NBA Bargains 1/15/17
Happy Sunday! Let us look at the games from 6pm and later and find the bargain plays that make our lineups hit the top of the standings. I am going to keep these under the $5,000(ish) line for FanDuel (FD). Let’s go!
NOTE: Stay tuned to FanVice for updates and analysis of the breaking news in regards to the values that open up throughout the evening leading up to lineup lock.
Patrick Beverley – HOU at BKN – $5,100 (FD) – I said 5Kish….Here is Beverly, against Brooklyn, with a 231.5 game total. It is one of those games that James Harden does not have to do everything for the Rockets to score and/or win, so the fantasy goodness gets spread around a little more. In the seven games Beverly has played in this season where the Rockets are 10 points or greater favorites, Beverley has averaged 30 FD points.
Ty Lawson – SAC vs. OKC – $4,300 (FD) – It is a coin flip who gets more minutes, Lawson or Darren Collison but it looks as if Lawson has won more time again as Collison blew his exclusive change at putting Lawson away over the last two weeks. Lawson scored 25 FD points against Cleveland the last game out and has been steadily over 20% raw usage in games since 12-21 (9 out of 10 games).
Reggie Bullock – DET at LAL – $3,500 (FD) – With Caldwell-Pope out again Sunday, Bullock is likely to see a sequel to his 26 minute effort in Utah last time out. Bullock should be a 20% raw usage guy, but only shot six times in that game. Likely a 20-22 FD point play here, so bear that in mind in terms of where to roster him.
Sean Kilpatrick – BKN vs. HOU – $4,100 – He has fallen hard here, but still offers mid 20s% raw usage off the bench and has a premium matchup here against the Rockets. If the Nets are going to keep this game close, they will need Kilpatrick to score in his minutes to do it.
Bojan Bogdanovic – BKN vs. HOU – $4,400 – Bojan is really the backcourtish guy you want on the Nets, however, since he is entrenched in the starting lineup, getting high 20s minutes and shooting like crazy when he is in there with non usage types like Dinwiddie/Whitehead and Trevor Booker. Bogdo has six straight games of 25 minutes and over and 20% usage and over, averaging over 23 FD points over that span.
Marcus Morris – DET at LAL – $4,700 – The guy who has really taken it up a notch with the injuries to Leuer and Caldwell-Pope is Morris, who is back to high minutes totals (36, 46, 31, 34, 30 last five games) and has taken over 15 shots per game over that span.
Anthony Tolliver – SAC vs. OKC – $3,900 (FD) – Still getting the low 30s minutes and high teens raw usage, but did not get to the line last game or make his shots, landing at 16 FD points instead of the 26 he got in both the Golden State and Detroit games previous to that.
Ryan Anderson – HOU at BKN – $5,000 (FD) – This should be a very pacy game and the last time these two teams clashed this season, Anderson had 30 minutes and scored 29+ FD points. He will not get the mid 30s minutes like he was getting when Eric Gordon was out but 27-30 seems reasonable and a good value here.
Nene – HOU at BKN – $3,700 (FD) – It is a poor night for discount rack centers, evidenced by the inclusion of Nene, who at best is due for the 24 minutes he logged against Brook Lopez the last time these two teams met up this season. Low ceiling, but could plug in 20-24 FD points here.
Boban Marjanovic – DET at LAL – $3,900 (FD) – You know the drill with Boban: Tons of production per minute – very few minutes on the floor. With Leuer out, Boban has been getting more minutes and if he can get the 16 he got against Golden State, he would be a fun tourney value here.
Good luck, players! – JW
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jaywalker72) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.