Week 3 Stack Em Up – FantasyDraft and DraftKings
The first two weeks of the season have been low scoring compared to what we are used to and according to Vegas, this could be another week with some underwhelming offensive performances. That being said, there are still four games with an over/under of at least 47 points and eight teams with an implied team total of at least 25 points. Let’s take a look below at some of the offenses we want to target this week and some stacks we can focus on.
For those who are not familiar with what stacking means, let’s define what we are calling a stack.
Stacking is pairing multiple players from one team. In this instance I will be referring to a quarterback and one of his receivers, tight ends, or running backs.
Game Over/Under: 48
Panthers Implied Points: 27
Based on what opposing quarterbacks have been able to do against the Saints defense through the first two games and even going back to last season, I expect that Cam Newton – FantasyDraft $12,300 / DraftKings $6,600 will likely be a fan favorite this week and rightfully so. New Orleans has allowed 793 passing yards and six passing touchdowns through the first two week of the season and going back to last year, they have surrendered 273.8 passing yards per game which has been the second most in the league.
Newton has averaged 230.1 passing yards per game in 12 career games versus the Saints, while throwing 19 touchdowns and rushing for six touchdowns. He is off to a slow start this season, which is a good thing because it keeps his salary at a very affordable price and if there is a defense that can help snap a player out of a funk, it definitely would resemble Saints defense.
Kelvin Benjamin – FantasyDraft $12,600 / DraftKings $6,700 gets a significant price bump, but that goes hand-in-hand with the matchup. The Saints have allowed 461 receiving yards and three receiving touchdowns to opposing wide outs, with an 82 percent catch rate. Benjamin has been disappointing in each of the first two games, but did see eight targets in last week’s matchup against the Bills and leads the team in targets with 13. Now that Greg Olsen is out with an injury, Benjamin could see even more looks. He will likely see plenty of Marshon Lattimore on defense who gives up 0.26 fantasy points per route and is five inches shorter than Benjamin. The matchup as whole is too good for Benjamin and if there is a week he can go off, it is this one.
I like the idea of pairing Christian McCaffrey – FantasyDraft $11,400 / DraftKings $6,100 with Newton this week. McCaffrey is second behind Benjamin on the Panthers offense with 12 targets so far this season. In addition, he has seen one red zone target and accounts for 25 percent of the red zone rush attempts.
The matchup is also one that favors him as the Saints have allowed 235 rushing yards and one touchdown, as well as 19 receptions for 185 yards and a touchdown to opposing backs. In addition, he has played in 66 percent of the snaps through the first two weeks, so the opportunity is not an issue. Starting off with the price and ending with the matchup, there is a lot to like about McCaffrey this week.
My favorite option: Newton/Benjamin
Game Over/Under: 48.5
Lions Implied Points: 22.75
Matthew Stafford – FantasyDraft $11,600 / DraftKings $6,200 had a subpar performance on Monday night, throwing for 122 yards and two touchdowns, however, he gets a much more favorable matchup this week and goes back home to Detroit. The Falcons have allowed 556 passing yards and three passing touchdowns through the first two games. Last season they yielded 272.9 passing yards per game which was the third most in the league.
This is the best matchup this season for Stafford and in Week 1, he shredded the Cardinals for 292 passing yards and four touchdowns in Detroit. This is a good game stack and while many may be more inclined towards Matt Ryan, Stafford is in a very good situation and is expected to be chasing points.
Golden Tate $13,000 – FantasyDraft / DraftKings $6,900 is the clear number one on this team as he leads the Lions in targets with 16 on the year. After a nice performance in the season opener, he struggled last week on Monday Night Football, but the matchup was not an easy one by any means. Tate has a good track record against the Falcons, catching 13 passes for 257 yards and two touchdowns in two career games versus them. He has topped 100 receiving yards and scored one touchdown in each of those meetings. Tate lines up in the slot often, so he should avoid Desmond Trufant for the most part in this game, which is the lead defensive back on the Falcons that causes concern.
Considering the volume and the matchup, Tate is in a good position for a solid stat line this weekend. He is the only player that has failed to score with their red zone target in Detroit, but that could change this week.
Marvin Jones – FantasyDraft $8,400 / DraftKings $4,200 scored for the second consecutive game on Monday night, but aside from that, was non-existent in that contest. Granted, it was a sloppy game all around, but even in Week 1, he caught two passes for 37 yards and a touchdown. With that said, the good news is that he is finding the pay dirt and has played in 93 percent of the snaps through the first two weeks, so the opportunity on the field is certainly there. He is the type of receiver that can get behind a defense and score a long touchdown, but also offers a low floor, making him a high-variance tournament play only. However, rostering him may be a way to differentiate your Lions stack.
