NBA Tournament Thoughts by ShipMyMoney aka Adam Scherer – 01/12/2018
Greetings Gamers! We wanted to give you a free sneak peek at some of our premium NBA content to for tonight’s $7,500 Pick and Roll on FantasyDraft with a reasonable $25 entry fee and a 9-entry limit, so we will not see the field overrun by anyone one player with a hefty bankroll. The contest tips off at 7:30pm ET with 6 games, so here are some of the players I am targeting on for my tournament lineups.
- 30 days of FanVice premium content (current FanVice subscribers will have their expiration date extended by 30 days).
- A deposit bonus from FantasyDraft
Additionally we are running a special One-Week Sprint version of the FanVice/FantasyDraft Leaderboard Series few weeks for a coaching session with the FanVice contributor of your choice, along with added swag, tickets, subscriptions and bonus cash click here to learn how to participate.
Now let’s get down to business with some insight from ShipMyMoney!
Chris Paul, Houston Rockets, $18,700
We finally got the type of game that we were expecting from Paul in his last game against Portland. Tonight, he gets a considerably easier matchup against the Phoenix Suns. Phoenix has been a bottom five defense all season long and they rank in the top five in pace. Paul has played 367 minutes without Harden on the floor this season and has a 30.4 usage percentage and 57.1 assist percentage while averaging 1.58 FantasyDraft points per minute. He will be popular but the price tag is too nice to ignore.
Klay Thompson, Golden State Warriors, $12,100
Thompson is an excellent player to take advantage of on FantasyDraft where you have plenty of roster flexibility. Stephen Curry has been ruled out for the Warriors tonight which, by itself, is not a huge boost for Thompson. Klay has averaged 0.92 FantasyDraft points per minute without Steph on the floor this season compared to 1 point per minute with him, so his absence does not make a difference for Thompson’s actual projection. Where it does make a difference, however, is his ceiling.
Thompson’s usage percentage increases from 21.7 percent alongside Curry to 27.2 percent without him on the floor. While he is less efficient, he will not be less efficient every game. The games that his shot is falling, he will have more opportunities as he does not have to compete with Curry. The matchup against the Bucks tonight is an excellent one for Thompson as the Bucks have been the 3rd-worst team defending the three-point line this season and their defensive approach funnels the ball to shooters on the perimeter. Thompson is a relatively inexpensive way to get exposure to the Curry-less Warriors offense.
Kristaps Porzingis, New York Knicks, $14,300
Porzingis has stated that he is exhausted recently, which I am sure is totally unrelated to the appearance of Jen Selter in his life. Still, he is playing big minutes for the Knicks and remains the focal point of the offense. His price tag has dropped as a result of his struggles lately, which gives him a ton of upside. Tim Hardaway, Jr. is questionable for tonight’s game. If he returns it will likely take a little bit of usage away from Porzingis, but not enough to dissuade us from rostering him.
Trey Lyles, Denver Nuggets, $11,400
Lyles has been playing extremely well for Denver lately and is seeing 28-32 minutes per game most nights. His price tag remains too low for those minutes here on FantasyDraft and he could see a couple extra minutes with Gary Harris out tonight and Will Barton probably spending more time at the two. Lyles is averaging about 1 FantasyDraft point per minute this season without Gary Harris or Paul Millsap on the floor and the Grizzlies have been struggling defensively ever since they lost Mike Conley to injury.
Clint Capela, Houston Rockets, $14,600
Capela gets a very nice matchup in a fast-paced game against the Suns tonight. Tyson Chandler is still a quality defender and the Suns have actually been one of the better teams in the NBA at defending roll men in the pick-and-roll, but it is an excellent spot outside of that. Phoenix is in the top 5 in rebounds allowed per game and blocks allowed per game this season, two areas where Capela can excel.
Capela has been less efficient without James Harden on the floor this season, averaging 1.2 fantasy points per minute without Harden compared to 1.32 alongside him. His effective field goal percentage is about three percentage points lower without Harden on the floor. Over the five full games that Harden has not played, however, Capela has usage rates of 28.8, 22.5, 29.7, 15.6 and 22.2 percent so it is reassuring to see Paul getting him very involved in the offense. Capela has 45-50 fantasy points upside against Phoenix tonight.
Mason Plumlee, Denver Nuggets, $8,400
Plumlee continues to go overlooked despite frequently playing alongside Nikola Jokic in the Nuggets’ frontcourt. Plumlee rarely plays more than 25 minutes, but he is a point per minute player and, as long as his price tag remains this low, he is a strong value play- especially since he comes at low ownership. As mentioned earlier, Memphis has not been the stout defensive team that most people think of over the last month-plus and Plumlee contributes in a variety of ways when he is on the floor.
Best of luck in taking second place tonight! ~ ShipMyMoney