NHL Power Plays 11/6/16
Sunday evening slates can be a pain for everyone. The goal of this article is to highlight and summarize the potential plays so we can focus our salary cap resources on a specific set of players.
Sunday features six games. Let’s take a quick look back at last night’s games then reveal some of our power plays for the slate.
What Went Wrong?
Unfortunately, the life of variance leads to oddities. The first thing was all that again St. Louis did not deliver to projections. San Jose dive bombed again at home and worse this time while Carey Price gave up four goals in net for Montreal proving that he is human. Even Tuukka Rask managed to get hit hard at home against a Rangers team that typically has trouble playing in Boston. Nashville also lost in a shootout for those that went Pekka Rinne. Offensively, they were surprisingly stymied by Cam Ward of all people. It just was one of those nights.
What Went Right?
Simply it was the fine choice of other goaltending performances that ruled the night. Matt Murray had 32 saves in a shutout for Pittsburgh. Calvin Pickard and Peter Budaj also hopped aboard the “Shutout Express” and believe me they were reasonably priced last night. Nikita Kucherov and Victor Hedman had multi point efforts for Tampa in their 4-1 win over New Jersey. Tyler Bozak and Mitch Marner did the same for Toronto. There were some nice stacks to have but actually a decent amount of balance spread across the board. It was a twelve game slate after all. This will be a fast hop into our picks for Sunday evening.
Today’s Power Plays (DraftKings pricing is used)
Derek Stepan – $6400- NYR vs WPG
So a Stepan-Vesey mini stack on GPP’s has to be attempted given they are both very good plays against a Winnipeg team that defensively still cannot figure out spacing. Winnipeg also is not a very disciplined team. They are among the top ten in penalties taken and the bottom ten in the penalty kill. One can string along other Rangers players or maybe get ambitious and try to mini stack both top six lines. Either way, New York plays a fast paced style with their forwards that should generate high event hockey from their end.
Mark Scheifele — $7300- WPG vs NYR
Scheifele is my favorite play on Sunday because he still gives you exposure to Nik Ehlers and Patrik Laine. The center has had a bit of a struggle in the last week or so but draws Henrik Lundqvist who can be hit or miss. to choose from. That line is pure speed and accelerations and those accelerations is what has hurt the Rangers team defense this year. The trick is can they do it consistently enough to get New York on their heels.
Tyler Seguin – $7600- DAL vs CHI
Seguin has to be considered a good contrarian play of sorts because of the unexpected first line flameout by Dallas on Saturday night. The Stars did generate over 30 shots on Corey Crawford and the expectation is that it will again. Some may even consider Radek Faksa for Dallas as a value play because of Chicago’s lack of depth but Seguin is the engine that needs to go if the Stars expect to win on this night.
Rickard Rakell — $5800- ANA vs CGY
Rakell is a great idea even more in cash than tournament play today but can be used for both. He is not chalky because of the potential Rangers, Oilers, Blackhawks, and even Jets plays today. Please note that Rakell is only a winger on DraftKings. He is on the wing almost everywhere else which makes him an even greater play on those sites. The forward excels at creating space and simply getting the puck to the net. For Anaheim, that means points!
Rick Nash — $6500- NYR vs WPG
Nash is a very good cash play and a pretty decent tournament play on Sunday as long as he keeps shooting the puck on net. The winger really has paired well with Vesey and Stepan and that result is seeing Stepan finally show some offensive punch. It is Nash’s ability on the power play that really should surprise people. He opens up lanes and a Winnipeg team that has issues on the penalty kill could be ripe for the taking.
Artemi Panarin — $6900- CHI vs DAL
Panarin again becomes a very good cash play and a highlighted pick for Sunday. Dallas will give the winger opportunities to make plays and execute. Furthermore, he is still on the power play with Patrick Kane and Artem Anisimov which sets up a nice power play stack idea if the $$$ are there. Mixing and matching may be the way to go strategy wise today as there are some excellent options if one is willing to take the risk. “Chicago Chalk Donkeys” may rise to the occasion once more this Sunday evening.
P.A. Parenteau — $3900- NJ vs CAR
Alas the risks need to be plenty on a Sunday like this and Parenteau is a high risk GPP play on Sunday against Carolina. The Hurricanes have subpar goaltending and New Jersey has a popgun offense at times. However, game theory and history suggests the 50-50 potential of a little higher scoring game than expected. Parenteau will play with Taylor Hall and Travis Zajac. They do make a relatively cheap line stack and the Devils power play is ranked one of the ten best in the league. The biggest question is shot volume as New Jersey on back to backs often does falter by about 20% there.
John Klingberg — $5200- DAL vs CHI
Klingberg is a high risk GPP option but also a slightly safer cash choice on Sunday. If the Dallas defenseman was on the first pairing at even strength, this would be a little less risky but he is paired with prospect, Esa Lindell. He does not have the block or shot volume that most higher end defensemen do in daily fantasy. Klingberg will need to get an assist or goal just to hit value but at least his price is just enticing enough. Dallas was genuinely disappointed in their performance on Saturday. Expect them to get more pucks to the net to draw rebounds.
Justin Faulk — $5300- CAR vs NJ
Faulk makes a better GPP play because of his power play upside against a Devils team on the back end of a back to back that is starting Keith Kinkaid. This is a total hit or miss play ladies and gentlemen as the defenseman has been inconsistent in hitting the net. It is often a theme for defensemen by the way. Anything close to or over 50% is actually very good for a blueliner. He is averaging 2.3 shots per game and the fact that he is at three over the last several games is encouraging at least. New Jersey can easily give up over 30 shots and 15-20 scoring chances this evening with ease. Faulk figures to be a part of that as the game goes on.
Damon Severson — $3800- NJ vs CAR
Severson is a very nice tournament play for those looking for value as his pricing has been pretty stagnant. The Devils defenseman has nine points in ten games and has five power play points on the season already. Again, the big concern with Severson is he only averages 1.5 shots per game and defensively can get caught a lot so don’t expect a lot of shots generated from good possessions and cycles. What you could get is a defenseman not afraid to jump into the play against a Carolina defense that will give chances in a glorious nature.
Henrik Lundqvist — $8300- NYR vs WPG
This is an extreme risk cash and tournament play but upside is there as a definite possibility. Winnipeg is one of the most up and down teams in the league. They can produce a ton of volume or toss up a 17 shot dud. One would think on the big stage that Lundqvist should be expected to face around 30 shots but that is not a given. It is truly about a four in ten chance that the shots are there and the saves are another question. Lundqvist must come up with a gem of a performance this evening.
Semyon Varlamov – $7300- COL vs STL
Varlamov draws a team with ridiculously bad luck in St. Louis which makes him a decent contrarian play with some chance for upside. It is often these types of games (see Chicago last year) where the goalie just has one of those great nights. Again, this has about a two or three chance in ten of occurring. However, St. Louis will be extra motivated given that some of their star players have underperformed of late. Colorado has themselves to be honest so the hope is for a little extra shot volume even if the game theory suggests it may not be quite there.
There will be lots more on Twitter as always. Do not be afraid to ask the tough or the easy questions. You can follow me @ChrisWasselDFS and good luck this evening and tonight! More picks and even stacks will be available in the chatroom today so keep an eye out for that.