NBA Thoughts – 2/28/17

What’s up everyone! A 12-game NBA slate certainly leaves a lot of options to consider, and we’ll need to wait for news to break to help guide our teams as the day progresses. For now, here are a three of my top options on DraftKings:

Stephen Curry, $10,400 — This will be (essentially) the fourth game that Steph has played since Durant went down injured. In the three previous games, Steph has averaged nearly 24 shot attempts, up almost 6 a game from his season average. He’s shot only 42% from the field and 27% from three in those games, yet has still averaged 49 DK points over that stretch. I fully expect Steph to find his groove soon, especially as he and the Warriors become accustomed to playing without Durant again. Atlanta ranks near the bottom of the league in three-point percentage defense, and in a game on the road that Vegas expects to be within six points, Curry is likely to see minutes in the high-30’s. Curry is again the undisputed focal point of the Warrior offense and he’s due for an excellent shooting performance soon. His ceiling gets a nice boost with Durant out, and we want to be there in the right matchups for when he goes nuts.

Nemanja Bjelica, $3,900 — As a Timberwolves fan, I’ve been as surprised as anyone at Bjelica’s production over the last three games. He’s averaged 29 minutes and 33 fantasy points off the bench against two of the best defenses in the league (Spurs and Jazz). What’s downright shocking – and encouraging – is that he’s put up these numbers while shooting 35% from the field.  He’s contributing well in all facets of the game, particularly on the boards. I’m not overly excited about him matching a lot of minutes tonight with a strong defender in Aminu, but his performances against the Jazz and Spurs help to mitigate that concern, and I think he’s worth rolling with, at this cheap price, until he has a poor outing. It helps that starter Gorgui Dieng had a strong game against the Spurs in the last one, and Bjelica still found his way onto the court for 21 minutes and 22.25 fantasy points.

Greg Monroe, $6,200 — First off, let me say that I hate the idea of rostering Monroe at this price. However, in looking at the Sixers roster with Okafor ruled out, we see that Holmes will start for the Sixers, with Shawn Long likely to replace him off the bench. Shawn Long, recently of the Delaware 87ers. It’s safe to say we love that matchup for Monroe. And no other bench big in the NBA, with the exception of Enes Kanter, can put up numbers as quickly as Monroe.  Over his past ten games, he has four games of 40+ fantasy points, with a high of 51.25. Given Jason Kidd’s unpredictability as a coach, there’s always risk in playing a non-Buck besides Giannis, but Monroe is in an excellent spot, and I think there’s a good chance he has another 40+ fantasy point performance tonight.

Good luck out there tonight! ~ DraftCheat