NHL Power Plays 1/8/17
This week’s schedule has been tedious. The goal of this article is to highlight and summarize the potential plays so we can focus our salary cap resources on a specific set of players.
There are six games on Sunday so let’s get cracking on what happened last night then look forward to tonight. This will be fast.
What Went Wrong?
Sadly, if you thought Curtis McElHinney was safe, you would have been wrong. It was 4-1 midway through the Columbus-NY Rangers game when disaster struck for the goalie as he would allow four goals in the next 30 minutes of game time. Michael Grabner’s second goal with just seconds left in regulation was the game winner as Columbus lost for a second time in a row. Then there was the New York Islanders, who managed to lose to the Arizona Coyotes of all teams. Colorado was bad enough the night before but two goals in two games on back to back nights against the worst teams in the league was tough to swallow. Even reliable San Jose won but still gave up three goals to Detroit. At least the Sharks tallied six times.
What Went Right?
Hey, there was some scoring at least! Like we said, Brent Burns and Joe Pavelski provided some late hammer with multiple point nights. Few are dependable like Jeff Carter has been but he was on the early slate (goal, two assists). It felt like the night of the goalie with a few shutouts. Tuukka Rask and Braden Holtby posted shutouts while there were several other near shutouts. Every late game kind of went according to plan as all the home teams did win. Paul Stastny had a surprising two goal and assist effort in a 4-3 St. Louis win. Brad Marchand scored twice in the Boston shutout. Cory Schneider had 40 saves in a losing effort in overtime. It was the kind of night where the performances were out there to be had unlike on Friday night. Friday was one of the lowest scoring DFS nights of the entire year. Saturday certainly was not. Let’s take a look at this evening’s schedule.
The Schedule For Sunday, January 8, 2017
|Tampa Bay*||Pittsburgh||5:00 PM|
- = Teams are on the back end of a back to back
- = Third game in four nights *
- = Coming off a bye week.
Quick Plays (DraftKings and FanDuel pricing is used)
Sidney Crosby – $8400 / $9400- PIT vs TAM
Crosby is a risky GPP play on Sunday because of the bye week and little else. He has 11 points in his last ten games and gets the benefit of facing a tired, injured Tampa Bay team. Tampa has been allowing four goals a game over their last five and Pittsburgh scores 3.86 goals a game at home. Crosby also had a pointless game before the bye and things like that eat at a player of his caliber. He is the highest projected forward on the night and for good reason. Tampa Bay’s penalty kill at 77% over its last ten games is another.
Victor Rask — $5500 / $5700- CAR vs BOS
Rask is a solid GPP play on Sunday as he is showing signs of heating up. The forward has points in his last two games and three shots on goal in each contest. Boston can be a tough team to play against as Florida found out on Saturday but facing Tuukka Rask on the back end of a back to back possibly is more appetizing. Jeff Skinner could be an option for a mini stack as Boston seems to have a problem stringing together games this season.
Mikko Koivu — $5100 / $5700- MIN vs ANA
Koivu can be a good tournament or even good cash play tonight. Eric Staal may be too steep price wise to spend up for and the Wild’s power play correlation helps this along anyway. The center has 13 points in his last ten games, including five goals. He was a big part of the Minnesota comeback against San Jose. There is one big concern with shot volume as Koivu only has 15 shots and maybe 10-12 good scoring chances. However, Anaheim is a team that can be attacked with a forecheck and Minnesota is more than capable there.
Filip Forsberg — $5700 / $6900- NSH vs CHI
Forsberg is a gamble of a tournament or cash play on both sites tonight just because he is going to be a marked man by Chicago. Injuries have decimated Nashville no question and yet Forsberg is still created about three or four quality chances a night. He is a great idea on DraftKings where his price is more friendly. Chicago’s penalty kill is what it is and the Blackhawks even gave up three goals to Buffalo of all teams at home. These games can often take on a life of their own and that is why Forsberg becomes a slightly better option on Sunday.
Cam Atkinson — $7000 / $7200- CLB vs PHI
Atkinson will be a slightly higher owned tournament option on Sunday against Philadelphia because of his speed and shoot first mentality. The winger has ten points in his last nine games and that includes eight goals during this span. He is dangerous from anywhere on the ice and especially on the power play which Columbus feasts off of. The Flyers penalty kill is okay but at 5 on 5, Atkinson may have even more appealing match-ups as he can be double shifted often at home. Cheaper options include Nick Foligno, Sam Gagner, etc. but Atkinson presents the greatest opportunity to score goals.
Travis Konecny — $4400 / $4400- PHI vs CLB
Konecny is certainly a cheaper play again in tournaments tonight because he can hit or exceed value and not have to do much to do it. He has points in three of his last four games and is starting to shoot the puck more again. His speed may frighten Columbus the most and again the Blue Jackets are tired from the long streak and now having to play a third game in four nights. Tired legs and a young forward can be a good recipe on odd slates like this. Again, this provides a little salary relief to spend up, especially on FanDuel.
Justin Faulk — $5300 / $5800- CAR vs BOS
Faulk has solid point potential against a Boston team that gives up a lot of shots from the point. Also, the defenseman will just fire when ready as he has 35 shots over his last nine contests. He has eight points in that time including four goals. He is especially a threat on the Hurricanes power play where Faulk makes it a top half unit. His last meeting against Boston was something else. He had a goal, assist, and seven shots on goal. That should elevate his ownership a bit.
Matthew Benning — $3100 / $3700- EDM vs OTT
This could be a brilliant cash or GPP play everywhere just because it is a value play. Consider that the defenseman now has points in three of his last four games. His floor can be a liability because Benning does not shoot a ton or block many shots. However, he does create and his goal against New Jersey was an illustration of that. Simply, the defenseman found a hole and fired a seeing eye 60-70 foot wrister that went in the net. He has to do that more but his value makes sense even as a punt if necessary to spend upwards.
Cam Ward — $7500 / $8700- CAR vs BOS
Ward should be a decent GPP play with some upside geared toward the chances of a win. The same can be argued for a goalie like Marc-Andre Fleury but Fleury may face more shots tonight so he makes a better GPP play than Ward. The Carolina goalie can be used in cash games and has a consistent save percentage around .916 with a goals against average just below 2.1 over his last ten starts. He has to win to exceed value usually. That is the risk here. Every so often Carolina does give up a bunch of shots though. One never knows.
Devan Dubnyk — $7700 / $9500- MIN vs ANA
Dubnyk is a DraftKings play tonight especially in tournaments. Some bias may set in since he has allowed four goals in three straight starts but the rest yesterday might have done him some good. Anaheim can lay some eggs at home and the Wild will be angry after blowing a 2-0 lead on Saturday. Some of that was due to their backup keeper but they will not look at it that way. This goalie has still won nine of his last ten starts. There had to be some regression in his numbers but tonight may be a night where he catches fire again. Dubnyk is in the top half of almost every projection out there including ours. The risk could be worth the reward.
If for whatever reason, you are a little queasy on Jones then wait a little closer to confirmations. Tonight’s a night where one could even go Sergei Bobrovsky or Mike Condon but will they get the W? That is quite a question. This is the type of slate where risk could be rewarded with the right mix of chalk plays. There will be tons of danger wherever you may go tonight and Sunday expects to be full of landmines.
There will be lots more on Twitter as always. Do not be afraid to ask the tough or the easy questions. You can follow me @ChrisWasselDFS and good luck with tonight!