NBA Thoughts 2/28/17

 

What’s up fellas. After a rough one last night where many of our recommended plays were taken down by injury, foul trouble, and just generally underperforming, we’ll look to bounce back on a nice 6-game slate. Let’s get into a few of my favorite DraftKings plays for tonight.

 

Dwayne Wade, $7,500 — Wade has just about everything going for him in tonight’s matchup against the Nuggets. He gets a good matchup going up against the likes of Gary Harris and Will Barton, and the other Nuggets guards, is on 2 days of rest (his best rest-day split of the year), will be playing a team that is sloppy with the basketball and likes to play in transition, is at home, and has another off day together. These are the games where we typically see Wade play 34+ minutes and he has been thriving lately, benefitting from the rest during the All-Star Break and also the losses of both Taj Gibson and Doug McDermott. People are still hesitant to play Wade, and he does bring a bit more scratch/injury risk than your typical player. But this is one of my favorite spots of the year for him and I fully expect 40+ fantasy points tonight with upside to get into the 50s .

 

Draymond Green, $7400 — Hopefully you jumped on the Draymond Green train with me yesterday, where we got him at a low price and 3% ownership as he nearly dropped 50 fantasy points on the 76ers. He’ll have higher ownership tonight, but it is another fantastic matchup against he Wizards who have struggled against the power forward position all year – particularly in areas that Draymond thrives in such as rebounds. This should be a closely contested game in Washington and even on a back-to-back Green should have plenty of energy after not seeing many minutes over the past couple of weeks. As long as he can stay out of foul trouble and not kick people he should have another 40+ fantasy point performance with triple-double upside.

 

Alan Williams, $4,100 — GPP ONLY. The Suns are gearing up for next and appear to be in somewhat of a tank mode. Starting center Tyson Chandler appears to have fallen completely out of the rotation and the center minutes are being split between Alex Len. Which player gets more minutes seems to depend simply on who is playing more effectively and is not in foul trouble. Alex Len will start, but he’ll have to go up against Marc Gasol and it seems likely the Suns starters will struggle. That could lead to big minutes for Alan Williams against the Grizzlies reserves both in the first and second half, and possibly garbage time run in the 4th quarter should the Grizzlies run away with this game which seems somewhat likely. Williams has signficant upside at this price point, but also be aware that if Tyson Chandler for some reason returns to the starting lineup (or rotation) Williams could be possibly looking at a DNP-CD.