NBA Bargains 1/20/17
We have an outstanding nine game set in front of us for Friday night with a solid sub-set of four games tipping off at 8pm ET which should make for two very playable slates. There is one lone “late night hammer” game on the West Coast tipping off two hours after the rest at 10:30pm ET between the Indiana Pacers and the Los Angeles Lakers.
As always, more information will be released by the teams closer to tip-off, but this should give us plenty of discounted options to work with in the meantime. Don’t forget to tune in for the FinalCountdown on FanVice Live tonight for all of your last minute news and advice until the first tipoff.
If you have any questions you can reach me on Twitter @EmacDFS or in the FanVice.com premium Slack channel.
Michael Carter-Williams and Rajon Rondo – CHI at ATL – While the Hawks have seemingly shored up their defense against point guards over the last three weeks, they are still allowing the third most fantasy points to the opposition on the season. Though when we look at their nine games in January, we can see that they played against San Antonio, Dallas, New Orleans, Detroit, Brooklyn and Milwaukee (most stat sites are not counting Giannis Antetonkounmpo as a point guard in DvP ratings) we can see why there appears to have been some “improvement” in their results. Chicago is a mess with Dwyane Wade now posturing about leaving next season, whispers that inquiries are being made about Jimmy Butler as the Bulls consider trading him for a haul of draft picks and Rajon Rondo being indifferent. From a price per point perspective, we can give strong consideration tonight to MCW in all formats and even Rajon Rondo ($4,000 on FanDuel, $7,700 on FantasyDraft and $3,900 on DraftKings) enters the conversation in this matchup.
Jordan Clarkson – LAL vs IND – Clarkson has tallied 19+ fantasy points in seven of his last nine games and even with all of the Lakers healthy, he should see steady minutes playing both guard positions once again tonight and should be able to produce 15-20 fantasy points making him a fine option in the late game sets as well as a discount dandy in the full slate contests.
Patrick Beverly – HOU vs GSW – Though he is a touch above my normal definitely of a bargain, at $5,700 on FanDuel, $11,200 on FantasyDraft and $5,600 on DraftKings, Beverley is one of the best ways to get an extra ticket into the Houston vs Golden State matchup that projects out at a 236.5 o/u with the Warriors -6.0 road favorites. In his last three meetings against the ‘Dubs, he has averaged 8.3ppg, 5.0rpg, 4.3apg and 2.3spg for 25.3 fantasy points per game. Other than the steals, each of these figures are below his averages on the season, so there is upside potential here.
Louis Williams and Nick Young – LAL vs IND – Sticking with the Lakers guards, with everyone healthy, their prices have all slipped back down into bargain territory. Indiana has been a middle-of-the-pack team against shooting guards this season and with this game projecting with the second highest points total at 220, there should be some value yield from the Lakers backcourt players.
Garrett Temple – SAC at MEM – With Rudy Gay out of action after rupturing his Achilles, there is a good chance Temple will become a fixture in the Kings starting lineup as their hand may be forced into playing more three guard sets with the former Washington Wizard acting as the defacto small forward.
Mario Hezonia – ORL vs MIL – The Magic are pretty thin right now with both Evan Fournier and Jody Meeks out of the lineup. There should be some extra minutes for Aaron Gordon as he can be shifted to small forward, which would allow Mario Hezonja to play shooting guard in most lineup combinations. Former University of Washington standout C.J. Wilcox has not seen game action since New Year’s Day, but he could be pressed into duty as well.
Matt Barnes – SAC at MEM – We need to keep in mind that the thirteen year journeyman is turning 37 in six weeks, but he too will see a boost in production (at least for a couple games until his legs betray him) with Rudy Gay on the shelf and as an added bonus he will be playing against one of his ten former teams tonight and who can forget when he had his first career triple double last season in Memphis for the shorthanded Grizzlies.
Glenn Robinson – IND at LAL – Tournaments only, but the game log watchers are going to be scared away from him. He is a viable extreme punt option for the late game sets.
Aaron Gordon – ORL vs MIL – see Mario Hezonia
Derrick Favors – UTA at DAL – While Favors minutes are up, he is realistically capped at around 30 fantasy points with a 22-25 range the most likely outcome. Be aware that this is the first game of a back-to-back as the Jazz travel to Denver after Friday night’s game.
Al-Farouq Aminu – POR at PHI – AFA is a solid cash game option as he should see plenty of time on the court as the best post defender on the Blazers and Philly rolling out a seemingly endless parade of BIGs.
Zach Randolph – MEM vs SAC – Randolph has seen his price elevated on the strength of four 30+ fantasy point performances over his last half dozen outings. Memphis hosts the Houston Rockets Saturday night, but I am sure Z-Bo will be up for this game against his former coach Dave Joerger.
Cody Zeller – CHA vs TOR – This is a solid matchup for Zeller as he should have plenty of rebounding opportunities and be in the mix for a double double. In his last three meetings with Toronto he is averaging 12 points and 7.3 rebounds per game.
Greg Monroe – MIL at ORL – We will want to move Monroe back into the Tournament Only category for a while to see how Coach Jason Kidd is going to employ Jon Henson against talented offensive centers such as Nikola Vucevic of Orlando since this could potentially cap Monroe’s minutes at 18-20.
Good Luck Gamers! ~ EMac