NBA Bargains 3/4/17
Happy Sunday! Let us look at the games from this split seven-game slate and find the bargain plays that make our lineups hit the top of the standings. I am targeting at/below 10K on Fantasy Draft, 5.5K on FanDuel and 5K on DraftKings. LET’S DO THIS!
NOTE: Stay tuned to FanVice for updates and analysis of the breaking news in regards to the values that open up throughout the evening leading up to lineup lock. Also, FantasyDraft is not offering any games before the 5pm ET starts and will not be listed for any players in those games.
Tyler Ulis – PHX vs. BOS – $4,400 (FD), $3,900 (DK), $7,700 (FDRA) – Earl Watson has said that he wants to see Ulis as the playmaker on the second unit, and he has been getting low 20s minutes since then. The matchup against Boston is excellent and Ulis has shown he can be a usage guy if needed, like his 27% raw usage mark last game.
Rodney Stuckey – IND at ATL – $3,600 (FD – SG), $3,000 (DK)– Stuckey is another bench guy, but few teams have struggled against wings like the Hawks have and Stuckey can fill it up quick, like his 33 DK point game against the Rockets two games back.
Monta Ellis – IND at ATL – $4,800 (FD), $4,200 (DK) – Ellis also comes off the bench for the Pacers, and also crushes the Hawks whenever possible. His minutes are more secure than Stuckey’s, therefore, higher priced, but should be able to produce here, nevertheless. Earlier this season, Ellis hit the Hawks for a 28.75 DK point game and has averaged 33.35 DK points over his last five against the Hawks.
Marcus Smart – BOS at PHX – $4,900 (FD), $5,300 (DK), $10,500 (FDRA) – Avery Bradley is back, but is getting worked back into things, so Smart is still in line for 27-30 minutes in a high pace, low defense game against the Suns. The Suns play at the second fastest pace over the last seven game in the league and are in the bottom half of the league in defense over that same span.
Terrence Ross – ORL at WAS – $4,500 (FD), $5,500 (DK), $10,800 (FDRA) – Ross has been a fixture in the Magic rotation since coming over from Toronto, even with CJ Watson back, etc. Ross has played 32, 35, 36 and 35 minutes since arriving. His production is volatile, as he scored 27.75, 40, 16.75 and 30 DK points in those four games, but the matchup against the Wizards, who are eighth in pace, should allow Ross to get the shot volume he needs to work on FanDuel.
Kent Bazemore – ATL vs. IND – $4,600 (FD), $4,500 (DK) – The minutes will go anywhere from 22 to 32, depending on Mike Budenholzer’s opinion of what is happening on the court that night, but Baze has Bazed More lately, getting 26, 29 and 35 minutes and scoring 23.50, 22.25 and 36 DK points in those games.
Thaddeus Young – IND at ATL – $5,000 (FD), $4,300 (DK) – Ok, last Hawk Hater here, Young, who went to Georgia Tech there in Atlanta, has blistered the Hawks throughout his career and has averaged 36 DKPPG against the Hawks in his last five matchups with them.
Ersan Ilyasova – ATL vs. IND – $4,800 (FD), $4,100 (DK) – The Hawks have been wanting to slowwwwly work Ilyasova into a 25-28 minutes role, but in the last game against Cleveland, they had to leave him in as the Hawks mounted a run. Ilyasova is desperately needed on the court to spread the floor for the Hawks as teams have been sagging in the lane to cut off the Dennis Schröder drives, Paul Millsap isolations and to hammer Dwight Howard.
Willie Cauley-Stein – SAC vs. UTA – $4,900 (FD – PF), $4,900 (DK), $7,400 (FDRA) – WCS should have a matchup here against Utah that most closely resembles the game against Minnesota two games back, when Cauley-Stein registered 34 minutes, 24.5% usage and 31 DK points.
Ivica Zubac – LAL vs. NOP – $3,600 (FD), $3,400 (DK), $6,700 (FDRA) – Those who have read me before know I do appreciate the fantasy goodness Zubac brings WHEN he is on the court. The question is always will Luke Walton play him. Against DeMarcus Cousins and Anthony Davis, Zubac should see the game where he gets 20-22 minutes to do his DKPPM magic.
Good luck, players! – JW
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jaywalker72) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.