils of all teams took them to overtime.  For some reason when these teams meet up, the Jackets like to score goals, three of their last four meeting they have scored at least five goals.  Bjorkstrand has played half decent hockey since being called up ten games ago.  His shot volume has consistently been on the rise, and he has been afforded time on the power play.  Montreal could be dealing with some fatigue issues, and with the way the Jackets can load the net up, tonight could be another five goal game.

 

DEFENSEMAN

Brent Burns – SJ vs TOR – $8,500

Burs is the most expensive player in NHL dfs, but he has proved that he has the highest floor in the league also.  Burns is rolling with a five game point streak and he has multiple points in three of them.  He loves shooting the puck, he’s averaging five shots on net per game over the last ten games!  Burns is also not afraid to block shots, with just under two blocks on average.  Toronto gives up a ton of shots, and Burs should be trigger happy tonight.  It’s hard to pay up for him but he always makes a great late night hammer with his immense upside.

Roman Josi – NSH @ BUF – $6,200

Josi just like Forsberg has been producing a ton lately with multiple points in three game straight.  He is playing about 25 minutes per game, and he is quarterbacking the top power play unit for the Preds and has an average of 5.5 SHOCKS (shots & blocks) over the last ten for a solid floor.  Buffalo is giving up an insane amount of shots and they have had a bad penalty kill the whole year, which I don’t see it changing any time soon.  Load up Josi tonight, but if you can’t afford him you can also look to Ryan Ellis who has been solid himself and he gets second unit power play time.

Shane Gostisbehere – PHI vs COL – $4,700

With Gost getting back in Dave Hakstol’s good graces, he has been getting more ice time and opportunities.  Gostisbehere is a power play specialist for the Flyers, and he has three power play points in the last three games.  Gostisbehere is also not afraid to let the cannon loose as he is averaging over three shots per game over the last six.  Like I said earlier about the Avalanche, they have been playing better but they are still bad giving up almost 3.5 goals per game.

Torrey Krug – BOS vs ARI – $5,400

Krug has a weak start to the year but he has picked the pace up dramatically averaging a point per game over the last ten.  Krug gets a juicy matchup tonight against the Coyotes, and the Bruins should have their way with them all night.  Krug could be in for a great night.

Justin Schultz – PIT @ DAL – $4,800

With Kris Letang sidelined Schultz has been the recipient of blue line minutes for the top power play for the Pens.  His shot volume has been down, but tonight is as good a night as ever to get it back on the rise.  Dallas has a poor penalty kill and they have been allowing the second most goals in the league at 3.23 goals against per game.  Schultz is playing extended minutes with injuries to their defensive units. If your looking to the second power play unit then you can eye Ian Cole for a little savings.

 

GOALIES – CHECK CONFIRMATION

Martin Jones – SJ vs TOR – $8,100

Jones makes for a solid GPP play tonight as he should see plenty of rubber, the question is can he get enough help from the offense to get the win?  Jones has been semi inconsistent at home with a 14-7-4 record with a 2.17 GAA and a .917 Save %.  I think he can get it done at home tonight.

Tuukka Rask – BOS vs ARI – $8,400

Looking at the situations tonight and the split matchups, picking a goalie is not looking as good as you would think.  Rask is in the best position by far to receive the win, but he will be the mega chalk tonight.  The question you have to ask yourself is, do you take chances on bad goalies tonight?  Or do you try to walk away from tonight with the best chance at a win?

Matt Murray – PIT @ DAL – $8,000

Murray has been better than people expected this year, and he looks  to take his fifth best save % to Dallas to steal one tonight.  With the goalie selection being what it is tonight, I can’t help but pay for the better goalies.  Dallas should get plenty of rubber on net tonight and if Murray can stand strong, he should have a great night.