NFL Week 5 Stack Em Up – DraftKings
It is a little surprising that there are no games with 50 or more projected points, however, there are still several games projected to top 47 points so we have plenty of stacks we can target in Week 5.
For those who are not familiar with what stacking means, let’s define what we are calling a stack.
Stacking is pairing multiple players from one team. In this instance I will be referring to a quarterback and one of his receivers, tight ends, or running backs.
New England Patriots
Game Over/Under: 46.5
Patriots Implied Points: 28.5
The Patriots take on the Browns in a game that Vegas is projecting to be a blowout. New England’s implied point total (28.5) is the highest of the slate. Tom Brady $7,500 returns to action after serving a four game suspension and faces a Cleveland defense that has allowed at least two passing touchdowns in each game this season and 10 total. Quarterbacks are also averaging 270.5 passing yards per game against them, so yes, sign me up for the angry Brady narrative this week. If you are concerned about this offense slowing down with a big lead, do not be, we have seen Bill Belichick run up scores before and not take his foot off of the gas.
Julian Edelman $6,700 gets his quarterback back this week and instantly gets a boost moving forward. Despite a disappointing game in Week 4, Edelman played in 50 of 56 offensive snaps for the Patriots and with Brady under center, Edelman should be far more efficient with that much playing time. These two will be on the same page from the first snap of this game and I expect Brady to look at Edelman frequently in this contest.
Chris Hogan $4,100 is also appealing as he has played in 83.6 percent of the offensive snaps this season and played in 52 of 56 offensive snaps last week. He gets an immediate bump as well and at this price could provide a great return on investment. Aside from last week against the Redskins, the Browns have allowed two touchdowns in each game to opposing receivers. They are yielding 160.8 receiving yards and 11.3 receptions per game to receivers, putting both Edelman and Hogan in a favorable situation this week.
If Rob Gronkowski $6,500 was completely healthy, he would be the no brainer to pair up with Brady, but unfortunately he is not. Recent reports suggest that Gronk is still not fully recovered from his hamstring injury, which is possibly why he has struggled since returning to action. He has caught just one of his three targets in the last two games for 11 yards. While the lack of quarterback talent could also have something to do with his struggles, if you have watched him play, it has been pretty obvious that he is not fully healthy. Normally, this would be really good spot for Gronk as the Browns are giving up 81.3 yards and eight receptions per game to tight ends, along with two touchdowns, but the uncertainty of is health makes him a risky play.
The last player I want to touch base on is James White $3,900. I am aware he has not lived up to expectations so far, but now that Brady is operating the offense, he should see a bump in his role and be more efficient in the passing game. As it is, he is averaging 4.5 targets per game. This is a volatile play, but one that can pay off big and it comes at a reasonable price.
My favorite option: Brady/Edelman
Green Bay Packers
Game Over/Under: 48
Packers Implied Points: 27.75
Fresh off of a bye week, the Packers host the Giants in one of the highest projected totals of the slate. Aaron Rodgers $7,700 threw for 205 yards and four touchdowns in his first home game of the season in Week 3 and in another home matchup this week he faces a Giants defense that is allowing 262 passing yards per game. The G-Men have been able to hold their own against opposing quarterbacks this season, but they are on a short week and traveling to Lambeau field to take on a rested Packers offense. While Rodgers has yet to throw for 300 yards this season, he does have seven touchdowns through three games. He has not played against the Giants since 2012, but does have strong history against them. In three career matchups with them, Rodgers has posted a pair of four touchdown games.
Jordy Nelson $7,900 and Randall Cobb $6,200 are the two options to pair up with Rodgers. Nelson leads the team in targets, receptions, receiving yards, and receiving touchdowns. He is clearly Rodgers’ go-to receiver as he accounts for 29 percent of the Packers target share and 50 percent of the red zone targets. Nelson is averaging 68.7 yards per game and has caught four touchdowns passes in three games and last week he eclipsed the century mark in receiving yards for the first time this season. He and Rodgers are obviously in sync and that should continue this week. The Giants have allowed more than 175 receiving yards to receivers in each of their last three games, as well as three total touchdowns. Cobb has been off to a slow start this season not having scored a touchdown or topping 57 yards in any game this season. That being said, he remains Rodgers’ check down receiver which holds value in PPR formats such as DraftKings. He is averaging six targets per game and accounts for 19.4 percent of the Packers targets. The obvious stacking option here is Nelson, but keep in mind that it is only a matter of time before Cobb busts out for a big game.
My favorite option: Rodgers/Nelson
Game over/Under: 48
Steelers Implied Points: 27.75
Ben Roethlisberger $7,200 dissected the Chiefs defense in Week 4, throwing for 300 yards and five touchdowns. Needless to say, he put on a show and has a shot to do so once again in a favorable matchup. The Jets are surrendering over 300 passing yards per game and have given up eight touchdowns. They have allowed quarterbacks to throw for three touchdowns in a game twice this season so this is a matchup that Big Ben should be able to take advantage of.
