NHL Power Plays –12/19/16
Short slates can be a bit of a pain for everyone. The goal of this article is to highlight and summarize the potential plays so we can focus our salary cap resources on a specific set of players.
There are five games on Monday so let’s get cracking on what happened last night then look forward to tonight.
What Went Wrong?
Sadly, if you were crazy enough to choose Colorado goaltending again, you watched Calvin Pickard get hung out to dry. Colorado’s depth is so dreadful offensively and defensively that focusing on their top players is better but not optimal. Sergei Bobrovsky gave up three goals but did get a win at least and then there were the Islanders who tried J.F. Berube and that went rather poorly. San Jose was in a decent spot but then gave up four straight goals to Chicago. If anyone focused on the Boston-Los Angeles game, it was a straight out egg except for the goaltenders.
What Went Right?
Hey, it was just one of those slates where Tuukka Rask got an easy shutout for once. Los Angeles was gassed and the first 40 minutes Rask could have had a beach chair out there. Cam Atkinson had another excellent evening for Columbus as he quietly becomes one of the highest priced wingers on any slate. Brandon Saad was right there with two goals as well. Scott Darling surprised a few of us with a 33 save win against San Jose allowing only one goal. It was fun to see Ryan Hartman and Vincent Hinostroza both have two points each. A lot of people alluded to sneaking in as many Senators against the Islanders and it worked handsomely as five different Ottawa players scored. Zack Smith and Mark Stone both had three point nights. The Islanders were really one of the most obvious fades on Sunday for good reason.
The Schedule For Monday, December 19, 2016
|Edmonton||St. Louis||8:00 PM|
No teams are on the back end of a back to back
Third game in four nights *
Quick Plays (DraftKings and FanDuel pricing is used)
Leon Draisaitl – $6200 / $6400- EDM vs STL
Draisaitl is a slightly against the grain GPP play on Monday. That is because St. Louis can be extremely stingy at home. He is averaging above value over the last dozen contests by a decent margin. The forward also has 18 road points in 17 games away from Edmonton including ten goals. Nine of his 13 power play points have also come away from the province of Alberta. He is a winger on FanDuel so please take note of that.
Sean Monahan — $6100 / $6200- CGY vs ARZ
Monahan is a good GPP play on Monday as Arizona is going to give up among the most opportunities. The center is starting to come back to his normal production levels. He has 11 points in his last ten games. Shot volume is still right around 2.3 shots a game but Johnny Gaudreau back and healthy has really been a huge boost. The only risk in this game is if both teams try to dial it down some but the Arizona penalty kill is just too poor to not at least consider Monahan.
Patrik Berglund — $3900 / $3600- STL vs EDM
The value makes Berglund an off the radar tournament or even good cash punt play tonight. He has three goals in his last two games but is shooting more actively in the last half dozen contests. Berglund is still missing the net more than usual. However, the Oilers depth on defense is always in question and the Blues excel at home at last line change.
Wayne Simmonds — $6900 / $7100- PHI vs NSH
Simmonds is a solid tournament choice with goal upside against a Nashville team that is just not so good lately at stopping the opposition. Jakub Voracek will be the chalky play but we are erring on the side of Simmonds to steal a tiny bit of exposure. The price difference is very little and Simmonds come off a horrible game his last time out where he acknowledged just how poor he played. Given the first meeting had a high pace to it, do not be shocked if this one is the same. Think the power play.
Viktor Arvidsson — $6000 / $5700- NSH vs PHI
Arvidsson is a heck of a tournament or cash play on both sites tonight just because he shoots shoots and shoots. This is at a rate of nearly four a game over the last ten games. He has seven points in that span and has really excelled in this first taste at a featured role. Teams have noted how difficult it is to contain him once he gets a head of steam. Arvidsson drives possession well and seems to make his linemates better by taking pressure off them. He can be at threat at all phases. He has a shorthanded goal and leads Nashville in shorthanded high danger scoring chances.
