NBA Bargains –1/4/17
We have reached mid-week and have a seven-game slate at hand, with some bargain plays that can open up some salary relief in order to fit in some of the high-end expensive players in good spots. Let’s jump right into it and go over some of tonight’s bargains.
Michael Carter-Williams – Carter-Williams has moved into the starting rotations, getting starts in two consecutive games. Over the last three games, he is averaging 27.7 minutes, 8.7 points, six rebounds, 2.7 assists, one steal and one block per game, while scoring over 23 fantasy points in two of those contests. He remains very affordable across the industry and faces a Cavs team that yields the sixth most fantasy points per game to point guards.
Elfrid Payton – Payton is coming off of a nice game where he played 31 minutes and topped 40 fantasy points. This was the second time in the last five games that he has eclipsed 40 fantasy points. The minutes have been erratic for Payton, but he has played at least 29 minutes in five of his last seven games. The matchup is one that favors him as the Hawks are giving up the second most fantasy points per game to point guards. The last time that he faced off against Atlanta, Payton scored 26 points, 14 assists, two steals, and three rebounds. That performance was good for over 50 fantasy points.
Courtney Lee – Lee returned from a three game absence and played 34 minutes, scoring 14 points and over 17 fantasy points. Prior to his wrist injury, he was averaging 32.7 minutes and over 18 fantasy points per game. The Bucks are giving up the 10th most fantasy points per game to shooting guards. He comes at a very cheap price across the industry and will create plenty of salary relief.
Evan Turner – Turner has benefited from Lillard being sidelined, averaging 28.8 minutes, 9.8 points, four rebounds, 3.3 assists, 1.5 steals, and 1.3 blocks per game in his last four games. Lillard is considered doubtful for tonight’s game, so Turner can once again see some extra run. Portland takes on the Warriors in what should be a fast paced game, creating some extra touch opportunities for Turner. He is SG eligible on DraftKings, adding some incentive.
Maurice Harkless – Harkless is playing big minutes for Portland, averaging 30.6 minutes per game for the season, but 32.2 minutes in his last five games. He has scored in double-figures in three of the last four games and is averaging two steals and 1.3 blocks per game during that stretch. The last time he faced the Warriors, he scored 17 points with two rebounds, two steals and two blocks, which was good for 26 fantasy points. Tonight’s matchup should be up in pace and high scoring, making this a favorable situation.
Zach Randolph – JaMychal Green left Tuesday night’s game after taking a big hit to the face. X-Rays came back negative, but his status for tonight is in question. If he misses, Randolph could see some extra run tonight. He played 28 minutes in last night’s contest and finished one rebound shy of his second double-double in four games. The Clippers have been a tad more vulnerable against power forwards in recent games, allowing the second most fantasy points per game in their last 10. Z-Bo has displayed his 30+ fantasy point upside on several occasions this season, making him a solid value at his reasonable price across the industry.
Steven Adams – Adams had a big performance in his last game, scoring 20 points with eight rebounds and three blocks, which was good for over 40 fantasy points. Despite being outshined by Enes Kanter in previous games, Adams is still playing more minutes. Both centers are in play tonight at their price point, but Adams offers the safer floor.
Mason Plumlee – His price is much more appealing on DraftKings where he is $5,700, but he is still reasonably priced across the industry. In the last four games (with Lillard out), Plumlee is averaging 27.3 minutes, 12.8 points, 10.5 rebounds, 3.8 assists, and over 30 fantasy points per game.
Willie Reed – Reed is coming off of a monster performance and looks to carry that momentum into tonight’s game. He scored 22 points with 18 rebounds, one steal and two blocks in last night’s game against the Suns. He played 32 minutes and scored over 50 fantasy points. He should play heavy minutes once again tonight with Hassan Whiteside out and faces a Sacramento team that has allowed +1.09 points above expectations to the position.
Note: It is always wise to keep an eye out for injury news later in the day as this could open up immense value at some positions. Usually the last hour before lock is filled with news that can be very helpful.