NBA Bargains 3/14/17
Happy Tuesday! Let us look at the games from the five-game slate and find the bargain plays that make our lineups hit the top of the standings. I am targeting at/below 10K on Fantasy Draft, 5.5K on FanDuel and 5K on DraftKings. LET’S DO THIS!
NOTE: Stay tuned to FanVice for updates and analysis of the breaking news in regards to the values that open throughout the evening leading up to lineup lock.
Reggie Jackson – DET at CLE – $5,200 (FD), $5,800 (DK), $11,600 (FDRAFT) – Whenever the Pistons are facing a dual-threat backcourt, then Ish Smith seems to play more minutes. The Cavaliers are not such a team, meaning we will see Jackson like we did a couple of games ago when he enjoyed 31 minutes, 31.1% raw usage and dropped in 29.90 FD points.
Isaiah Whitehead – BKN vs. OKC – $3,600 (FD), $3,300 (DK), $6,400 (FDRAFT) – Huge game total here (225) and with starters Jeremy Lin (~25 minutes projection) and Randy Foye (~11 minutes) there leaves a minutes vacuum for Whitehead to fill. Whitehead is more meaningful in tournaments than Spencer Dinwiddie due to nearly double the raw usage Whitehead has when in the game. With the Thunder a bottom ten team in defensive rating over the last seven games, it underlines that a higher usage player can get his production in against that team.
Jordan Crawford – NOP vs. POR – $3,500 (FD), $3,900 (DK), $7,700 (FDRAFT) – Jordan Crawford is back in our DFS lives – so great. Crawford is the very definition of free shooting guard – he has already come off the free agent street and posted 30.25, 18.75 and 31.75 DK points off the bench for New Orleans. The matchup against Portland, the 10th worst defense over the last seven games, is perfect for Jordan. He is really the Kyle O’Quinn/Michael Beasley of backcourt ballers. Enjoy.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope – DET at CLE – $4,700 (FD), $5,600 (DK), $11,100 (FDRAFT) – Mainly a FD play here, as KCP did not fare well against the Cavs last time out due to extra effort defending Kyrie Irving, most likely. However, his price on FD calls for attention, as KCP will play 35-37 minutes in close games, as this should be given Cleveland’s awful defense over the last seven games (117.2 points per 100 possessions, worst in the NBA).
Andre Iguodala – GSW vs. PHI – $4,900 (FD), $4,600 (DK-SG), $9,100 (FDRAFT) – Not an awesomely upside play here, but he should get 33-35 minutes here and his 0.72 fantasy points per minutes makes an alright punt in cash games at a difficult position.
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot – PHI at GSW – $3,700 (FD-SG), $3,000 (DK), $6,000 (FDRAFT) – This is contingent on Robert Covington missing another game, as he did Sunday when Luwawu-Cabarrot started, played 27 minutes, had 21% raw usage and scored 26.75 DK points. It is definitely a tougher matchup, but the min price on DK/FDRAFT and the potential minutes/usage, makes him a worthy tourney punt if he starts again.
Richaun Holmes – PHI at GSW – $4,500 (FD), $4,900 (DK), $9,800 (FDRAFT) – Has been getting consistent 21-27 minute run with Joel Embiid out and Nerlens Noel traded, and his production has been a little up and down, but he did turn in a 28 minute, 31.50 DK game against GSW last time out and should play even if the Sixers are getting blown out in Oakland.
Enes Kanter – OKC at BKN – $5,600 (FD), $5,600 (DK-C), $11,200 (FDRAFT) – The matchup is so good, that even Billy Donovan’s uneven playing time distribution will not scare me from Kanter. His production is still epic, with 27.5% raw usage over the last seven games and a rebounding rate over the same span second only to the triple-double king himself, Russell Westbrook.
Zaza Pachulia – GSW vs. PHI – $4,400 (FD), $3,800 (DK), $7,400 (FDRAFT) – Za-za-za! Pachulia gets the elite matchup of Jahlil Okafor’s attempt at defense, something he exploited for 2.000 DK points per minute last time out. Even against strong competition, like San Antonio, Zaza has been productive, and might be really lower owned tonight given his usual low minutes deployment.
Steven Adams- OKC vs. BKN – $5,300 (FD), $5,000 (DK), $9,800 (FDRAFT) – It’s a risky play, as Adams has been wildly inconsistent with his production recently, dropping a 7.75 and 18 DK point performance in the middle of 26, 28.75 and 27.75 – but the matchup is excellent against Brooklyn and if he gets the same 31.92 minutes he got against Utah, he will likely have a double-double and get close to even tournament value.
Good luck, players! – JW
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jaywalker72) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.