NHL Power Plays 1/31/17

This week’s schedule is short yet packed. The goal of this article is to highlight and summarize the potential plays so we can focus our salary cap resources on a specific set of players. There are 14 games on Tuesday so let’s get cracking on this post All-Star Break edition of NHL Power Plays. What Went Wrong? Sadly, the All-Star Break happened. Nothing screws up a routine more than four days off. The other thing is coming right back to a huge schedule where all but two teams play on the night. Getting back into the grind admittedly means the struggle is real when one truly decompresses. What Went Right? Hey, we are back! Jeff and I take a look at Tuesday night and honestly Jeff did most of the work here. Let’s roll and get to the action!   The Schedule For Tuesday, January 31, 2017

AwayHomeTime (ET)
WashingtonNY Islanders7:00 PM
ColumbusNY Rangers7:00 PM
NashvillePittsburgh7:00 PM
PhiladelphiaCarolina7:00 PM
BuffaloMontreal7:30 PM
New JerseyDetroit7:30 PM
BostonTampa Bay7:30 PM
OttawaFlorida7:30 PM
WinnipegSt. Louis8:00 PM
TorontoDallas8:30 PM
MinnesotaEdmonton9:00 PM
Los AngelesArizona9:00 PM
ColoradoAnaheim10:00 PM
ChicagoSan Jose10:30 PM

Quick Plays (DraftKings pricing is used) Centers Jeff Carter – $7100 – LAK vs ARZ Carter is a great play in cash and even in some GPP formats just because of his near automatic production. The center has heated up considerably with six points in his last eight games. He even draws an ideal match-up against an Arizona team that is just playing out the string. Carter also has 15 goals in 28 road games and six power play goals away from home. The Kings in some ways are better offensively away from the friendly confines. That includes the top line especially. The Coyotes will bleed chances allotted no matter who they pair up against Carter. Vincent Trocheck — $6300 – FLA vs OTT Trochek is a solid GPP play and cash option against Ottawa on Tuesday. The Senators are a bit up and down but Florida can generate as much as they allow of late. Florida’s top center has 12 points in his last nine games including seven goals. He is their go to guy and is even double shifted often in games. This all comes down to how Florida comes out of the break but the expectation is to see 30+ shots or close from both sides. The center has four or more shots in his last three games also. He often creates a lot of chances out of nothing. Tyler Bozak — $4900 – TOR vs DAL Bozak is a nice GPP play because the James van Riemsdyk line gives as much as it gets in the way of chances. They are fun to watch and again Bozak has nine points in his last ten games including three multiple point contests. The concern is low shot volume as the center has managed only three shots in that last four games. Dallas has one of the worst penalty kills in the league and the power play potential is high along with this entire line having excellent power play correlation. There is some risk but Toronto is projected to score at least three goals tonight. The Bozak line should figure in on at least one of them. Alex Burmistrov – $3000 – ARZ vs LAK Burmistrov is a great punt play in cash and even in some GPP formats just because of his bargain basement price and surprising point potential. He has six points in six games in Arizona. The shot volume is poor but he does have four shots in the last two games. Arizona will have to keep playing their youth but Burmistrov is still an experienced 24 year old who is seeing more and more power play time (about 2:30 per game). Each game, the overall ice time seems to inch upward so the price relief is much needed on a night with this large of the slate. Tomas Hertl — $4300 – SJ vs CHI Hertl is a dicey GPP play against Chicago on Tuesday. The center did not look out of play and created a chance or two last Thursday but had no shots on goal in his first game back after missing two months. As he eases into this role on the top six, expect him to get a bit more comfortable tonight against a Chicago team with a bottom five penalty kill. Tonight is as much about taking risks as it is about getting value to spend upward. Hertl will not be priced this low for very long and his increasing chance of hitting or exceeding value is intriguing. Evgeni Kuznetsov — $5300 – WSH vs NYI Kuznetsov is a contrarian GPP play because most will be looking at the incredibly hot John Tavares in this game and rightfully so. The center has 12 points in his last ten games and flashes of that high shot output we saw last year came back in the last game with two goals and eight shots. That included a power play goal which was his first one on special teams all year. The only gamble here is the game pace with these two teams can be all over the place. This could be a 2-1 dud or a 4-3 game. Kuznetsov is still reasonably priced enough to be owned however and is far enough from the chalk.   