NBA Bargains 1/18/17
We have reached mid-week and have a nice nine-game slate at hand, with some bargain plays that can open up some salary relief in order to fit in some of the high-end expensive players in good spots, so let’s jump right into it and go over some of tonight’s bargains.
Darren Collison – Ty Lawson is dealing with an ankle injury and considered questionable for tonight’s game. If he misses, Collison could be in for a larger role. Earlier this month when Lawson missed a game, Collison played 39 minutes and scored 26 points. He is having a good month, averaging 29.3 minutes, 16.1 points, 3.4 assists, 1.7 rebounds, and over 23 fantasy points per game in January.
Elfrid Payton – Payton has been more aggressive on offense as of late, resulting in a boost in scoring. In his last three games, he has attempted at least 17 shots and has scored at least 19 points in each game, and is averaging over 40 fantasy points during that stretch. Tonight he faces off against the Pelicans who are giving up the third most fantasy points per game to opposing point guards and have allowed +2.69 points above expectations to the position. His price has increased a tad, but he is still at a comfortable salary for a player of his caliber.
Victor Oladipo – Oladipo is coming off of a poor performance against the Clippers, but could bounce back nicely in tonight’s contest. He faces off against the Warriors who are giving up over 35 fantasy points per game to shooting guards and play at a fast pace, creating extra touch opportunities to opposing players. Aside from his last game, Oladipo found some consistency in production, scoring over 20 fantasy points in nine consecutive games and eclipsing 28 fantasy points five times during that stretch. In his last meeting against the Warriors he scored 21 points with three rebounds and four 3-pointers.
Jae Crowder – After a couple of subpar outings, Crowder has turned it around in recent games, averaging over 30 fantasy points per game in his last three. He gets a good matchup against the Knicks who are ranked 25th in defense efficiency. Crowder is not a high-ceiling player, but he does enough to pay off his salary and some, at his price point.
Kent Bazemore – Bazemore is averaging 29.7 minutes, 17.3 points, 3.7 rebounds, three assists, one steal, and over 24 fantasy points per game in his last three. He has been shooting better which has led to more minutes, along with the departure of Kyle Korver. He should continue to get decent run at a very affordable price across the industry.
Anthony Tolliver – Tolliver has moved into the starting lineup and is playing big minutes for the Kings. He is averaging 33.5 minutes, 12.5 points, 4.8 rebounds, 1.3 assists, 1.8 steals, and over 23 fantasy points per game in his last four. Tonight he faces off against the Pacers who are yielding the sixth most fantasy points to opposing power forwards and have allowed +1.74 points above expectations to the position. He should have no trouble exceeding expectations in this matchup.
Serge Ibaka – Ibaka has topped 31 fantasy points in three of his last five games (DraftKings scoring), with three double-doubles during that stretch. He faces off against the Pelicans who are giving up the most rebounds per game (49.3) to opponents, with a -5.0 differential. They are also yielding the fourth most fantasy points and most rebounds per game to opposing power forwards. Ibaka scored 16 points with eight rebounds in 29 minutes the last time he faced the Pelicans. He should have a dominant performance tonight and have his way under the boards.
Jonas Valanciunas – Ever since he was called out, Valanciunas is playing harder. He is averaging 12.8 points, 14.8 rebounds, and over 31 fantasy points per game in his last four, while getting three double-doubles during that stretch. The Sixers are yielding the seventh most rebounds per game (44.9), with a -1.5 differential. They are also giving up the third most fantasy points, most points, and second most steals per game to opposing centers. In two games against Philadelphia this season, Valanciunas is averaging 14.5 points, 10.5 rebounds, 1.5 steals, 1.5 blocks, and over 30 fantasy points per game.
Cody Zeller – Zeller returned from an illness and has played at least 31 minutes in back-to-back games. In those contests, he has averaged 33.5 minutes, 14.5 points, nine rebounds, 1.5 steals, one block, and over 25 fantasy points per game. Portland is yielding the eighth most rebounds per game (44.7) to opponents, with a -2.2 differential. They are also giving up the sixth most points and +3.17 points above expectations to opposing centers. This is a favorable situation for Zeller and one he should fare well in.
If you have any questions, you can always reach out to me via Twitter @Armando_Marsal or in the Fanvice.com premium slack chat. Also, don’t forget to tune into The Final Countdown on FanVice Live for all the last minute news and analysis.
Note: It is always wise to keep an eye out for injury news later in the day as this could open up immense value at some positions. Usually the last hour before lock is filled with news that can be very helpful.