Sebastian Aho — $4400 / $4600- CAR vs DET
Aho will be a low owned tournament option on Monday against Detroit with the news that Mike Green is out. Detroit’s defense is already compromised but facing a Hurricanes team that can pin a team defense in their zone is not optimal. The Red Wings did just score six goals against Anaheim but this is not Anaheim. Aho has been a little up and down since he has had more featured minutes yet his skill set has serious potential. Last line change could be vital in his utilization tonight in a night where many will rightfully have Carolina’s first line.
Rickard Rakell — $6400 / $6000- ANA vs TOR
Rakell is a good GPP choice on Monday because Toronto loves to impress at home almost too much. That often means lots of chances given up the other way. Also, Randy Carlyle (former coach) is coming to town. They may focus on trying to pile on the goals which again means more transitions for a shifty forward like Rakell. Toronto has been a little better of late on that end but tonight may be a night where all things get thrown out the window.
Robby Fabbri — $5000 / $5100- STL vs EDM
Fabbri is certainly a risky play in tournaments tonight because he can disappear without notice at times. The winger has vanished of late but one never quite knows when the forward will heat up. His price has stayed pretty stagnant over the past several weeks which helps. This will help one get Vladimir Tarasenko exposure and again is reasonably priced. Edmonton is a team coming in that creates excitement but also a good match-up for St. Louis.
Justin Faulk — $5400 / $5600- CAR vs DET
Faulk has good point potential against a banged up Detroit team with concerns at defense and on the penalty kill. He has 16 shots on net in the last three games and again this has more to do with match-up than anything else. If one wants to pivot down to Jaccob Slavin or Brett Pesce, that is not even a bad idea on this short slate. However, if you are chasing goals and big points, it may just be on Faulk tonight and thankfully he is not outrageously priced.
Andrej Sekera — $4800 / $4300- EDM vs STL
This is a good salary relief play for cash or tournaments. Consider that the defenseman blocks about three shots a game and has nine points in his last ten games for a second. Then there is his price which is solid by most standards. Sekera is providing above value output and playing in all situations which means more chances to block shots and create a little offense. The play is a little better on FanDuel because of some of their inflated pricing. St. Louis is not easy at home but Sekera’s floor is too good to pass up here.
Cam Fowler — $5500 / $5100- ANA vs TOR
Fowler has more potential for a GPP than most think on Monday. He has seven points in his last ten games and is averaging two blocks and two shots per contest. These could both be elevated on Monday against a Toronto team that shoots a ton and gives up many chances. It is a lot like the rationale of playing Arizona Anthony DeAngelo. They can get you points in more ways than usual on Monday. DeAngelo is cheaper but Fowler has the higher chance of scoring a goal.
Cam Ward — $7500 / $8200- CAR vs DET
Ward is a cash and slight risk at GPP on Monday. Keep in mind that the goalie just snapped a three game streak of awful play against Buffalo and that was an easy 23 save night for the Carolina netminder. Old habits are starting to come back to bite him but he must remain calm against a Detroit team that can create opportunities out of nothing. If he is calm and not over reaching then the Hurricanes have a good chance of getting that all important win tonight.
Carter Hutton — $7900 / $7700- STL vs EDM
Hutton is a high risk GPP play even with St. Louis at home. His last four starts have seen him allow three goals or more on not that many shots. However, he is being given an opportunity here. Consider that he has not started December 3rd and the goalie may be motivated to show some of the promise from his days in Nashville. The Blues needed to give Jake Allen a rest and Hutton has a chance to face 28-30 shots or more. That could be good enough volume to make him a FanDuel special given their pricing structure for tonight. The first period will be vital, especially early.
If for whatever reason, you are a little queasy on these goalies then wait a little closer to confirmations. Tonight’s a night where one could even go Mike Smith once more but will he see the shot volume? That is quite a question. This is the type of slate where risk could be rewarded with the right mix of chalk plays.
There will be lots more on Twitter as always. Do not be afraid to ask the tough or the easy questions. You can follow me @ChrisWasselDFS and good luck with tonight!