NHL Power Plays 1/22/17
This week’s schedule has been different. The goal of this article is to highlight and summarize the potential plays so we can focus our salary cap resources on a specific set of players.
There are six games on Sunday so let’s get cracking on what happened last night then look forward to tonight. This will be fast. Remember, we are focused on only the four game main slate (starting at 5:00 PM ET).
What Went Wrong?
Sadly, an injury ruined the night of John Gibson before it got much too far. The goalie was injured in the first period of the eventual Anaheim 5-3 loss to Minnesota. In a sense, neither goaltender played well. Things would only get worse as Ben Bishop got shelled for five goals by Arizona of all teams. Mike Smith had 45 saves in the 5-3 decision for the Coyotes. Dallas and Washington’s first line had very average results despite seven goals being scored combined. Philadelphia laid a home egg against New Jersey by scoring just once. San Jose managed just three goals against Colorado and the top plays (late hammer) fell in silence. It was a night where one simply had to have certain players and that was it.
What Went Right?
Hey, there was some scoring! The New York Islanders first line and Nick Leddy led the way basically as they defeated the Kings 4-2. Basically, if you had them, one probably cashed. If one went J.F. Berube and his 34 saves, that only bolstered your chances. It was that kind of night where high event hockey happened in Brooklyn. It was not the only place. Miles Wood of New Jersey had a couple goals and five shots. Erik Haula and Jason Zucker had a couple goals each in Minnesota’s comeback win over Anaheim. Jordan Eberle had a surprise two goals and two assists in a 7-3 rout over Calgary in Calgary. Even Adam Larsson had three assists in the win. It was that kind of night where balance and depth lines in some cases ruled the day. Goaltending was just a minefield on Saturday night but Keith Kinkaid stopped 35 of 36 shots and Martin Jones squeaked out a win for most cash owners. Mike Condon and Robin Lehner blocked all but two in their wins as well.
The Schedule For Wednesday, January 18, 2017
|NY Rangers||Detroit||12:30 PM|
|Philadelphia||NY Islanders*||6:00 PM|
- = Teams are on the back end of a back to back
- = NO Third game in four nights *
- = No teams coming off a bye week.
- = RED SHADING means not part of the main slate.
Quick Plays (DraftKings and FanDuel pricing is used)
John Tavares – $6900 / $8400- NYI vs PHI
Tavares is a plug and play in cash and even in some GPP formats just because of his near automatic production. The center has heated up considerably with eight goals and an assist in his last five games. He even draws an ideal match-up against a Philadelphia team that gives up over three goals a game on the road and just allowed four to New Jersey at home on Saturday. Some will attribute that to rust but the Flyers had been off before the break and much of the same problems continued. This game could be a low event dud but could also be high event crazy. His linemates and Nick Leddy may be worth a stack in some form once again.
Kyle Turris — $5400 / $6000- OTT vs CLB
Turris is an average GPP play and cash option against Columbus on Sunday just because of home ice advantage. Six of the eight teams playing on the main slate are on the back end of a back to back. The center has eight points in his last ten games. He has four goals on his last 21 shots and had several quality chances on Saturday against Toronto. The play against Columbus is an interesting one and again can be part of a mini stack with the first power play unit.
Mike Hoffman — $5700 / $6500- OTT vs CLB
Hoffman is a good play in tournaments and yet borderline chalky because of how much better he is playing of late. Much like Tavares in some ways, the winger has ten points in his last ten games but four of his last five goals are on the power play. That quick strike ability and solid price will attract him quickly to players on tonight’s slate. He has 31 shots in that span and Hoffman has a high shooting volume potential.
Victor Arvidsson — $5700 / $5200- NSH vs MIN
Arvidsson will be a moderate risk GPP play on Sunday against Minnesota because it is Nashville’s third game in four nights. Sometimes that is overemphasized but it provides a little hesitation. He has a goal and two assists in the last two contests. He may be a better play on FanDuel even as the price there is a bit more enticing. Playing on the first line in Nashville always helps and something we have noticed is that Minnesota has been giving up chances more than usual. He may not quite have the goal potential but shots and points are possible.
Nino Niederreiter — $5000 / $4900- MIN vs NSH
Niderreiter is certainly a nice idea in tournaments tonight because he has upside from playing on the top line alone. That gives him extra value on a night like this and last line change means the coaching staff can conserve any potential lost energy. This sounds a little nuts but on nights like this where teams are not rested, anything helps. He has points in his last couple games (two goals and an assist). The winger sees power play time and again his price is too good not to at least play somewhere. He is likely to have several quality chances tonight.
Nick Leddy — $4500 / $4900- NYI vs PHI
Leddy has excellent point potential against a Philadelphia team that just gives up chances in waves much like the Islanders. He has nine points in his last ten games on 21 shots. His amount of blocks is okay enough but being on the first pairing and power play makes him an option considering Philadelphia’s penalty kill on the road is less than 80%. He is a safer option than Anders Lee or Josh Bailey but again, there is the idea of trying a full stack against Philadelphia.
Erik Karlsson — $6600 / $7400- OTT vs CLB
This could be a brilliant GPP play but it may also kill your lineups tonight. Karlsson is probably at its lowest price ever on DraftKings. He has assists in four straight games but one thing noticed is the 14 shots in the last ten games. Karlsson is missing the net a lot of late and not quite generating the chances he had been over the course of the season. Is it because of a more responsible defensive role? That may be part of it. However, there is no denying that the defenseman has potential to exceed value while a decreasing floor could be troubling.
Corey Crawford — $8100 / $9000- CHI vs VAN
Crawford should be a solid cash play with upside geared towards the chances of a win. Despite this, the risk is significant here. Chicago has had some issues at home lately including teams like Buffalo so to say Vancouver is an easy W would be premature. Again, the potential is there but will the volume of shots be? That is the question. He is typically seeing 31 shots per 60 but only has a .903 save percentage over the last ten starts. There is moderate risk with the possibility of reward but remember this is ONLY a cash play.
If for whatever reason, you are a little queasy on Jones then wait a little closer to confirmations. Tonight’s a night where one could even go with backup options but will they get the W? That is quite a question. This is the type of slate where risk could be rewarded with the right mix of chalk plays. Watch out for any late changes as well due to the flu and other illnesses. It has been a factor of late.
There will be lots more on Twitter as always. Do not be afraid to ask the tough or the easy questions. You can follow me @ChrisWasselDFS and good luck with tonight!