NBA Bargains 3/4/17
Happy Saturday all. We have an eight-game slate at hand and below I will go over some of tonight’s bargains that will help you to fit in some of the higher priced players into your lineups. Let’s go!
Ricky Rubio – MIN at SAS – $6,100 (DK), $6,900 (FD), $12,000 (FDRAFT) – It is slim pickings when searching for value at the point guard position, but on DK at this price, Rubio makes sense. The Spurs are a good defensive team, but if you are going to attack them it is at the point guard position. Rubio has scored fewer than 35 DK points just twice over his last 10 games and has fared well against San Antonio this season. You are also going to get him at a potential low ownership, making him an interesting tournament option.
Cory Joseph- TOR at MIL – $5,100 (DK), $5,000 (FD), $10,100 (FDRAFT) – There is nothing special about Joseph, but if you are looking to spend down at the position, he is your guy. Over his last five games, he has averaged 32.6 minutes, 11.4 points, four assists, 2.8 rebounds, 1.4 steals, and over 20 fantasy points per game. He does not offer a ton of upside, but has been fairly steady since Kyle Lowry has been sidelined.
Gary Harris – DEN vs. CHA – $5,500 (DK), $5,400 (FD), $10,800 (FDRAFT) – Harris closed out the month of February averaging roughly 30 fantasy points per game in his final five contests. Over his last 10 games, he has exceeded value 80 percent of the time by an average of 4.23 points and has seen a one percent bump in usage during that span. Tonight he faces off against the Hornets who are giving up the sixth most fantasy points per game to opposing shooting guards and have allowed +1.05 points above expectations to the position.
Maurice Harkless – POR vs. BKN – $5,200 (DK), $4,800 (FD), $10,200 (FDRAFT) – Since returning from the All-Star break, Harkless is averaging 36.3 minutes, 12 points, 7.5 rebounds, one steal, 1.3 blocks, and over 25 points per game. During that stretch, he has flirted with a double-double twice. He gets the best matchup a small forward can ask for against the Nets who surrender the most fantasy points per game to the position, while allowing +3.15 points above expectations. In addition, they rank 28th in defensive efficiency and play up in pace. He is affordable across the board, plays big minutes, and has a great matchup. There is not much to dislike.
Trevor Ariza – HOU vs. MEM – $4,700 (DK), $5,000 (FD), 9,200 (FDRAFT) – This is more of a price play for me, as he is just too cheap. His usage has taken a minor hit since Lou Williams joined the team, but Ariza is still playing upwards of 30 minutes. If you need the salary relief and he is the only player that you can fit in, you could do worse.
Al-Farouq Aminu – POR vs. BKN – $5,500 (DK), $5,400 (FD), $10,900 (FDRAFT) – In his last six games, Aminu has averaged 30.5 minutes, 13.5 points, 8.5 rebounds, 1.3 assists, and one steal per game, including two double-doubles during that stretch. Aside from his disappointing performance against the Pistons, he has been efficient and productive. Tonight he gets a great matchup against the Nets who give up the most fantasy points per game to power forwards and have allowed +1.21 points above expectations to the position. Brooklyn also yields the second most rebounds per game with a -3.7 differential. This should be a paced up game with plenty of touch opportunities for Aminu and a matchup he should be able to exploit.
Trevor Booker – BKN vs. POR – $4,900 (DK), $5,200 (FD), $9,800 – Since returning from the All-Star break, Booker is averaging 24.4 minutes, 10.3 points, 9.5 rebounds, two assists, and over 24 fantasy points per game. He is coming off of the bench, but has a solidified role. The matchup is one that favors him, as the Blazers are yielding the third most fantasy points per game to power forwards and have allowed +1.32 points above expectations. Portland ranks 26th in defensive efficiency and are giving up the 23rd most rebounds per game with a -1.3 differential, making this a favorable situation for Booker at a low price.
Pau Gasol – SA vs. MIN – $5,400 (DK), $6,300 (FD), $10,600 (FDRAFT) – Gasol returned from an injury after the All-Star break and has not missed a beat. In his last four games, he has averaged 26 minutes, 15.8 points, 7.8 rebounds, 1.5 assists, 1.3 blocks, and over 27 fantasy points per game. He is on the second night of a back-to-back, which is concerning as we can certainly get Popped, but if we get word that he is certainly playing, then he is in consideration. If he sits for whatever reason, Dewayne Dedmon becomes a viable option. The Timberwolves rank 23rd in defensive efficiency.
Greg Monroe – MIL vs. TOR – $5,600 (DK), $6,300 (FD), $11,200 (FDRAFT) – Monroe is coming off of a nice game against the Clippers and has played well in recent games, averaging 27.8 minutes, 15.5 points, 6.3 rebounds, 4.5 assists, 1.3 steals, and over 30 fantasy points per game over his last four. The concern with rostering Monroe is that on any given game, he could play sub 20 minutes. That being said, in tournaments he offers plenty of upside and could easily smash value at this price range, making him an enticing option.
Good luck all – Armando
If you have any questions, you can always reach out to me via Twitter @Armando_marsal or in the Fanvice.com premium slack chat. Also, don’t forget to tune into The Final Countdown on FanVice Live for all the last minute news and analysis.
Note: It is always wise to keep an eye out for injury news later in the day as this could open up immense value at some positions. Usually the last hour before lock is filled with news that can be very helpful.