NBA Bargains – 4/9/17
Happy Sunday! Let us look at the games from this evening’s main slate and find the bargain plays that make our lineups hit the top of the standings. I am targeting at/below 10K on Fantasy Draft, 5.5K on FanDuel and 5K on DraftKings. LET’S DO THIS!
NOTE: Stay tuned to FanVice for updates and analysis of the breaking news in regards to the values that open throughout the evening leading up to lineup lock. DraftKings only offers four games for their main slate and FanDuel offers five – so players that are targeted for FanDuel/FantasyDraft on the OKC-DEN game will NOT have prices for DK.
Jamal Murray – DEN vs. OKC – $4,300 (FD), $10,100 (FDRAFT) – He will be ridiculously owned on this slate, so do not overthink it if you are among the truly brave still playing cash games this late in the year. Jameer Nelson is out and Emmanuel Mudiay is questionable, so batter up for Murray, who played 37 minutes against New Orleans and scored 43.30 FD points. The Nuggets absolutely have to win, so the Nuggets will be interested in scoring, a lot.
Yogi Ferrell – DAL at PHX – $4.700 (FD), $4,800 (DK), $9,500 (FDRAFT) – No Seth Curry nor JJ Barea here, so Ferrell should once against see 30 minutes or so against the worst pace adjusted defense over the last seven game in Phoenix. Enjoy.
Lou Williams – HOU at SAC – $4,500 (FD), $5,400 (DK), $10,600 (FDRAFT) – Should see 30 minutes of Lou Will in this tasty matchup and while that has not been great for Lou the last two games, the Kings and their bottom ten pace adjusted defense over the last seven games, should prove some relief for Williams, who can score points in bunches and can really exceed value, especially on FanDuel tonight.
Nicolas Brussino – DAL at PHX – $3,700 (FD), $3,000 (DK), $6,000 (FDRAFT) – Again, no Curry, no Barea and just how likely is it that Wesley Matthews sees a ton of minutes in this meaningless game for Dallas. So we very well could see 24-26 minutes from Brussino, who is the rock bottom minimum on DK/FDRAFT, and see 20-25% raw usage and gets this oh so easy matchup with the Suns.
Doug McDermott – OKC at DEN – $3,500 (FD), $6,400 (FDRAFT) – There is little reason to rush Andre Roberson back from injury so we should see the repeat of the 40 minute run McDermott got his last time out. He fared not too well, even at his low price, but he could not have had less usage, with only 11.2% last time. Play the minutes and the uptempo, low defense matchup here against Denver.
Brandon Ingram – LAL vs. MIN – $4,600 (FD), $4,100 (DK), $8,000 (FDRAFT) – Ingram is on a minutes limit and I still like him the most of the other bargain small forwards here because of the matchup against the Timberwolves, who are bottom five in pace adjusted defense over the past seven games. He is the only one you can see scoring 30-35 DK points, even capped at 24-25 minutes.
Henry Ellenson – DET at MEM – $3,500 (FD), $3,800 (DK), $7,400 (FDRAFT) – Check to make sure he is starting again, but why not since he scored 32.25 DK points in 25 minutes his last time out, using 28.4% of the possessions in the effort.
Montrezl Harrell – HOU at SAC – $3,900 (FD), $3,400 (DK – C), $6,600 (FDRAFT) – No Nene tonight and the Rockets want to limit the minutes of core rotation players Ryan Anderson/Clint Capela, so enter Montrezl, who scored 21.50 DK points against the Pistons in 26 minutes last time out and gets a much easier matchup against the green Kings tonight.
Boban Marjanovic – DET at MEM – $3,600 (FD), $4,900 (DK), $9,800 (FDRAFT) – Be real, you are playing Boban. He is so much fun to roster in games like against the Rockets, where he played 27 minutes and launched 46.50 DK points. He has a tougher matchup and will be way more highly owned, especially on FanDuel so fading is a solid strategy, but a lot less fun.
Alex Len – PHX vs. DAL – $4,700 (FD), $4,200 (DK), $8,300 (FDRAFT) – Len is another crazy fantasy point producer when he is on the floor and has a backup Mavericks team to play against here and will be very low owned with so many value centers out there tonight.
Good luck, players! – JW
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jaywalker72) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.