NBA Bargains 2/25/17
We tip off the weekend with a nice seven-game main slate. Below I’ll go over some bargain plays that will help you to fit in some of the more expensive players into your lineups. Let’s jump right into it!
Tyler Johnson – MIA vs. IND – $5,100 (DK), $5,700 (FD), $10,100 (FDRAFT) – Johnson has been very efficient of late and his price remains reasonable. In his last five games, he has averaged 31.6 minutes, 17.4 points, 4.8 rebounds, 3.6 assists, and 1.4 steals, while exceeding 30 DK points in four of those contests. He gets a favorable matchup tonight against the Pacers who rank 20th in defensive efficiency. The last time he faced them, he scored 34.3 DK points in 32.4 minutes. He is shooting guard eligible on DK, adding some extra appeal.
T.J. McConnell- PHI at NY – $5,600 (DK), $6,200 (FD), $11,200 (FDRAFT) – McConnell is on a nice little run, averaging over 30 fantasy points per game in his last five. During that stretch, he has averaged 31.2 minutes, 10.2 points, 7.7 assists, 3.5 rebounds, and 2.7 steals per game. The Knicks are poor defensively, ranking 26th in defense efficiency, so this makes for a favorable situation. McConnell’s price is much more enticing on DK and Fantasy Draft, but is a fine play on all three sites.
Lou Williams – HOU vs. MIN – $4,900 (DK), $6,300 (FD), $9,800 (FDRAFT) – Williams made his debut with the Rockets on Thursday and went off for 27 points with seven three pointers in 25 minutes. This is the type of upside that he offers and despite playing fewer than 30 minutes, he chucked up 16 shots. The game was out of reach for the Pelicans, which allowed Williams to play the entire fourth quarter, but when he and Harden were both on the court, Williams went 3-of-4 from the field (all three pointers). The Timberwolves rank 23rd in defensive efficiency, making this a favorable matchup.
Courtney Lee – NYK vs. PHI – $4,600 (DK), $4,800 (FD), $9,100 (FDRAFT) – Lee is a very inconsistent and can disappoint at any time, however, he does play big minutes, averaging 31.4 minutes per game for the season. He has been shooting the ball well in the last four games with a 57.4 field goal percentage and is also averaging 11.8 field goal attempts during that stretch. While the Sixers are not an awful defensive team, they have allowed the fifth most fantasy points per game to opposing shooting guards over their last five games.
Terrence Ross – ORL vs. ATL – $4,500 (DK), $3,700 (FD), $8,800 (FDRAFT) – The Magic wasted no time and inserted Ross into the starting lineup in his debut with the team. He played 33 minutes and scored 13 points with three steals, five boards, and one dime. It appears that the Magic will give Ross the green light to shoot as he attempted 17 shots. The downside is that he only knocked in four of them. There is certainly risk rostering Ross, but at his low price, he can return very good value. Make sure he is in the starting lineup once again before finalizing your lineups.
Dario Saric – PHI at NYK – $6,900 (DK), $5,700 (FD), $13,000 (FDRAFT) – Saric made the cut due to his price on FanDuel which is still too cheap for how well he has been playing. On DK and Fantasy Draft, his price has crept up. Saric has topped 34 fantasy points in five consecutive games and has three consecutive double-doubles. The Knicks are giving up the seventh most fantasy points per game to opposing forwards and have allowed +1.97 points above expectations to the position. They are also ranked 26th in defensive efficiency, which puts him in a very good spot.
Gorgui Dieng – MIN at HOU – $5,300 (DK), $5,700 (FD), $10,500 (FDRAFT) – There is not a ton of value at this position tonight, so taking a shot on Dieng who averages over 30 minutes per game and faces off against a defense that is giving up the sixth most fantasy points per game to the position, makes sense. He is not a high-upside play by any means, but does offer somewhat of a safe floor.
Robin Lopez – CHI at CLE – $4,700 (DK), $4,900 (FD), $9,200 (FDRAFT) – It has been a good month for Lopez who is averaging 13.2 points, 6.7 rebounds, 1.3 assists, and one block per game in February. He has scored in double figures in all but two games during that stretch. The Cavs yield the eighth most rebounds per game to centers, which bodes well for Lopez. The one concern I have is that he is on a second night of a back-to-back and the Bulls went into overtime last night. However, going back to 2014, Lopez has exceeded expectations by an average of 3.06 points on the second night of a back-to-back game on the road (26 games accounted for) and since becoming a Bull, he has not scored fewer than 24 DK points in this scenario.
Myles Turner – IND at MIA – $5,700 (DK), $6,400 (FD), $11,200 (FDRAFT) – It was not long ago that Turner was in the $7K price range, so getting him at this price is something worth taking advantage of. He has topped 30 fantasy points in four of his last five games and gets a favorable matchup against the Heat who have allowed +3.62 points above expectations to the position. Over the last five games, Miami has surrendered the fifth most fantasy points per game to centers. Turner scored 33.8 DK points in 37.1 minutes in their last meeting.
Good luck all – Armando
If you have any questions, you can always reach out to me via Twitter @Armando_marsal or in the Fanvice.com premium slack chat. Also, don’t forget to tune into The Final Countdown on FanVice Live for all the last minute news and analysis.
Note: It is always wise to keep an eye out for injury news later in the day as this could open up immense value at some positions. Usually the last hour before lock is filled with news that can be very helpful.