NHL Power Plays 10/19/16
Short slates can be a bit of a pain for everyone. The goal of this article is to highlight and summarize the potential plays so we can focus our salary cap resources on a specific set of players. Normally it takes a few weeks before enough hard data and trends surface, however, the meantime there are a few tendencies that can be spotted already.
Wednesday features just two games. Let’s take a quick look back at last night’s games so we can begin compiling our player knowledge for this season.
What Went Wrong?
Unfortunately, the life of variance leads to some crazy things. The was Connor McDavid, who had an unfortunate night. Edmonton scored three times, but McDavid was not involved on a single one. He had just two shots on goal and was the highest priced forward on the night. Other high priced players that flamed out a bit included Tyler Seguin, Jamie Benn, Jonathan Toews, and Evgeni Malkin.
What Went Right?
Switching up to an Ottawa or Chicago stack was not a half bad idea. Patrick Kane’s line was a highlight play and because of the large slate, their ownership was considerably lower than normal. Five goals and six assists were the damage inflicted by Kane, Artem Anisimov, and Artemi Panarin. Their point totals were double digits each on DraftKings , which made for great plays. As for Ottawa, the line of Mike Hoffman, Kyle Turris, and Mark Stone had seven points combined and Hoffman had eight shots on net. Both games appropriately ended as 7-4 contests and were the highest projected scores of the night.
Detroit Red Wings @ New York Rangers
Henrik Lundqvist vs. Detroit Red Wings
Lundqvist has to be considered a solid option on Wednesday; his two starts have not been great as he gave up three goals in both of them. Slow starts are mostly a staple in the goalie’s career but his home record features a stellar 2.16 GAA and a 213-114-37 record. Detroit is coming off a 5-1 win over Ottawa at home but looked woeful on the road in Florida giving up ten goals in two games. This has the potential of being a confidence booster for the netminder but also has a risk of going not so well. Lundqvist’s price is still pretty high too so keep that in mind.
Petr Mrazek vs. New York Rangers
Mrazek is probably a tournament only option tonight, as the Rangers can put up lots of shots and create chances in bunches. This was in evidence on Monday against San Jose when they not only scored seven goals but were able to rush the puck up ice well especially with Chris Kreider and Mika Zibanejad. From the defensive corps, Adam Clendening and Nick Holden have been surprises in the sense that they can transition from defense to offense well. That could put Detroit’s defense in some danger, which obviously causes problems for the Detroit goalie. New York has three, arguably four forward lines that can make things uneasy for the Red Wings. Mrazek will have to be at his best on the big stage at Madison Square Garden.
Toronto Maple Leafs @ Winnipeg Jets
Frederik Andersen vs. Winnipeg Jets
Andersen is an adequate pick for tournaments only tonight if you want a slightly out of the box pick. He is a goalie who had his issues in the preseason and still sports a below average sub .900 save percentage in the early going. Winnipeg is a high variance team who can score goals in bunches but can also be stopped in their tracks like they were against Tuukka Rask on Monday, so either outcome is foreseeable this evening. The Jets are as inconsistent as they come, but Andersen is playing in front of a mostly young team that makes its share of mistakes. With only a two game slate, high risk plays are just more likely because of the limited number of players that can be chosen.
Michael Hutchinson vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
Hutchinson is a high risk play, but may be worth it because at some point a Winnipeg goalie has to play better, right? This is why Ondrej Pavelec was waived after all and yet the song remains the same. Four goals allowed against Carolina, three goals yielded to Minnesota, and four more tallied by Boston (three plus an empty net goal). One gets the idea and the message that maybe it is not all the goalie. For better or for worse, Winnipeg misses their holdout defenseman Jacob Trouba and until they find a way to plug the gap, there will be more goalie problems.
Quick Plays (DraftKings pricing is used)
Mika Zibanejad – $5600- NYR vs SJS
A Zibanejad-Kreider mini stack has to be attempted, given they are both good plays against a Detroit team that plays a good bit worse on the road. Granted, Kreider is the one with multiple points in each of his first three games but it is the engine of Zibanejad that makes the first line go. The difference in speed and accelerations of Kreider from last year to this year is night and day. Zibanejad is a talented center who can create and shoot the puck quite well; it could be a fearsome combination on Wednesday night.
Mathieu Perreault — $4400- WPG vs TOR
Perreault is a steady play with an accurate floor. He is currently on the second line at even strength with the speedy Nik Ehlers and Drew Stafford. The only slight drawback, if there is one, is that he plays on the second power play unit with really only Patrik Laine as a significant fantasy player. Watch for line shifts every so often, but Perreault simply is one of those players who can be pretty steady but every so often pops off a very good performance.
Blake Wheeler — $7400- WPG vs TOR
Wheeler is a highlight play against a young Toronto team tonight. That line with Mark Scheifele and Patrik Laine is something to watch. What makes Wheeler such a nice play is that he is a playmaker with breakneck speed and yet is not afraid to shoot the puck. He will play 20 minutes a night, draws penalties, and always is a danger on the power play.
Mats Zuccarello — $6000- NYR vs DET
Zuccarello is a viable option and an excellent choice tonight against Detroit. The home crowd seems to almost exude the short in stature forward. He had a multiple point night against San Jose and had several outstanding scoring chances in St. Louis. All the Rangers winger needs is a head of steam and look out, things will happen quickly. Zuccarello is not afraid to get close to the net either which leads to higher quality chances. Derek Stepan is a complimentary center that could be used along with Zuccarello has a moderately high risk mini stack on Wednesday.
Morgan Rielly — $4600- TOR vs WPG
Rielly is an option for GPP plays mostly, and only for those with a high tolerance for risk. He is a defenseman that typically has more starts in the offensive zone which is very good for fantasy. Rielly will block some shots and is continually seeing significant power play time. Winnipeg can get caught when it comes to defensemen who possess good speed. Nick Holden from the Rangers may be a decent, lower cost alternative or someone to pair up with Rielly to try and go after the higher priced talent on tonight’s slate
Petr Mrazek — $7800- DET vs NYR
Mrazek is a GPP play tonight only as the expectation is Lundqvist will be the preferred option in cash. Short slates have increased ownership percentages so keep that in mind as well. Mrazek has a potential to see 35+ shots in net, and that means lots of potential for saves. If he turns in a great performance, that means a big point boost which could mean the difference between cashing or not in some cases.
There will be lots more on Twitter as always. Do not be afraid to ask the tough or the easy questions. You can follow me @ChrisWasselDFS and good luck tonight!