NBA Tournament Thoughts by ShipMyMoney aka Adam Scherer – 01/19/2018

Greetings Gamers!  We wanted to give you a free sneak peek at some of our premium NBA content to for tonight’s $12,000 Pick and Roll on FantasyDraft with a manageable $25 entry fee and a 15-entry limit, so we will not see the field overrun by anyone one player with a big bankroll. The contest tips off at 7:00pm ET with 7 games, so here are some of the players I am eyeing on for my tournament lineups.

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Now let’s get down to business with some insight from ShipMyMoney!

Guards

Donovan Mitchell, Utah Jazz, $14,700

Mitchell has been extremely good for Utah this season but continues to go somewhat overlooked in DFS tournaments and people choose to roster more established players in his price range.  That could be the case again tonight, as Devin Booker is just $800 more expensive coming off a 65+ fantasy point performance.  While Booker is a strong play, Mitchell deserves tournament consideration at a lower price tag and lower ownership.

Mitchell is the focal point for the Utah offense, recording a usage rate greater than 28 percent in seven of his last eight games (greater than 30 percent in five of those games).  He has a friendly matchup against the Knicks and offers a high floor and massive ceiling tonight.

Goran Dragic, Miami Heat, $13,300

Dragic remains very inexpensive given his current role with the Heat.  Tyler Johnson and Dion Waiters are both out for tonight’s game, meaning that Dragic will be relied upon even more than usual on the offensive end.  Dragic has played 286 minutes without either one on the floor this season, posting a 30.3 usage percentage, 33.5 assist percentage and 1.14 FantasyDraft points per minute.  Brooklyn is not the terrible defensive team that they were last year and earlier this season, but they are not a strong defense either.  Dragic is too cheap for the minutes and production we can expect from him tonight.

 

Forwards

LaMarcus Aldridge, San Antonio Spurs, $16,300

Aldridge will once again be playing without Kawhi Leonard tonight.  Aldridge has seen a massive boost in production without Leonard on the floor this season and his price tag leaves plenty of room for upside.  Aldridge has a 30.2 usage percentage without Leonard on the floor this season (compared to 22.8 percent with Leonard on the floor), and that climbs to 31.6 percent when we also remove Rudy Gay.  Aldridge leads the NBA in post-up field goal attempts and Serge Ibaka ranks in the bottom 20th percentile in post defense this season.

Domantas Sabonis, Indiana Pacers, $12,400

Sabonis has been disappointing lately but has a great chance to bounce back tonight against the Lakers.  He was relatively unproductive in difficult matchups with Portland and Utah over his last two games and he played just 23 minutes in a blowout win against Phoenix.  Still, Sabonis has played 516 minutes alongside Oladipo without Myles Turner on the floor this season.  He has a 21 percent usage percentage, 13.8 assist percentage and 19.6 rebound percentage while producing 1.07 FantasyDraft points per minute.  Sabonis has proven to be a very good rebounder this season and the Lakers are allowing the 2nd most rebounds per game to opponents.

 

Centers

Hassan Whiteside, Miami Heat, $15,500

Whiteside played just shy of 32 minutes and closed Miami’s last game on his way to 27 points, 13 rebounds and 6 blocks against the Bucks on Wednesday.  Whiteside playing fourth quarter minutes on Wednesday does not mean he will play fourth quarter minutes tonight, but Brooklyn is a very good matchup for him and it is likely that he will play well enough in the early parts of the game that Erik Spoelstra will reward him with fourth quarter minutes.

Brooklyn rotates 4 centers throughout the game, which is good for Whiteside as the Nets have been closing with their small lineup much less often.  There is risk in rostering Whiteside, but this is a tremendous matchup and he is likely to greatly exceed his salary if he gets 30 minutes tonight.

 

Pau Gasol, San Antonio Spurs, #12,400

Gasol played very well in 29 minutes against the Nets on Wednesday and it appears that his wrist injury may be feeling better.  The Spurs did not play yesterday and do not play tomorrow, so we should not have to worry about Gasol resting within the game.  He is a difficult matchup for Jonas Valanciunas, who struggles to defend centers who can pull him away from the basket.  Not surprisingly, Gasol has had success in this matchup in the past.

Gasol has matched up with Valanciunas once since joining the Spurs, producing 22.5 Fantasy Draft points in 19.2 minutes.  In three matchups against Valanciunas in his last season with the Bulls, Gasol averaged 1.5 FantasyDraft points per minute.  Gasol has played 692 minutes without Leonard or Gay on the floor this season, recording a 20.4 usage percentage, 20.2 assist percentage and 1.08 FantasyDraft points per minute.

Best of luck in taking second place tonight! ~ ShipMyMoney