NHL Power Plays 2/25/17

 

Happy Saturday Vicesquad!  Weekend slates are usually a little wacky because the slates are usually split slates. Fanduel has gone bonkers it seems and split the slate in half for some unknown reason.  DraftKings has done it right and made the lock time earlier and has included all seven games from 5:00 PM EST.  FantasyDraft has stuck to the normal lock times and made it a regular lock with only four games.  So when you are looking at slates make sure you are selecting the right slate and games.  I’m going to mainly focus on the main slate for DraftKings because it covers most of the games for all the sites but I will give ya a couple early games picks too.  When you are making you teams I can’t stress enough that you need to make sure your goalie is actually confirmed and starting.  Sites like Dailyfaceoff.com, Leftwinglock.com, and Goaliepost.com are great places for information but they tend to not be as quick because it’s the weekend.  Another great place to get up to the minute news and information is the teams and beat writers for the teams themselves.  I have created a list on Twitter @Votts_DFS for all of the NHL teams and a separate list of all the beat writers for you to follow, it’s a great tool and a necessity.  Now let’s dig into the slate and see if we can find you a couple plays to help you take down that big GPP.  Here are your Power Plays for tonight, good luck!

The advanced stats that I use and reference in this article come from Corsica.hockey and also puckalytics.com.

If you have any questions at all, don’t hesitate to contact me on out premium Slack chat, or you can hit me up on Twitter @Votts_DFS.

 

Full Schedule for Saturday February 24th, 2017

AWAYHOMETIME
AnaheimLos Angeles4:00 PM
NY RangersNew Jersey5:00 PM
NY IslandersColumbus5:00 PM
Washington*Nashville5:00 PM
MontrealToronto7:00 PM
PhiladelphiaPittsburgh8:00 PM
BuffaloColorado10:00 PM
San JoseVancouver10:00 PM

BOLD = Back to Back

*Third game in four nights

Teams coming off BYE – Columbus / Buffalo / San Jose / Vancouver

 

CENTERS

Sidney Crosby – PIT vs PHI – $8,400

Sid the kid is riding a two game point streak, and he looks to take it outdoors tonight.  It should be interesting to see how the ice has held up with the weather having massive swings in temperature during the day, but they say it should be right at freezing temps for tonight’s game so well see.  Crosby lit the lamp twice the  last time these teams faced.  The Flyers have only three road wins in their last 15 games, and they have been struggling lately.  The Pens are used to the outdoor atmosphere as they have played a bunch of these games, and this game should be a tough physical rival state battle.  Crosby likes to shine in prime time games, and he will be the center of everyone’s attention tonight.

John Tavares – NYI @ CBJ – $7,500

Tavares has played some great hockey, especially for being on such a weak team that doesn’t have a ton of depth.  The match up at face value doesn’t seem like a good one, but if you dig a little deeper you will find that the Jackets are giving up 10.12 scoring chances against per 60 at home, which is the most on the whole slate tonight.  Also since the All-Star break, Columbus has had a ton of trouble with their penalty kill as they are only killing 75% of their penalties which is the third worst in the NHL.  This game has a chance to be a high scoring game tonight, and if it does, Tavares will be involved.  He should go super low owned tonight and makes for a sneaky play.

Austin Matthews – TOR vs MTL – $7,600

Matthews continues his bid for ROY with extremely strong play, he has ten points him as many games.  Matthews is also logging  18.3 minutes of ice time, which is pretty solid if you think about it because he does not kill penalties.  The kid has elite talent and he will be a driving force for years to come.  The Habs come into Toronto playing pretty poor hockey, being shut out four times in the last seven games.  The Kadri line will do all they can to shut down the Pacioretty line, leaving Matthews to match up with the Galchenyuk Line.  Matthews is a big bodied player with great strength for a rookie and he has been shooting the puck a ton,  over the last ten games he has averaged just shy of four shots per game.  Matthews looks to finally get a victory for the Leafs tonight, who haven’t beat the Habs in ten games straight.

Ryan O’reilly – BUF @ COL – $5,900

The Avalanche have lost eight of their last nine games and they are the worst team in the league.  The Sabres are coming off of their bye, which has caused some havoc on teams but this is the best matchup you could ask for coming off the bye.  Colorado gives up the most goals in the league on home ice, they are ranked 23rd in shots against, and even though their penalty kill has been better they are still below league average.  The top line of the Aves will match up with the Eichel line as much as they can which really isn’t a horrible matchup, but it leaves the O’Reilly line to match up with the weaker lines. Both the Sabres and the Avalanche give up a ton of shots, and being in the mile high city along with the Sabres coming off a bye, this could be a shootout of bad teams and could make for a sneaky game stack tonight.

 

 

WINGERS

I’ll try to keep it to value plays as you need help fitting studs into your lineups

 

Filip Forsberg – NSH vs WSH – $6,400

There is no one hotter in the NHL than Filip Forsberg right now.  He has hat tricks in two games straight and when a streaky player is hot, you gotta ride him.  He draws a tough matchup tonight against the Capitols , but he should stay away from the Ovechkin line most of the night with last change, leaving him better matchups.  The last seven times these teams have met, the over has hit every time.  For some reason these teams like to score goals on each other.  There should be a lot of offense in this game tonight and im leaning on Forsberg again.

J.T. Miller – NYR @ NJ – $5,600

Miller is leading the Rangers in points so far this year, who would have called that?  The truth is, Miller is a talented player and he gets the opportunity of matching up with the depth lines of the opposition pretty much every game.  The third line of Miller – Hayes – Grabner have compiled 126 points on the year which is an equivalent of over two points per game total.  The Devils are a bad team and they don’t have the depth to match up with the Rangers third line.  The Devils are giving up 2.83 goals per game at home and they don’t get much scoring outside of the top two lines.  The Miller line should have solid matchups all night and they should be able to capitalize.

