NBA Thoughts 2/3/17
NBA Thoughts by Peter Christensen aka DraftCheat
One of the great things about playing on Fantasy Draft is the incredible positional flexibility the product offers. With three guard spots, three forward/center spots, and two utilities, gamers can often roster the exact eight players they are most interested in on the night. That makes roster construction a lot of fun — however, it is important to remember your opponents also have this advantage. It is also crucial to be very picky when finalizing your roster. With nearly the entire player pool to pick from at each roster spot, overlooking a great value that your opponent uses can prove quite costly.
When choosing players for my Fantasy Draft roster, I generally use a “3x” multiplier meaning I am aiming for an overall score of 300 based on the $100,000 salary cap and want most, if not all, of the players on my roster to have the capability of scoring three times their salary plus hopefully upside for more. So for a player priced at $12,000 on Fantasy Draft, I want to be able to reasonable project a score of 36 fantasy points. It is not a hard and fast rule, and you need to be willing to adjust based on the options available, but it is a nice baseline to work from. Here are a few players I am looking at tonight that should have the capability to reach three time their salary:
Jeff Teague – IND at BKN $13,800 – While this seems like a bit of a crazy price tag for Jeff Teague — who still does not carry the name recognition he deserves based on his play this year (at least for DFS purposes) — Teague has been getting it done all season long and now gets the best matchup in the NBA going up against the Brooklyn Nets. The brain trust in Las Vegas has the Pacers installed as 7-point favorites with a 219.5 expected total, so this game should be high scoring and stay close enough for Teague to see his full allotment of minutes. Teague is averaging 36.45 Fantasy Draft points on the season so does not need to exceed his normal output by much to reach the “3x” threshold mentioned above. He should have no trouble getting there tonight with easy upside for 50+ fantasy points.
D’Angelo Russell – LAL at BOS – $11,600 – The Lakers’ second year guard has come out on fire after missing a few games due to injury, torching John Wall and Wizards last night en route to one of his biggest fantasy games of his career. He gets a better matchup tonight in facing what should be a Celtics team missing Avery Bradley.
With Bradley in the lineup to shut down the opposing teams’ lead guard, the Celtics have been getting scorched by good ball handlers, and Russell certainly qualifies. While it is always a bit scary rostering Lakers’ players given the sometimes hard to predict rotation of coach Luke Walton, Russell is playing well right now and should get the minutes in a pristine matchup tonight.
Myles Turner – IND at BKN – $13,000 – My rosters are going to be peppered with Pacers tonight, as a visit to Brooklyn is almost always a recipe for fantasy gold. The Nets give up among the most blocks AND steals in the NBA, and opposing centers have fared better against Brooklyn than they have against any other team. Turner excels at blocking shots and swiping passes with his active hands, and should have one of his ceiling games in this situation and glide past 40 fantasy points.
DeMarcus Cousins – SAC vs PHX – $19,500 – If I am paying up for one true superstar tonight, it is going to be Boogie Cousins. The Kings just finished a long road trip with a dud of a game in Houston, but now have returned home and had a bit of rest and will take on a Suns team that plays at a breakneck pace and bleeds fantasy points to the opposing team.
Cousins has been better at home this season and I also always prefer to take him when he is rested and he has had two days off since his last game. Cousins is an absolute usage monster when Rudy Gay is off the court, and he is the focal point of his team’s offense more than any other player outside of Russell Westbrook and James Harden. Sixty fantasy points should be a walk in the park for Cousins tonight in a great matchup against the Suns’ bigs — don’t be scared of the matchup against Tyson Chandler — he can’t handle Cousins on the perimeter and is not the defender he once was.
Good luck out there tonight! ~ DraftCheat