Wingers Nik Ehlers — $5700 – WPG vs STL Ehlers is a splendid play in tournaments and yet borderline chalky because of St. Louis’s uncertain goaltending situation. What will Jake Allen look like after an extended break? Everything from this game suggests a higher scoring contest. At the very least, St. Louis will not have an easy time containing the speed from the Ehlers line. He is someone one could stack with Bryan Little potentially but watch for line combination changes just to be safe. Radim Vrbata — $5300 – ARZ vs LAK Vrbata will be a moderate risk GPP play on Tuesday against Los Angeles because the Kings are just such perceived favorites here. Arizona always seems to fare well versus Los Angeles at home. He has ten points in his last ten games on 32 shots. The winger also has 21 points in 24 home games which includes eight power play points. Shot volume is excellent and he is on the first unit power play obviously. Los Angeles just has this weird tendency to have more duds than success in Arizona. This will not be an easy play for those to stomach but low ownership is very likely here. Gabriel Landeskog — $4600 – COL vs ANA Landeskog is going to be a nice idea in tournaments tonight because he has upside from playing on the top line alone. That gives him extra value on a night like this and the Avalanche do play better on the road. No one is suggesting they will win here but all the winger really needs is a few shots and an assist to exceed value. His power play correlation again allows you to spend up towards the chalky plays on Tuesday. Elias Lindholm — $4100 – CAR vs PHI Again, Lindholm is a risky but intriguing GPP play on Tuesday night. Carolina does not fare well typically against Philadelphia. However, they are usually good for a couple goals. The forward has nine points in his last ten games while averaging just about three shots a game on net. This gives one exposure to Jordan Staal, who is also priced nicely. Finding salary relief that has potential to surprise is always a good thing on a mega slate. Finally, the Philadelphia penalty kill is bottom five bad and their defense allows over three goals a game on the road. Cue the goals perhaps? Brad Marchand — $6900 – BOS vs TAM Marchand is a somewhat chalky play in tournaments because of just how hot the winger has been for the Bruins of late. He has 16 shots on goal and four goals in the last three games along to go with 14 points in the previous nine contests. The top line in Boston is costly as anything but there are ways to mini stack with Boston’s cheaper defense to make this more palatable. That is what it is about on NHL Power Plays. This might be worth it to try in a few lineups. Anders Lee — $4800 – NYI vs WSH Lee will be a moderate risk GPP play on Tuesday against Washington because both goalies can keep the scoring down. However, there is the chance this could be a 4-3 or 5-3 type of game too. The winger has 36 shots on goal in the last ten games with seven points. He has three power play points in the last nine contests too. He is a goal scorer with 17 goals in 46 games on the year. As long as the Islanders top line is red hot and the price is right, why not keep going with the hot hand. Even Josh Bailey is a decent mini stack option. Evander Kane — $4800 – BUF vs MTL Kane is going to be a solid idea in tournaments tonight because he has goal potential on a night like this. Buffalo has a top ten power play and the winger had two goals and an assist in his last game before the break. He also has 43 shots in the last ten contests. Shot and chance volume is something that Kane often can create but the points usually lag behind or an injury happens. It is always good to ride a streak but the winger matches up well against a Canadiens team that has given up a lot of shots of late. He has two assists on nine shots against Montreal this year so far. Kane may add to that tonight. Andre Burakovsky — $4000 – WSH vs NYI Again, Burakovsky is a gamble but fun GPP play on Tuesday night. Washington makes for an underlying play away from the top line. The forward is low priced and has 12 points in the last ten games despite just 19 shots on net. He has five goals in that span and often draws the weakest of match-ups. New York will give up chances and shots in abundance. The goal is to always take a shot and the relative numbers have improved greatly from the slow start Burakovsky endured. It is part of the reason Washington has been on one very hot streak. Nino Niederreiter — $5000 – MIN vs EDM Even on the road, Niederreiter is a play because Edmonton is a mediocre team too often at home. They will give up less goals but again a top line play with his 12 points in the last ten games. He had a three point night right before the break and has good point potential again tonight. The winger is averaging right around three shots a night over the last 12.  