I think by now everyone knows that Antonio Brown $9,800 is Roethlisberger’s go-to receiver. Brown is averaging 11.2 targets per game and accounts for 31 percent of the Steelers’ targets. He averages 92.3 receiving yards and seven receptions per game, and has scored four touchdowns. It goes without saying that Brown is an elite receiver that offers the perfect combination of consistency and upside. The matchup is also one that favors Brown as the Jets have struggled against receivers this season. They are yielding 199.25 receiving yards per game and have allowed four touchdowns. In Week 1, A.J. Green caught 12 passes for 180 yards and a touchdown against this defense. There is no doubt that if Green can find success against this defense so can Brown.
Sammie Coates $3,600 is intriguing as he has quietly been averaging 70.5 receiving yards and 3.3 receptions per game. He is second amongst the Steelers receivers with 20 targets. Coates has exceeded value 80 percent of the time by an average of 2.28 points this season per Fantasy Labs. We saw a glimpse of his big play ability in Week 2 when he caught two passes for 97 yards, one for 53 yards and the other for 44 yards. What we have yet to see from him is breaking one of those big catches for a long touchdown, but that will come at some point. If you want to do a three man stack on this offense and you want to include Coates, I am ok with that if you are trying to save some salary.
Last but certainly not least, Le’Veon Bell $7,500 is also in play as part of a Steelers stack. I am fully aware that the Jets run defense is stout and does not give up much to running backs on the ground, but Bell is a different specimen, and it is worth noting that the Jets have surrender 19 receptions for 110 yards and three touchdowns to running backs this season. In his first game back from a three game suspension, he played in 88 percent of the snaps in game that the Steelers were blowing their opponents out, so regardless of game flow, Bell is going to be in the game and have a prominent role. He caught five of his six targets for 34 yards and rushed for 144 yards on 18 carries and also received the second most targets for the Steelers in Week 4. He is back ladies and gentlemen so make sure you look him in your lineups, especially at this price. If you can fit a Roethlisberger, Brown, and Bell stack without hurting the remainder of your lineup construction, this is something I would totally endorse because this trio can put up fantasy points with the best of them.
My favorite option: Roethlisberger/Brown/Bell
Game Over/Under: 46
Eagles Implied Points: 24.5
I am having trouble gauging exactly how popular this offense will be, but my initial thoughts are that it would not be as popular as some of the other offenses on this slate. The Eagles are coming off of their bye week and head to Detroit. Carson Wentz $6,400 has a very good matchup against a Lions defenses that has struggled against quarterbacks this season. They are giving up 282.5 passing yards per game and have allowed the second most passing touchdowns (12). Detroit has allowed at least two passing touchdowns in each game. Wentz has played well so far in his rookie season, averaging 256.3 passing yards per game and has thrown five touchdowns with no interceptions. His worst game did come on the road against the Bears, but the Lions are much worse defensively, so I am not all that concerned about him playing of the road this week.
Jordan Matthews $6,800 has been the go-to receiver for Wentz. Matthews is averaging 8.7 targets per game and accounts for 25.7 percent of the Eagles target shares. He has also accounted for 25 percent of the red zone targets and has scored a touchdown in two of the three games the Eagles have played. The Lions are giving up 179 receiving yards per game to receivers and have yielded six touchdowns. Receivers have scored at least one touchdown in every game against Detroit this season, making this a good situation for Matthews.
Zach Ertz $3,500 is expected to return from a rib injury that has forced him to miss a couple of games. He is priced way too cheap ($800 less than he was at the start of the season) and has the best matchup a tight end can ask for. The Lions have given up the most touchdowns to tight ends this season (6) and are also yielding 64.25 receiving yards and eight receptions per game. Detroit is allowing an average of +5.1 points above expectations to opposing tight ends, per Fantasy Labs. In Week 1, Ertz was targeted seven times and caught six passes for 58 yards. Barring any limitations, Ertz should pick up right where he left at the start of the season. Stacking him and Wentz not only provides upside, but also the luxury of not having to use too much of your salary cap.
My favorite option: Wentz/Ertz
I typically do not go with so many stacks, but this one is too good to escape mention. Pairing Oakland QB Derek Carr with his receivers, Michael Crabtree or Amari Cooper, or even all three as a trio is very appealing this week. The line movement has me a tad concerned as the Raiders team total has come down by 1.25 points and the game total has dropped three points. Regardless, they are still among my top 5-6 stacks of this week.
Good luck to all this week. For any questions or concerns, feel free to hit me up on the Twitter machine: @Armando_Marsal