NBA Bargains –1/7/17
The weekend is here and what better way to start it out than with an eight-game slate. There are some bargain plays that can open up some salary relief in order to fit in some of the high-end expensive players in good spots, so let’s jump right into it and go over some of tonight’s bargains.
Michael Carter-Williams – The price has gone up for Carter-Williams, but he is still affordable across the industry. He has started in three consecutive games and is averaging 28 minutes, nine points, 3.3 assists, 4.3 rebounds, one block, 1.3 steals, and over 22 fantasy points per game during that stretch. The one concern I have, is the fouls as he could certainly get into foul trouble in this contest. However, at this price he still offers value.
Ricky Rubio – Rubio’s price has decreased over the last week or so and that goes hand-in-hand with his production, but it has reached a point where we have to start considering him once again. Tonight he faces a Jazz team that I typically try to avoid, but they could be without George Hill which is a good defender. If that is that case, Rubio could be in for a bounce back game. He will not score a ton of points, but his peripheral stats make up for that. In his last game against the Jazz, he scored 11 points with three assists, two rebounds, and two steals in 25 minutes. That was good for over 20 fantasy points.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope – Caldwell-Pope struggled with his shot in his last game against the Hornets, shooting 25 percent, but that is the risk you take when rostering him. That being said, prior to that game, he had topped 29 points in two consecutive games and has eclipsed 30 fantasy points in three of his last seven games. He is attempting double-digit shots in just about every game and owns a 19.4 percent usage rate. If he catches fire early, it could turn out to be a big night for him. The good news is that tonight he faces a Portland team who is ranked 28th in defense efficiency.
Jae Crowder – Crowder was held scoreless for the first time this season, but is in a good bounce back spot tonight. Prior to last night’s game, he was averaging 15.2 points, 4.4 rebounds, 2.2 assists, and over 26 fantasy points per game. Recency bias may cause his ownership to be lower than it should be, making him an enticing tournament play. The Pelicans play at the 10th fastest pace in the league, which could create some extra touch opportunities.
Danilo Gallinari – Gallinari has been playing well as of late and remains reasonably priced. In the last seven games, he is averaging 19.7 points, 6.7 rebounds, 2.1 assists, and over 30 fantasy points per game. During that stretch, he has two double-doubles, has topped 40 fantasy points twice, and has drained 14 from beyond the arc. Tonight’s game should be up in pace and high scoring, favoring Gallinari.
Wilson Chandler – Chandler came off the bench in his last game, but that was due to their matchup, so I am expecting him to be back in the starting lineup tonight. He remains a streaky player, but offers plenty of upside at his price. In his last five games, he is averaging 13.8 points, six rebounds, 2.2 assists, and over 26 fantasy points per game. The last time he faced the Thunder, he scored 32 points with 11 rebounds and over 50 fantasy points. This game has the highest total of the night and just a seven point spread, so there is plenty of fantasy goodness in this one, including Chandler.
Enes Kanter – Kanter continues to play well and besides his poor outing against the Bucks a couple of games ago, he has been very consistent. In his last nine games, he is averaging 17.1 points, 7.8 rebounds, and nearly 30 fantasy points per game. In fact, he has topped 30 fantasy points in seven of his last nine (DK scoring). Denver is dead last in defense efficiency and have allowed +1.97 points above expectations to the position. In their last meeting, Kanter score 19 fantasy points in 19 minutes. It is worth noting that on DraftKings, he is only center eligible and on FanDuel he is only power forward eligible, so it really depends on where you play that you can fit him in.
Steven Adams – The Thunder have a one-two punch combo with their bigs that is working. Adams is averaging 13.5 points, nine rebounds, 2.2 assists, 1.1 steals, 1.4 blocks, and over 30 fantasy points per game in his last eight games. During that stretch, he has topped 40 fantasy points twice. Denver has allowed +2.17 points above expectations to opposing centers and are giving up 2.5 blocks per game. His price is creeping up, but it is still reasonable.
Mason Plumlee – Plumlee makes more sense on DraftKings where he is less the $6,000, but even on FanDuel where the prices for centers is tight, he makes sense. Over his last five games, he is averaging 13.7 points, 9.8 rebounds, four assists, and over 30 fantasy points per game. He has three double-doubles in that span and even with Damian Lillard back, he played 31 minutes and scored 15 points. He is someone I like to target when I am looking for value at center as he offers plenty of upside and a nice floor.
Note: It is always wise to keep an eye out for injury news later in the day as this could open up immense value at some positions. Usually the last hour before lock is filled with news that can be very helpful.