Eric Ebron – FantasyDraft $6,400 / DraftKings $3,300 is coming off of a solid outing on Monday night, catching all five of his targets for 42 yards and a touchdown. He has eight targets thus far this season and accounts for 20 percent of the red zone targets. The Falcons have given up at least six receptions and 69 yards in each of their first two games this season, so this is a matchup Ebron should be able to exploit.
Try as I may, I simply cannot write about a Lions stack and not mention Theo Riddick $10,100 / DraftKings $5,100. I talked him up in Week 1 and I am going back to the well this Sunday. He is tied for second on the Detroit offense with 10 targets and accounts for 20 percent of the red zone targets. The Falcons got crushed by pass catching backs last season, giving up 109 receptions for 870 yards and six receiving touchdowns to the positions, while allowing a 77 percent catch rate.
Looking back across his last 25 games, Riddick has averaged 6.3 targets per game. In Full-PPR formats such as FantasyDraft and DraftKings, this is huge and he normally goes overlooked. There is definitely a path for a ceiling game here and he is still somewhat affordable. This is a team that I do not mind having a three player stack from.
My favorite option: Stafford/Riddick
Game Over/Under: 54
Raiders Implied Points: 28.5
Being that it is early in the week, I am uncertain how popular the Raiders stack will be, but for the third consecutive week, this is a stack I will be investing in. Derek Carr – FantasyDraft $12,700 / DraftKings $6,800 completed 23-of-28 passes for 230 yards and three touchdowns last week, and now has thrown five touchdowns and 492 yards in the first two games. He faces off against a Redskins defense that has given up 531 passing yards and three passing touchdowns through the first two weeks. Mind you, they have faced off against Carson Wentz (sorry Loughy) and Alex Smith, neither of which are anywhere near the quarterback that Carr is right now.
Even reaching back to last season there were signs of trouble with Washington surrendered the eighth most passing yards per game. Aside from being on the road, all the boxes check off for Carr this week and once again, he comes in at an affordable price. I will continue to sail on this ship in the hopes of landing some big treasure.
I went with Amari Cooper – FantasyDraft $13,100 / DraftKings $7,100 last week and that did not pan out as I hoped. However, I am going back to him again this week, since depending on your DFS site of choice, he is 8-12% cheaper than what he was last week. He still leads the team with 18 targets and has played in 88 percent of the offensive snaps. In addition, he accounts for 31 percent of the red zone targets which leads the team.
There are going to be weeks that Carr will lean on Michael Crabtree like we saw in the last game, but Cooper is cheaper than Crabtree and after last week could also come in at a lower ownership. Cooper possesses a ton of upside and going back to the well on a player who let fantasy owners down the prior week is not something I have an issue doing.
Michael Crabtree – FantasyDraft $14,000 / DraftKings $7,400 had himself a game last week, catching all six of his targets for 80 yards and three touchdowns. This makes two consecutive weeks that he comes down with six catches and has now caught 12-of-13 targets. He also has a perfect 100 percent catch rate in the red zone thus far, solidifying his role in the red zone. His price is getting up there, but that has a lot to do with last week’s performance. While a repeat game is certainly in the realm of possibility, it is unlikely. He will possibly receive a lot of attention this week after his last game, which is one of the reasons I feel better about Cooper. That being said, you cannot go wrong with either of the Raiders receivers this week.
My Favorite Option: Carr/Cooper
While I have interest in a Dolphins stack, but I am concerned about the offensive game plan going into this week’s matchup against New York. Yes, the Jets are a horrible team all around and even at home, they are six point dogs. Miami rushed the ball on 47 percent of their plays last week despite chasing points for the majority of the game and last season finished in the top five as far as rushing plays percentage is concerned. In a game where they could find an early lead, my biggest concern is that they do not pass as much. That being said, this is still a stack I will have exposure to simply because the matchup is too good and the Dolphins have a 23.75 implied team total, one of the higher ones to start the week.
My Favorite Option: Jay Cutler – FantasyDraft $11,400 / DraftKings $6,100 and Jarvis Landry – FantasyDraft $12,700 / DraftKings $6,800
The Falcons are an appealing team this week because the matchup is one I like and after all the hype surrounding last week, followed by a subpar outing, I could see them going slightly overlooked. This game has a respectable over/under 48.5 points and the Falcons have a healthy 25.75 implied team total. The matchup for Julio Jones is not the most appealing one, but a receiver of his caliber can make any defensive back look silly. I am not going all in with this stack by any means, but it is one I am thinking of having some shares of this weekend.
Good luck to all this week. If you have any questions, you can always find me in FanVice Premium Slack or on the Twitter machine @Armando_Marsal