NBA Bargains 2/4/17
The weekend is here and to cap off a nice week, we get a 10-game slate tonight. Based on an early look at the slate, appealing value seems to be slim tonight, so for now I think that the balanced approach is the way to go. However, as the day progresses and news pops up, things can certainly change. With that said, let’s jump right into it and go over some of tonight’s bargains.
Elfrid Payton – Payton is much more appealing on DraftKings where he is $6,000, compared to the $6,700 he is on FanDuel. Tonight’s matchup is one that favors him and one he has fared well in this season. The Hawks are giving up the third most fantasy points per game to point guards and have allowed +2.4 fantasy points per game. In two games against Atlanta this season, Payton has averaged over 40 fantasy points per game, while not scoring fewer than 33 fantasy points in any of the games. He has been steady as of late, while also offering some nice upside.
George Hill – Hill has been hit or miss lately, but has now dipped below $6,000 on both FanDuel and DraftKings. Despite some subpar games, he has also had come nice game, topping 29 fantasy points in four of his last eight games. It is also worth noting that although the production has been inconsistent, his minutes have not, as he is still playing more than 31 minutes per game. The Hornets have allowed +2.44 points above expectations to opposing point guards and have surrendered the sixth most fantasy points per game to the position in the last five games.
Tony Parker – Parker has not sunk in a field goal in two consecutive games, but a matchup against the Nuggets could be just what the doctor ordered. Denver is giving up the second most fantasy points per game to point guards and have allowed +6.43 points above expectations to the position. They are ranked 29th in defensive efficiency and play paced up. In their last meeting, Parker scored over 35 fantasy points in 23 minutes. I am not expecting him to duplicate those numbers, but I am aware that he is capable of that in this matchup.
Ben McLemore – It took me a while to write his name on here, in fact it was the last player I wrote about simply because I was having trouble stomaching the fact that he is potentially in play tonight. However, with the injuries to the Kings backcourt, he should see a lot of minutes in a paced up game. Last night, he played 35 minutes and topped 20 fantasy points. If Arron Afflalo sits this one out, McLemore will be in line for his second consecutive start and is worth considering as a dart throw at the absolute minimum price.
Matt Barnes – Barnes has been playing more minutes in recent games as the Kings battle with injuries and that has translated into fantasy points. He has now topped 20 fantasy points in three straight and has played at least 30 minutes in back-to-back games. The price is also fair for him, as he is $4,000 on both DraftKings and FanDuel. Considering his price, minutes, and the fact that he is playing in a fast paced game tonight, he is an enticing option. He is volatile nonetheless, so keep him away from your cash lineups.
P.J. Tucker – Tucker has played over 30 minutes in seven of his last eight games and has scored over 30 fantasy points several times during that stretch. Tonight’s matchup against the Bucks is one that favors him as they are giving up the second most fantasy points per game to the position and have allowed +4.8 points above expectations. In addition, they rank 21st in defense efficiency. He is $4,700 on both sites and can provide some nice salary relief for those trying to fit in an expensive player.
James Johnson – Johnson continues his impressive stretch of at least 30 fantasy points (on DK) in four consecutive games. He is filling up the stat sheet and providing solid returns to those who are rostering him. Aside from his previous game where the Heat blew out the Hawks, he played over 30 minutes per game in his previous three. The Sixers are yielding 20.3 points and 11.3 rebounds per game to power forwards, while yielding the sixth most fantasy points per game to the position in their last five.
David Lee – Lee’s minutes have been volatile as of late, but his production has been steady for the most part. He has topped 28 fantasy points in five of his last eight games, including several 30+ fantasy point games during that stretch. He faced off against the Nuggets in mid-January and scored 10 points with 16 rebounds, which was good for over 35 fantasy points. Denver is ranked 29th in defensive efficiency and play paced up, favoring Lee. The uncertainty of minutes, makes him a tournament play only, but if he gets a lot of run, he should have no trouble paying off his salary.
Marcin Gortat – Gortat has four consecutive double-doubles and has topped 33 fantasy points in each of those games, including two 40+ fantasy point performances during that stretch. Tonight he faces the Pelicans who yield most rebounds per game with a -4.6 differential. In addition, they are giving up the sixth most fantasy points and most rebounds per game to opposing centers. Lastly, they have allowed +2.7 points above expectation to the position. Gortat scored 17 points with 11 boards in their last meeting, which was good for over 35 fantasy points.
Tyson Chandler – After a strong mid to late January, Chandler has cooled down a bit and finds himself in a bit of a rut. However, he is still reasonably priced and plays solid minutes for the Suns. He faces off against the Bucks who are giving up the third most fantasy points per game to centers over their last 10 games, yielding 24.6 points, 16.2 rebounds, 3.4 blocks, and three assists per game during that stretch. For the season, the Bucks have allowed +2.71 points above expectations to the position. While he is not as hot as he was a couple of weeks back, we know he has that upside.
If you have any questions, you can always reach out to me via Twitter @Armando_marsal or in the Fanvice.com premium slack chat. Also, don’t forget to tune into The Final Countdown on FanVice Live for all the last minute news and analysis.
Note: It is always wise to keep an eye out for injury news later in the day as this could open up immense value at some positions. Usually the last hour before lock is filled with news that can be very helpful.