NHL Power Plays 1/25/17
This week’s schedule is short yet packed. The goal of this article is to highlight and summarize the potential plays so we can focus our salary cap resources on a specific set of players.
There are just four games on Wednesday so let’s get cracking on what happened last night then look forward to tonight. This will be fast.
What Went Wrong?
Sadly, it was the night of the blown lead. If it felt like a lead was safe, then it was not. The reality is most games were safe. However, Chicago blew a 2-1 lead in the third then lost 5-2. It was great for owners of Tampa Bay players (sort of) and a nightmare for Chicago and the “chalk donkeys”. Tuesday was not a good night for Patrick Kane and company. Nashville was embroiled in a high event game against Buffalo and finally went up 4-2 then disaster happened. Buffalo struck back to tie the game and then won in overtime. Another “sure” cash goalie was down. Luck sometimes does not shine on the DFS player. Even Minnesota blew a two goal and did win in a shootout but that 3-2 win was a near dud for almost everyone. New Jersey skunked out the first few minutes and never recovered in a 3-0 shutout loss. Why anyone rostered New Jersey players other than a one-off was in for a rough night. The same went for Calgary players too. Montreal was a sure bet of sure bets but that is for another time.
What Went Right?
Hey, there was a little scoring! Montreal had five goals and Alexander Radulov had two of them. Tampa Bay scored four times and Brian Boyle plus Alex Killorn had two points each. The Boston-Detroit game started a little slow then had seven goals. Boston nearly had 50 shots by itself as the first line tortured Detroit all game. Yet Henrik Zetterberg and Tomas Tatar both had nice nights. David Pastrnak scored his first goal in 18 games then added an assist also. Brad Marchand had two goals. Like we said, Boston held up its end but Detroit found itself a little offense too. John Tavares dished out two assists for the Islanders, Mike Condon and Carter Hutton pitched shutouts (yes Pittsburgh was shut out at home), plus Jack Eichel scored twice to complete the Buffalo comeback. It was some night.
The Schedule For Wednesday, January 25, 2017
|Philadelphia||NY Rangers*||8:00 PM|
- = Teams are on the back end of a back to back
- = Third game in four nights *
- = No teams coming off a bye week.
Quick Plays (DraftKings and FanDuel pricing is used)
Nazem Kadri – $6000 / $7000- TOR vs DET
Kadri is a good play in cash and even in some GPP formats just because who is going to match up against him. That is the question. Detroit is on the back end of a back to back and their other two centers will have some point potential too. The power play is his biggest asset of late with seven of his points coming in the last nine games from there (five goals). Detroit’s penalty kill can be leaky at times and again this all comes down to how much does Detroit have left in the tank as Kadri can be an intimidating force.
Derek Stepan — $6700 / $6700- NYR vs PHI
Stepan is a nice GPP play and cash option against Philadelphia on Wednesday. Philadelphia is still in a bit of disarray but they can generate a ton of shots on net (40+ against the Islanders on Monday). The Giroux line should match up against the Stepan line which likely means opportunities for both. Now, Stepan has run a little cold over this last three games with suspect shot and chance volume (only has one assist). However, his projections are still among the top five or six centers on the night.
Wayne Simmonds — $6400 / $6900- PHI vs NYR
Simmonds is a high gamble play in tournaments partially because of Henrik Lundqvist’s hot streak the last couple games. Will his chances that come result in goals or assists? The problem is this is a hit or miss proposition. He only has five points in his last ten games but did have two points against the Islanders. Getting into the soft underbelly of the Rangers defense is easy but can he beat Lundqvist? That is the question of questions.
Andreas Athanasiou — $4500 / $4700- DET vs TOR
Athanasiou will be a moderate risk GPP play on Wednesday against Toronto because no one knows what ice time he will get. His numbers have jumped around hovering near 14.5 minutes or so then jumped over 19 against Boston. He has six goals in his last ten games and nine points. Throw out the highlight reel goals and one thing is clear regardless, Athanasiou can skate and hit the net. He is a handful against the second or third lines which are likely to go up against him.
Gabriel Landeskog — $4500 / $6000- COL vs VAN
Landeskog is going to be a nice idea in tournaments tonight because he has upside from playing on the second line alone. That gives him extra value on a night like this and last line change means the coaching staff can conserve any potential lost energy. This is more of a DraftKings play because of the massive schism in dynamic pricing but is still a slight option on FanDuel and other sites. He has three or more shots in his last five games and had some bad luck (another post) in the loss to San Jose. It is a slightly different way to go on Wednesday and Vancouver is a better team to face than San Jose.
Oscar Klefbom — $4500 / $5300- EDM vs ANA
Klefbom has point potential against an Anaheim team that can get run up possession and chance wise. He does not have the floor of some of the other players tonight but the defenseman can hit the net with his shot (34 in the last ten and three plus shots a night on the road). His blocks have been around two a game of late too. Though Klefbom only has five points in his last nine games, he can be an offensive threat depending on how he is deployed tonight.
Radko Gudas — $3800 / $3900- PHI vs NYR
This could be a brilliant GPP play but it has much risk because of low point potential. Gudas only has a dozen points on the season and his shot volume is not always consistent. However, he has seven shots in the last two games. The defenseman also plays a rugged game and in rivalries, that can mean something. His blocks are around 2.5 a game for the most part so floor is solid. The Rangers’ defense can get pinned in often enough that if Gudas finds the mark once, that could be an assist or a goal.
Henrik Lundqvist — $8200 / $8900- NYR vs PHI
Lundqvist should be a cash play with upside geared towards the chances of a high save count. Philadelphia can crank up the shot counter like few teams can. Their power play is dangerous and the Rangers penalty kill will give up chances. The question becomes which dominates at 5 on 5 and in these games, that is 50-50 at best to figure out. There is lots of risk because two hot games does not mean Lundqvist is back. It just means he is playing better.
If for whatever reason, you are a little queasy on Lundqvist then wait a little closer to confirmations. Tonight’s a night where one could even go with backup options but will they get the W? That is quite a question. This is the type of slate where risk could be rewarded with the right mix of chalk plays. Watch out for any late changes as well due to the flu and other illnesses. It has been a factor of late.
There will be lots more on Twitter as always. Do not be afraid to ask the tough or the easy questions. You can follow me @ChrisWasselDFS and good luck with tonight!