On a night like this, there are so many plays and at attractive pricing. This is more about going for that point and shot potential. He should get a favorable match-up as Edmonton does not have a conventional shutdown line. Leon Draisaitl — $5900 – EDM vs MIN Draisaitl is a great play for all the correlation and Connor McDavid exposure you want without the ridiculous price tag. He has 12 points in his last ten games including a six game point streak. Yes, he is only averaging two shots a game over the last 11 or 12 contests but the forward just has a knack for finding that unexpected apple err assist. He also has 17 power play points on the season which is among the league leaders. His home splits may not be as great as the road but Minnesota is a team that is allowing 32 shots per 60 in their last ten road contests.   Defensemen Brent Burns – SJ vs CHI – $8,200   Burns is a healthy spend tonight against the Blackhawks, but he should go lower owned with this massive slate of games.  Burns is not only leading all defenseman with shots, but he is leading the whole NHL with 192 shots on goal so far this year.  He is shooting just shy of four times per game, and he is leaned heavily on for the top power play for the Sharks.  The Blackhawks have been struggling going into the All-Star break, and their penalty kill is still severely lacking, as they sit with the third worst in the league with a 75.9% penalty kill.  Look for Burns to shoot early and shoot often.   Shea Weber – MTL vs BUF – $6,100   Weber is bringing a three game point streak into tonight’s game against the Sabres, and he should have a solid matchup tonight.  Buffalo is giving up over three goals per game and they are also giving up the fourth most shots on net per game on the road.  The Sabres are also having massive trouble on the penalty kill as they are down in the cellar with a 74.1% kill percentage.  Weber mans the point on the power play and it is not a question if he will see an extra man advantage, its how many he will see. If you need to save a little cash you can also look to the other side with Nathan Beaulieu – $4,000 as he also plays on the top power play unit with Weber.  Beaulieu logs about the same time as Weber, but his shot volume and playmaking abilities are somewhat capped, but he is still in play for sure.   Kevin Shattenkirk – STL vs WPG – $4,900   Shattenkirk sits at a fine price point tonight and is in play in GPP’s and Cash games.  the “Shat” has nine points in his last ten games, with four power play points.  Winnipeg is the second most penalized team in the NHL, giving up just shy of four power plays to opposing teams per game.  Also, the Jets have a troubling time killing all them penalties off with the fourth worst penalty kill in the league with a low 76.9% kill rate.   Dustin Byfuglien – WPG vs STL – $5,800   Big Buff is leading the league in ice time with an average of 27:20 time on ice.  That’s kind of insane if you look at the size of the guy.  Byfuglien is also productive with that time as he plays in pretty much every scenario the Jets get in.  Byfuglien is ranked third in defenseman with 155 shots on goal, and in his last ten games he has averaged 3.3 shots on net.  The good thing about Byfuglien is he is also a guy that doesn’t mind blocking shots.  He averages about two blocks per game, and that adds up to give him a solid floor.  St. Louis has had a really rough patch with their goaltending and its been kind of “helter skelter”.  The Jets play fast and if there is offense, you can be pretty sure Byfuglien will be involved with it.   Justin Faulk – CAR vs PHI – $5,300   Faulk comes rolling into post ASB with five points in his last two games.  He quarterbacks the top power play unit, and he doesn’t hesitate to shoot.  Faulk is a big part of the Canes offense and he likes playing the Flyers, he has two goals in two games against PHI and I can see him tallying up a point or two tonight.  The Flyers have played better recently having won the last three games going into the break, but they are still giving up too many goals on the road (3.24GAA) and they are giving up the third most real points (109) in the league to defenseman.   Drew Doughty – LA vs ARI – $5200   Doughty is working on a six game point streak with nine points in them six.  He logs massive minutes for the Kings and he is called on to man the top power play unit.  