We have reached mid-week and there is a 10-game slate at hand with some enticing bargain plays that will provide some salary cushion to potentially fit in some of the high-end players in your lineups. That being said, let’s waste no more time and jump right into it.
George Hill – UTA at DET – $6,000 (DK), $6,300 (FD), $11,200 (FDRAFT) – I know, I know, typically I am targeting players a tad more economical than this, but the value at point guard is thin tonight. Hill comes at a reasonable price, specifically on DK and faces a Pistons defense that has yielded the eighth most fantasy points per game to point guards in their last 10. He has topped 34 DK points in five of his last seven games, including two 40+ point games. He is also sporting a healthy 22.9 usage rate during that span. He will likely go under owned, making him an intriguing tournament option.
Patrick Beverley- HOU vs. LAL- $5,900 (DK), $5,400 (FD), $11,600 (FDRAFT) – Beverley has cooled down in recent games, but aside from the Bulls game, the matchups have been far from elite and he has been shooting the ball poorly. Tonight, however, that is not the case as he faces off against the Lakers who are giving up the fifth most fantasy points per game to opposing point guards and have allowed +1.67 points above expectations to the position. In addition, they are ranked 29th in defensive efficiency over their last 10 games, while playing at the second highest pace. This is a good bounce back spot and a matchup he should exploit. Going back to the 2014-15 season, Beverley has exceeded expectations 83.3 percent of the time by an average of +8.54 points against the Lakers.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope – DET vs. UTA – $5,100 (DK), $4,700 (FD), $10,200 (FDRAFT) – The shooting guard position is thin when it comes to value and paying up a bit more might be the way to tackle it tonight. However, if you decide not to, KCP should be considered. The matchup is far from great, but he does play big minutes and offers plenty of upside. The Jazz are giving up 2.3 three-pointers per game to shooting guards, while allowing the sixth best field goal percentage. Due to the low floor, he should only be considered in tournaments, but if he gets it going early, he could be a nice low-owned shooting guards that has the potential to smash value at this price.
Trevor Ariza – HOU vs. LAL – $5,100 (DK), $5,000 (FD), $10,100 (FDRAFT) – Despite some bumps on the road in his production, Ariza continues to play big minutes for Houston. He has played better as of late, averaging a smidge over 25 fantasy points per game in his last four. During that stretch, he has averaged 35.3 minutes, 12.3 points, 7.8 rebounds, 1.5 assists, and 2.3 three-pointers per game. Tonight he faces a Lakers team that surrenders the seventh most fantasy points per game to small forwards and allow +1.02 points above expectations to the position. He should be able to exploit this matchup and provide solid return on investment.
Gorgui Dieng – MIN at BOS – $5,200 (DK), $5,300 (FD), $10,200 – Dieng is not a high-upside play by any means, but he does provide a somewhat steady floor for someone in his price range. I like targeting the Celtics with opposing front courts, as they surrender the sixth most rebounds per game with a -3.2 differential. In addition, they have given up the fifth most fantasy points per game to power forwards over their last five. The last time Dieng faced off against Boston, he went off for 20 points with 10 rebounds, which was god for over 35 fantasy points. A similar game is unlikely, but it is not out of the question.
David Lee – SAC vs. DEN – $5,500 (DK), $4,800 (FD), $10,900 (FDRAFT) – Let’s face it, with Greg Pop, we will never really know what will happen, but what we do know is that with LaMarcus Aldridge off the court, Lee sees a +1.4 percent bump in usage. Over the last two games, he has averaged 24 minutes, 13 points, six rebounds, three assists, and over 24 fantasy points per game. Tonight he faces a Blazers defense that surrenders the third most fantasy points per game to power forwards, as well as, +2.37 points above expectations. He is a tournament play only due to the uncertainty of minutes, but does offer nice upside at a reasonable price across the board.
Nemanja Bjelica – MIN at BOS – $4,400 (DK), $4,400 (FD), $8,800 (FDRAFT) – I was on the Bjelica bandwagon in his last contest against the Wizards and I am ok with jumping right back on. He has averaged 27.8 minutes, 9.8 points, 7.7 rebounds, and 2.5 assists per game in the month of March, eclipsing 27 fantasy points three times during that stretch. He has now played at least 29 minutes in three consecutive games and gets a favorable matchup. Barring any changes in the rotation, he should have no issue paying off his salary in this contest.
Clint Capela – HOU vs. LAL – $5,500 (DK), $5,300 (FD), $10,800 (FDRAFT) – Capela has recorded double-digit rebounds in four of his last six games, while eclipsing 25 fantasy points in all but one of those contests. He finds himself in a favorable situation against the Lakers who are giving up 44.7 rebounds per game with a -0.9 differential. They are also yielding the second most fantasy points, fourth most points, and fifth most blocks to opposing centers. Capela offers nice upside along with a safe floor and comes at a fair price, making him an enticing option in all formats.
Al Horford – BOS vs. MIN – $5,700 (DK), $6,000 (FD), $11,300 (FDRAFT) – Horford has not played well this season and has been tough to trust, but he is just too cheap (specifically on DK) to ignore. He is a price play only for me, as the matchup is not the most favorable one. It is worth noting that he did fare well against them in their last meeting, scoring 20 points with six boards, five dimes, three blocks and over 40 fantasy points. I am not expecting that exact performance, but it is comforting knowing he has that in his arsenal. Tournament only for me, but a player I will look to get some exposure of.
Good luck all – Armando
If you have any questions, you can always reach out to me via Twitter @Armando_marsal or in the Fanvice.com premium slack chat. Also, don’t forget to tune into The Final Countdown on FanVice Live for all the last minute news and analysis.
Note: It is always wise to keep an eye out for injury news later in the day as this could open up immense value at some positions. Usually the last hour before lock is filled with news that can be very helpful.