NHL Power Plays 12/30/16
Short slates can be a bit of a pain for everyone. The goal of this article is to highlight and summarize the potential plays so we can focus our salary cap resources on a specific set of players.
There are four games on Friday so let’s get cracking on what happened last night then look forward to tonight. This will be fast.
What Went Wrong?
Sadly, if you thought Devan Dubnyk was safe, you would have been wrong. That sounds unfathomable but he gave up four goals despite getting the win. The amount of saves was far from ideal which led many that went all in on Dubnyk to be riddled with disgust. It turned out that Cam Talbot was a safe choice and yet he was so low owned. Those things happen and so did injuries. Kari Lehtonen was on the way to a win when injury struck in the very late stages of the second period. Florida was heavily impacted without Aleksander Barkov. That first line was a useless play. Also, the late hammer was a little slanted as Anaheim also delivered a 3-1 win which surprised quite a few and hurt some DFS chances.
What Went Right?
Hey, there was some scoring at least! Matt Puempel had a hat trick and he was someone we touched on during “Hit The Ice” as a punt play. All three goals in the 6-3 win were via the power play. Sometimes value just hits in an extraordinary way. Benneguin’s from Dallas err Tyler Seguin and Jamie Benn struck for several points in their 4-2 win over Colorado. No one was surprised with that as the over hit as expected. The Columbus first line ran roughshod over whatever Winnipeg tried to throw at them in their 5-3 win. If Foligno, Wennberg, and Werenski were on your team, then likely you were riding the cash life. It was a road night as nine teams won which meant quite a few contrarian plays hit on Thursday night. Friday will be just as difficult in some ways even with only four games.
The Schedule For Friday, December 30, 2016
|Nashville||St. Louis||8:00 PM|
|Philadelphia||San Jose||10:00 PM|
- = Teams are on the back end of a back to back
- = Third game in four nights *
Quick Plays (DraftKings and FanDuel pricing is used)
Ryan Kesler – $6400 / $6900- ANA vs VAN
Malkin is a popular GPP play on Friday. That is because Kesler loves to stick it to his former team. The problem is he has nine assists in his last ten games. If there ever was a time to score a goal or two, it might be Friday night against a Vancouver team that plays a little more wide open than they did the first month of the year.
Joe Thornton — $5200 / $5600- SJ vs PHI
Thornton is a risky GPP play on Friday as he does not shoot a lot. However, he has 11 points in his last 11 games and Philadelphia often gives up a ton of chances on the road. The last three games have brought pretty consistent value at least. This is far from going for goals. This is just about trying to spend mid-range to hit price per point and spend a little higher elsewhere.
Victor Rask — $5800 / $6000- CAR vs CHI
Rask can be a solid tournament or even good cash play tonight. Chicago is on their third game in four nights. Basically, if Carolina can get past their forwards often enough, the opportunities are going to come. Rask should be paired with Jeff Skinner and that is going to make an intriguing mini stack for some out there. The center has nine points in his last ten games by the way. Play him again!
Joe Pavelski — $7300 / $8000- SJ vs PHI
Pavelski is a gamble of a tournament or cash play on both sites tonight just because he has to produce big for one to get or exceed value. He is chalky and pricey but also has considerable potential to score a couple goals, etc. This is a case of high risk and high reward because being wrong on a short slate can be death. Philadelphia gives up lots of chances especially on the penalty kill. That is where Pavelski excels.
Sebastian Aho — $4400 / $4700- CAR vs CHI
Aho will be a low owned tournament option on Friday against Chicago because of the appeal with teams like San Jose and St. Louis. However, the forward shot a ton on Wednesday and may again on Friday (7 shots vs Pittsburgh). The Finnish player also had an assist along the way. He or Elias Lindholm make pretty good plays as Carolina easily could get 30+ shots on a tired Chicago team.
Robby Fabbri — $5400 / $5300- STL vs NSH
Fabbri is certainly a risky play again in tournaments tonight because he can disappear without notice at times. The winger has vanished of late but one never quite knows when the forward will heat up. His price has stayed stagnant over the past several weeks which helps. This will help one get Vladimir Tarasenko exposure and again is reasonably priced. He had a hat trick against Philadelphia and normally he strings along another good game or two after a breakout. Alexander Steen is an intriguing pick as well but has different risks because of shot volume.
Kevin Shattenkirk — $5200 / $6400- STL vs NSH
Shattenkirk has good point potential against a Nashville squad that is giving up goals in bunches. The Predators are also much worse on the road and their penalty kill often goes on vacation at the most inopportune time. Shattenkirk will have better match-ups and has two points in three meetings against Nashville even with a little bad puck luck. If one wants a little insurance instead, Colton Parayko is cheaper and blocks a ton of shots lately.
Jaccob Slavin — $4100 / $4100- CAR vs CHI
This is an excellent cash or GPP play on DraftKings. Consider that the defenseman is now the main blueliner with Justin Faulk out on a team that likes to shoot a lot at home. He also can block a few shots a night and this allows you spend up into the high priced and chalky range. The defenseman provides constant value over the last seven or eight games.
Martin Jones — $7900 / $8600- SJ vs PHI
Jones is a heavy risk at GPP and cash on Friday. The problem is Jones has won three straight and looked good in each. There is that feeling that a clunker could be on the horizon and Philadelphia can be a strange team to play against. That being said, one has to go for it sometimes in order to win the money and if New Jersey can shut out Philadelphia then anything is possible.
If for whatever reason, you are a little queasy on Jones then wait a little closer to confirmations. Tonight’s a night where one could even go Cam Ward or Jake Allen once more but will they get the W? That is quite a question. This is the type of slate where risk could be rewarded with the right mix of chalk plays. There will be tons of danger wherever you may go tonight.
There will be lots more on Twitter as always. Do not be afraid to ask the tough or the easy questions. You can follow me @ChrisWasselDFS and good luck with tonight!