NBA Bargains 1/31/17
Happy Tuesday! Let us look at the games from this interesting six-game slate and find the bargain plays that make our lineups hit the top of the standings. I am going to keep these under the $5,000(ish) line for FanDuel (FD) and DraftKings (DK).Let’s go!
NOTE: Stay tuned to FanVice for updates and analysis of the breaking news in regards to the values that open up throughout the evening leading up to lineup lock. Tune into the best Lineup Lock NBA show going, The Final Countdown with Cedric and Eddie tonight at 6pm ET for the latest news and get your bargains and other lineup questions answered!
Tony Parker – SAS vs. OKC – Parker is very clearly being held back, minutes wise, to preserve him for the post season, but when he is out there for his 22-26 minutes, he is using 23-24% of possessions. With this matchup against Russell Westbrook, he could sneak in a few more minutes and take his total closer to 28-30 fantasy points, providing great value for his 4Kish salary across the industry.
Jordan Clarkson – LAL vs. DEN – Assuming no D’Angelo Russell here again, so stay on the news and watch the shows tonight to see/hear the latest, but Clarkson averages 31-32 minutes and his usual 24% raw usage, making him a great play at PG against the defenseless Nuggets, who are the eighth worst defensive team over the past ten games.
Gary Harris – DEN at LAL – Say, the Lakers are the sixth worst defensive team over the past ten games, affirming the high game total here. Harris has locked in mid 30s minutes again after returning from injury, and had 35.50 DK points in a similarly loose game against PHX Saturday night.
Danny Green – SAS vs. OKC – With the stronger matchup here, Green will likely get called up to matchup with the Thunder backcourt for an extended run tonight. With his three-point shooting, he is an even better value on DK, who gives us the extra ½ point for the three. Green is only $3,800 on DK tonight and has scored 25.25, 21.25 and 24 DK points in his last three games.
Evan Turner – POR vs. CHA – Turner’s minutes have been solid since starting, getting 40, 32, 31 and 33 minutes his last four games. He has begun to use more possessions as well, scoring 23.8% in 33 minutes against the Warriors Sunday.
Larry Nance – LAL vs. DEN – With Julius Randle out, Nance stands to play a little more, and has a great matchup for some tournament use at a tough small forward position tonight. Nance is third on the team in points per possession (1.000) with Randle out for the game.
Ryan Anderson – HOU vs. SAC – Anderson is a volatile producer, so he is mostly tournaments only, and is one of the very few tonight below the value line that you can see scoring 30-35 fantasy points. The matchup is good for him and the total is high to raise his ship to that level, as he did in Indiana (40.25 DK points) Sunday.
Al-Farouq Aminu – POR vs. CHA – Aminu has been coming off the bench, but still getting his minutes, with 32.2 and 34.5 his last two games. Terry Stotts loves AFA’s defense, so there is little doubt he will continue to see that and it has helped keep his price down to where his 28-30 point estimate here makes solid value.
Ivica Zubac – LAL vs. DEN – It is a risk due to fluctuating minutes, but with Randle out, surely ZUUUUUBAAAAACCC will get his 25ish minutes. The three times he has done that this month, he has three double-doubles and 37.75, 33 and 31 DK points. His price is still under 4K – enjoy!
Spencer Hawes – CHA at POR – With Cody Zeller likely out once again, Hawes will come off the bench and the Hornets will need his offense against the Blazers in Portland. Mason Plumlee does not offer much in defense, so it is probably most like the game against Golden State, where he logged 29 minutes, took 13 shots and scored 36.75 DK points.
Good luck, players! – JW
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jaywalker72) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.