NBA Bargains 3/1/17
Happy March! Let us look at the games from a bombastic 11-game slate and find the bargain plays that make our lineups hit the top of the standings. I am targeting at/below 10K on Fantasy Draft, 5.5K on FanDuel and 5K on DraftKings. LET’S DO THIS!
NOTE: Stay tuned to FanVice articles/shows for updates and analysis of the breaking news in regards to the values that open up throughout the evening leading up to lineup lock.
Ty Lawson – SAC vs. BKN – $4,900 (FD), $4,200 (DK), $8,400 (FDRAFT) – Lawson came off the bench to play 35 minutes, which is not to be considered consistent, but for tourneys, there is his ceiling and now he gets the brutal Brooklyn Nets at home. The Nets are the worst defensive team over the last five games and fourth fastest paced team.
Yogi Ferrell – DAL vs. ATL – $5,200 (FD), $5,000 (DK), $9,800 (FDRAFT) – Atlanta continues to struggle defending the backcourt and Ferrell, who has dropped off from his hot start, but still is averaging 28-30 minutes, 20-22% raw usage, is in a good spot to attack that backcourt.
Rodney Hood – UTA vs. MIN – $4,100 (FD), $4,100 (DK), $8,000 (FDRAFT) – He is risky, but Hood has played 26.40 and 30.59 minutes in his last two games, scoring 49.75 FDRAFT points in those games. Minnesota has been middle of the pack on defense over last five games and represents a pace up game for the Jazz.
Eric Gordon – HOU vs. LAC – $5,100 (FD), $4,800 (DK), $9,400 (FDRAFT) – Lou Williams has made a negative impact on Gordon, Patrick Beverley and the rest of the Rockets, but Gordon’s price has dropped commensurate with that and he is still getting high 20s minutes, low 20s raw usage and over 10 shots per game.
Terrence Ross – ORL vs. NYK – $4,400 (FD), $5,200 (DK), $10,200 (FDRAFT) – Ross has come to Orlando and played well, scoring 40 DK points against Atlanta the last time out. The Knicks have been the eighth worst defense over the past five games and Ross should continue to find solid minutes with Aaron Gordon questionable and CJ Watson questionable as well.
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson – BKN at SAC – $4,800 (FD), $5,000 (DK – PF), $9,800 (FDRAFT) – RHJ has been a solid lower-cost Net to roster, scoring over 20 DK points in each of the last seven games, including over 30 in each of the last two games. This game against Sacramento is already a solid 215.5 game total, with the host Kings a slight favorite.
Kosta Koufos – SAC vs. BKN – $4,100 (FD – C), $3,900 (DK), $7,700 (FDRAFT) – Koufos should get the call to take some minutes guarding Brook Lopez, as he did in a 24 minutes stint against Karl-Anthony Towns last game out. Koufos scored 30.25 in those minutes and gets that same great matchup against the Nets.
Gorgui Dieng – MIN at UTA – $5,600 (FD), $4,900 (DK), $9,800 (FDRAFT) – You could worry about Dieng’s lack of minutes lately, but he has played over 30 in both matchups against the bigger Jazz this season. Scoring 28.50 average over those two games.
Kyle O’Quinn – NYK at ORL – $4,700 (FD), $5,200 (DK), $10,200 (FDRAFT) – KOQ returns to the scene of his DFS emergence in Orlando. With Joakim Noah out and Guillermo Hernangomez doubtful, Kyle stands to play as long as his heavy personal foul ways will allow. His fantasy point production per minutes is always profound and he finds soft tissue in Nikola Vucevic in terms of defense.
Channing Frye – CLE at BOS – $5,000 (FD – PF), $4,700 (DK), $9,200 (FDRAFT) – Keep an eye on the starting lineup. If Frye is in the lineup, playing with LeBron James, then you are good to go for starting Frye, too. If not, like in the last game where Frye failed to crack even 20 minutes off the bench, then you can fade, even against the Celtics, who are a pace up game for the Cavs.
Good luck, players! – JW
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jaywalker72) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.