Daily Fantasy NASCAR Recommendations: Overton’s 400 at Pocono
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After a good amount of restarts it was Kasey Kahne who took home the checkered flag and the hardware last week at Indianapolis Motor Speedway. This weekend the Monster Energy Nascar Cup Series heads to Pocono to battle it out for the second time in as many months. Ryan Blaney came away with the victory on June 11th and will look to win his second straight in the mountains of Long Pond Pennsylvania.
Pocono Raceway is also known as ‘The Tricky Triangle’ because of the way the course is laid out. There are three turns over the two and half mile track and though it seems easy enough, it does have its share of problems. The track is modeled after three different speedways which gives it its own unique feel. Turn one was taken from the old Trenton Speedway which boasts 14 degrees of banking, which is the steepest of the three turns. Moving into turn two is where most of the problems occur. Although the turn resembles Indianapolis Motor Speedway with its 9 degrees of banking it’s the tunnel underneath of it that is the culprit for most of the concern for the drivers. There have been a few ‘bumps’ crop up over the years which makes this turn one of the most treacherous on the circuit. The Milwaukee Mile is responsible for the make-up of turn three as it has just six degrees of banking. The layout of the track gives the drivers plenty of opportunity to open it up on the straightaways.
This week is not your usual week as qualifying will not take place until Sunday morning at 11:30 am which will leave just about a little over two hours before the start of the race which is scheduled for 3pm EST. The Xfinity Series drivers are used to this type of scenario but it rarely happens in the Monster Energy Nascar Cup series. As you can imagine this will definitely present a problem when trying to analyze which drivers will be able to tally up the most points and which ones have a chance to at least be of some value. To point you in the right direction we will have to look at past history and this season’s performance along with practice speeds to try and determine who has the best shot to win this thing. Without any further ado, let’s get down to the business.
Kyle Busch ($10,700) has a hefty price tag this weekend but that’s what happens when you not only have three top 10 finishes in the last five starts here, but also turn in the top speed of the final practice. The driver of the #18 M&M’s Caramel Toyota will need to put last week’s dismal finish in the rear view mirror and try to chalk up a win here to clinch a spot in the playoffs.
Now I know what you are thinking, Busch is third in the point standings and has to be in the playoffs. That would be incorrect as there are six regular season races left which could be won by four different drivers who have not yet been to the Winner’s Circle. It is not out of the realm of possibility to think that Jamie McMurray, Chase Elliott, Matt Kenseth and Joey Logano could take home the checkered flag and Busch not over the last six races. If this were to actually happen I am positive we’d see a ‘Kyle Busch Rule’ implemented next season.
Martin Truex Jr (10, 500), Kevin Harvick (10,200) and Kyle Larson (10,100) round out the ‘high salaried’ guys over at DraftKings for this weekend’s contests. Truex has been extremely impressive this season as he is the points leader over Larson by 13 points. They are the only two drivers that have accumulated over 700 points so far this season as Harvick would be in third with 683 points. All three have won at least one race and will compete in this year’s playoffs.
Brad Keselowski ($9,100) seems to be in a decent spot here as his price has deflated a bit despite snagging two top 10 finishes over the last two weeks. The driver of the #2 Alliance Trick Parts Ford has found his way into the top five in the last four races he has started here at Pocono. That right there is enough for me to roster him. Keselowski did improve during the final practice as his car was the 12th fastest on the track which was up seven spots from the first practice.
Kurt Busch ($8,500) is another driver that has fared well here over the past 10 races. The driver of the #41 Monster Energy/Haas Automation Ford has racked up seven top 10 finishes in his last 10 starts here at Pocono Speedway. This ties Keselowski for the most top 10 finishes over that same time frame. Busch has already qualified for the playoffs thanks to a Daytona 500 win.
Dale Earnhardt Jr ($7,200) continues his Farwell Tour with his final race here in Long Pond Pennsylvania. Earnhardt is currently 22nd in the point standings and will surely need a win to get into the playoffs so why not here. Besides engine failure here a month ago the driver of the #88 Nationwide Chevrolet had put up four top five finishes in his last five starts at this track. This of course was all before his concussion which is why you need to proceed with caution here.
Daniel Suarez ($7,200) has two consecutive top 10 finishes over the last two races and looks like he is getting more comfortable behind the wheel of Carl Edwards old ride. The driver of the #19 Stanley Toyota finished 15th here last month and will look to crack the top 10 Sunday afternoon.
Chris Buescher ($6,200) had his only career win come at ‘The Tricky Triangle’ in the fall of 2016. Now I am not saying he can duplicate that feat here today but, depending on where he qualifies, should certainly be worth a look. His worst start in three tries at Pocono Raceway has resulted in a 25th place finish early last year.
That will put a wrap on another weekend of Nascar action. Check back next week as the playoffs get ever closer as well as some of the drivers chances of making them even further. As always, follow me on twitter @elctrceye and good luck in your contests this weekend.