NHL Power Plays – 11/30/16
Short slates can be a bit of a pain for everyone. In this article, NHL Power Plays, the goal is to highlight and summarize the potential plays so we can focus our salary cap resources on a specific set of players.
There are just three games on Wednesday. Let’s take a quick look back at last night’s games so we can then look ahead.
What Went Wrong?
Sadly, late goalie hammers are a buzzkill and that was a big killer in the final two games of the night. San Jose-Arizona was expected to feature a couple more goals and so was Anaheim-Montreal. Both ended up being 2-1 games where Martin Jones was outpointed by his opponent in net, Mike Smith. There was that Florida and Chicago clash where the shots were high but the scoring was not also. That Darcy Kuemper egg where he gave up five goals probably did not help either.
What Went Right?
Hey, it was just one of those nights where a Buffalo-Ottawa game stack was just about what the doctor ordered. Mike Hoffman had a hat trick, Ryan O’Reilly had three points, and Jack Eichel had a multiple point night in his first game back after injury. The Robin Lehner injury actually was a springboard for scoring to spike just a bit more. Toronto and Edmonton still hit the over but Steve Mason and his 45 saves shocked many. The goalie had a .920 career save percentage in Philadelphia going into this season. His numbers were bound to bounce back some.
The Schedule For Monday, November 28, 2016
|Pittsburgh||NY Islanders||8:00 PM|
|San Jose||Los Angeles||10:30 PM|
Back end of a back to back
Calgary Flames @ New York Islanders
Thomas Greiss vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
Greiss is an upside tournament play because Pittsburgh typically shoots a lot. The Calgary start was enough to get another look basically as the goalie was smart in net. He was not tested that much but made timely saves when he was. At the minimum, this game is a moderately high to high event contest. Greiss is going to see a team who carries a much faster tempo and a lethal power play as well.
Matt Murray vs. NY Islanders
Murray is a high risk GPP play with upside IF he is the starter. The dilemma is nothing has been CONFIRMED yet so this will be updated via social media. Pittsburgh will give up their chances and lots of shots more often than not. He already has beat the Islanders once this year as Pittsburgh did keep Islanders shots down that time. His price is the highest on the slate on DraftKings so that has to be in the memory bank on Wednesday night.
Toronto Maple Leafs @ Calgary Flames
Chad Johnson vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
Johnson is more of a tournament option tonight. Cash on three game slates is almost not worth it unless you have a lucky horseshoe somewhere. He is not CONFIRMED yet but likely. The goalie did get lit up in Philadelphia on Sunday but has an amazing .922 save percentage for the Flames which is something no one expected. Toronto comes off a back to back and no one ever quite knows what kind of shot volume to expect from them. Johnson will have a low margin for error in this one.
Frederik Andersen vs. Calgary Flames
Andersen is a high risk contrarian tournament play. The Toronto goalie is not CONFIRMED yet but typically has worked both ends of the back to back after the first game was a win. He was much better against the Oilers on Tuesday night, stopping all but two shots. Calgary’s special teams is well impotent especially on the power play where they have just one goal. Andersen will likely have to worry about shorthanded and 5 on 5 chances against only.
San Jose Sharks @ Los Angeles Kings
Peter Budaj vs. San Jose Sharks
Budaj will likely be confirmed later and is a moderate GPP option on Wednesday. The question again is what will San Jose have left in the tank? Guys like Brent Burns, Patrick Marleau, and Joe Pavelski can generate shots but how many will actually hit the net? Los Angeles should be able to control most of the puck possession. This could be a middling event game at the best with a ton of hits. Budaj will have a 55-60% chance of winning this game.
Martin Jones vs. Los Angeles Kings
Jones is a higher risk tournament play but has upside because of the prospect he faces more of the pace. The San Jose backstop has not been CONFIRMED yet. He has been a good bit worse on the road which was the dead exact opposite of last season. In a lot of ways, the team has done a 180 from last year in the first quarter of the campaign. The goalie will face that ten minutes of thunder and withstand it. Will he be able to sustain that level for an entire game in Los Angeles? No one quite knows.
Quick Plays (DraftKings pricing is used)
Evgeni Malkin – $7300- PIT vs NYI
Malkin is a trendy GPP option because New York will be so focused on trying to stop err slow down Sidney Crosby. The second line center is a good $1500 cheaper and elsewhere is at a nicer price on this night. Malkin still gets you power play exposure and allows you to spend still in other places without breaking your budget. Malkin does have two points and seven shots in two games against the Islanders this year.
Nazem Kadri — $5500- TOR vs CGY
Kadri is an average priced GPP play on Wednesday as his price is reasonable and his role is greater than people think. The center can block shots, draw penalties, generate shots, and is scoring goals at a nice clip this season. What more do people want? He does play on the third line at even strength but gets enough special teams time to make up for that. Mike Babcock tends to spread his minutes pretty well. The forward will also go up against Calgary’s depth defensemen a lot.
Patric Hornqvist — $7200- PIT vs NYI
Hornqvist is an extreme risk play tonight against the Islanders because he is a game time decision. He has progressed significant in his recovery from a concussion suffered two weeks ago against Washington. If he plays tonight, this will be a significant boost to the Penguins power play and fantasy fortunes alike. Hornqvist had seven points in his previous eight games leading up to the injury. If for whatever reason he cannot go, then consider Conor Sheary or Jake Guentzel.
Leo Komarov — $4000- TOR vs CGY
Komarov makes for a dangerous contrarian GPP play and really could open up your lineup if Hornqvist does not play on Wednesday. He has seven points in his last ten games and does possess a below average shot volume. However, his chances created with Nazem Kadri are above average for a third line. Do note the special teams time and Calgary’s lackluster penalty kill. It really may be worth attacking this for savings.
Alec Martinez — $5000- LAK vs SJS
Martinez is a solid GPP play for tonight as he averages right about $1500 per daily fantasy point this year. That is what we consider to be excellent for his value. Since he has done that for his last ten games and has a good match-up against San Jose, he is recommended. The defenseman also has a nice floor where he is blocking over two shots a game while shooting two times a night. The first match-up saw Martinez block five shots, only had one shot, but did have several scoring chances later in the game.
Peter Budaj — $7600- LAK vs SJS
This is the hardest decision because all of these goalies carry a significant risk in their own way. Budaj is a concern because of the low volume of shots and the fear that he cracks up in a big game like this. He also has a good chance for a win because the Sharks are on a tough stretch right now. See above for more.
There will be lots more on Twitter as always. Do not be afraid to ask the tough or the easy questions. You can follow me @ChrisWasselDFS and good luck with tonight!