Doughty had a rough start to the year, but he has picked his game up and is showing his elite offensive presence lately, and he gets a juicy matchup tonight against the Coyotes.  Arizona is a bad team and their stats prove it, as they are in the bottom five in almost every stat.  Doughty should be able to continue his streak tonight without any major issues.  If you need to save a little cap room you can also tur to his mate on the opposite point Jake Muzzin – $4,400.    Seth Jones – CLS vs NYR – $4,800   Jones has been logging big minutes lately, and he has produced with six points in his last six games.  He doesn’t get to play on the top power play but he does get the second unit minutes.  Jones is a gifted offensive defenseman and he loves to shoot the puck, as he has 14 shots on goal in his last four games.  The Rangers have been having trouble keeping the puck out of the net with shaky goaltending and costly turnovers, and against the Blue Jackets that could lead to disaster.  I like Jones at his price tonight and I will have shares of him tonight.   Cam Fowler – ANH vs COL – $5,400   Fowler hasn’t been the definition of consistency this year but he has shown flashes of the huge offense he brings to the Ducks.  A matchup with the Avalanche is a nice “get right” spot for players, as they are a great team to pick on.  Colorado is giving up the most goals per game in the league, giving up 3.37 goals against per game.  The Aves are also the fifth worst penalty killing team in the league with a 77.5% kill rate.  If there was any game that Fowler could produce, its tonight.   Goalies Mike Smith — ARZ vs LAK – $7,000 Smith should be a tournament play with upside geared towards the chances of a high save count. Los Angeles can fire a lot of shots on net and Arizona does play better at home. Smith is coming off a nice All-Star performance and a shutout against Vancouver before the break. The Arizona goalie fares decent against the Kings at home and could be a sleeper of an idea tonight for a low price. There is one problem and that is with DraftKings. He may be higher owned than usual just because of the fact that his price is so ridiculously low due to dynamic pricing. John Gibson – ANH vs COL – $8,400   Gibson is the most expensive goalie on the night and it is for good reasoning.  The Avalanche are the lowest scoring team in the league, averaging only 2.02 goals per game.  Gibson has played Colorado twice this year and has stopped 54 of the 56 shots for a 1GAA and a .964 save %.  He should be a big favorite tonight, but it is warranted.   Carey Price – MTL vs BUF – $8,100   It is hard to imagine that Carey Price isn’t the highest priced goalie, as he has been the best goalie in the league for some time.  But Price has had a couple shaky outings and Montreal has dealt with injuries and depth issues, but that’s still not enough for me to not like him a lot tonight.  Price at home is usually a lock and an extremely solid play, and he has shutout upside every night.  Tonight, Price gets the Sabres at home, and if the Habs can find a way to limit the top two lines of Buffalo then Price should be in for a good night.  Price at home this year has a 2.17 GAA and a .927 save %.   Frederik Anderson – TOR vs DAL – $7,600   Anderson makes for an interesting play tonight as he is on the road and facing a semi lethal offense.  The Leafs also have a lethal offense and I think that Anderson could steal one here tonight. The Stars have the worst penalty kill, and the Leafs have the third best power play.  look for the special teams to decide this game.  Anderson has been better on the road this year with a 2.38 GAA and a .929 Save %.   Matt Murray – PIT vs NSH – $8,000   Murray has been spectacular at home with a 9-1-1 record.  The Pens haven’t had any short of offense at home as they lead the league in goals for per game, averaging four goals per game.  Murray should see a decent amount of rubber tonight as the Pens do give up a bunch of shots on net, but if he can play like he has been playing at home with a 2.38GAA and a .937 save %, he should have a big night.   ——————————————————————————————- If for whatever reason, you are a little queasy on Smith then wait a little closer to confirmations. Tonight’s a night where one could even go with backup options but will they get the W? That is quite a question. This is the type of slate where risk could be rewarded with the right mix of chalk plays. Watch out for any late changes as well due to the flu and other illnesses. It has been a factor of late. ——————————————————————————————- There will be lots more on Twitter as always. Do not be afraid to ask the tough or the easy questions. You can follow me @ChrisWasselDFS and @Votts_DFS on the social media. Good luck with tonight!