Oliver Bjorkstrand – CLS vs NYI – $3,600

Bjorkstrand makes for a solid value play tonight, as he has played three straight games now for the jackets without being scratched or DNP-CD and he has produced two points in them three.  He is playing on the top line for the Jackets and he is getting plenty of looks and opportunities as he has a great facilitator (Alex Wennberg) and he also has a Nick Foligno to open the ice up for him, giving him chances.  In the three games he has played steadily he has 11 shots on net, and at his price that’s a solid play in my book.  The Islanders have picked up their pace of play recently but they still lack any depth.  The top line of the Jackets should match up with the second line of the Isles, who are nowhere near as tough of a matchup as the top Tavares line.  The Islanders are also giving up the third most shots on net per game on the road and they are bottom ten in goals against.  This game could be a shootout and a game stack could be a really profitable endeavor tonight.  Roll out the top Jackets line with the Tavares line.

Carl Hagelin – PIT vs PHI – $3,800

The Pens keep shaking lines up and they are dealing with injuries on the back end, and they have moved Hagelin to the top line with Sidney Crosby and Patric Hornqvist.  Hagelin should see ample amounts of chances and opportunities playing alongside them two guys as they demand attention every second they are on the ice.  Hagelin has been extremely inconsistent this year but for daily purposes we only care about tonight.  With the pens getting the last change they should stay away from the Couturier shut down line and face off with the Giroux or even Schenn line, and they are both very weak defensive lines.  If Hagelin can sneak into open ice, Crosby will find him for a look or two and he could be in a great spot tonight.

Mikko Rantanen – COL vs BUF – $3,900

Rantanen has three points in his last four games, and they have came against tough opponents such as the kings and the Hurricanes.  He has been freeing up for shots more and his shot volume has been trending up with 13 shots in his last four games.  The Sabres are coming off of their bye and teams have show some rust when it comes to game speed.  Rantenan was moved off the top line but he still gets time on the top power play, and that’s where the Sabres have been awful.  Buffalo has the second worst penalty kill in the league on the road with a 72.9% kill rate.

Justin Williams – WSH @NSH – $5,000

Williams got promoted to the top line for the Capitols when T.J Oshie was scratched, and he also played on the top power play unit.  He saw a big bump in minutes also as he logged 19 minutes compared to his 15 minute average.  Williams also saw a boost in his shot volume because he was playing alongside the elite sniper Alex Ovechkin.  Williams seems to be the timeless wonder as he is consistently involved in the scoring for the Caps.  Nashville does play better at home, but the over has hit every single time for the last six meeting.  There should be goals tonight with all the firepower in this game, and Williams gets you that cheap exposure to the best player on the Caps.

 

DEFENSEMAN

Brent Burns – SJ @ VAN – $8,500

This game should be interesting tonight as both teams are coming off their bye’s.  Burns has been insane lately with his offensive production.  He leads the league in shots on goal, he logs massive ice time for the Sharks, and he provides tons of offensive firepower to the power play.  Burns is averaging five shots per game over the last ten games, and you can add in two blocks per game along with them shots giving him the highest floor in the NHL.  The last time these teams met, Burns had a goal, five shots on net, and a block for 8 DK points.  He sits in a great spot tonight against the Canucks.

Seth Jones – CLS vs NYI – $5,700

Jones has been playing great hockey lately with a four game point streak rolling into tonight.  Jones has six points during his streak, and he has been logging pretty big minutes on the point for the Jackets.  He has had a couple inconsistent games in the shot volume area, but overall he has been pretty consistent and he has the offensive ability to make plays even if he is facilitating from the point.  With the Islanders giving up a ton of shots and chances, Jones will be looking to tee it up as much as he can tonight.

Justin Schultz – PIT vs PHI – $4,900 (CHECK AVAILABILITY – GTD)

The Pens are dealing with a lot injuries to their defensive core, with Letang out and Daly also out.  Schultz is also a game time decision for tonight, and if he can’t go, then you can look to Ian Cole.  If Schultz can go, you can expect him to log massive minutes, and he will see all the power play time he can handle.  He isn’t afraid to shoot the puck, the last time Letang was out he made a solid name for himself and had a lot of points.  Schultz also doesn’t mind blocking a shot or two, which he will definitely get enough chances tonight as the pens give up a lot of chances on the defensive side.

Shane Gostisbehere – PHI vs PIT – $4,500

The Gost is either starting to get back into the good graces of Dave Hakstol, or he is realizing they can’t be successful without their best special teams defenseman.  Gostisbehere has six points in his last ten games, but the reason I like him tonight is for his offensive presence and his quarterbacking on the power play.  The Penguins have a ton of offense and that means Gost will get plenty of opportunities to block shots, but the Penguins also give up a ton of scoring chances.  Not to mention the Penguins have trouble on the penalty kill, with a bottom ten rating at 80% kill rate, which is where Gost is leaned heavily on.

GOALIES

Annti Raanta – NYR @ NJ – $7,900

Raanta looks to get the nod today giving Lundqvist a break, and Raanta has been great on the road with a 7-1-0 record sporting a 2.14GAA and a .931 save %.  The Rangers can fill the net up in a hurry and if they can shut the top line down form the Devils, Raanta will be in a prime spot to have a great outing.

Martin Jones – SJ @ VAN – $7,900

Both teams are coming off of their bye’s so tonight could be interesting but the Canucks just don’t have enough firepower to keep up with the Sharks.  Vancouver is only averaging 2.3 goals per game which is 27th in the league.  The question is will both teams come out rusty?  Will Jones see enough shot volume to warrant him in a gpp? That’s what you need to decide.