Daily Fantasy NASCAR Recommendations: Michigan FireKeepers Casino 400
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With the dog days of summer right around the corner the drivers of the Monster Energy Nascar Cup Series will head to Michigan to hopefully run some hot laps. It looks like the rain that is forecasted for the Brooklyn area should be out of the way in time for the 3 pm start time but that will also mean that if it does indeed rain that the track will have a clean surface. Before we get to the analysis let’s take a look at what it will take to take home the checkered flag this afternoon.
Michigan International Speedway is an even two miles in length which means it will take at least 200 laps for someone to win todays 49th Annual FireKeepers Casino 400. This week’s race will be broken up into three segments with the first two being 60 laps in length with the third and final segment running 80 laps. As always we will attempt try to find that driver that will lead a lot of laps and win the race but sometimes that is easier said than done. This article will use not only this season’s performance but track performance as well as Las Vegas odds to help point us in the right direction in making a winning lineup. Just like any other sport, we must keep an eye on cash selections as well as those drivers who may help us take down a GPP. Ok, enough of the small talk, let’s get down to the business.
Kyle Larson ($10,200) is the favorite for winning this race not only in Las Vegas, but over at DraftKings as well. His price is the highest on the board as he has racked up 9 top 10 finishes out of the 14 races run this season. As luck would have it, the driver of the # 42 Cars 3/ Target Chevrolet has won the pole for today’s race which makes him a 9-2 favorite to take the checkered flag. It also doesn’t hurt that he was no less than seventh fastest in any of the three practice sessions. All of this adds up to Larson being a solid cash game play today.
In terms of this weekend, Martin Truex Jr ($10,000) is not only in the same price tier as Larson, he is also putting up the same kind of numbers as well as he will start on the outside pole when the green flag drops at 3 pm this afternoon. His times in the three practices almost mirror those of Larson as the driver of the # 78 Auto-Owners Insurance Toyota has not finished out of the top seven in any of the three practices this weekend. Truex has only finished in the top 10 four times in his last 10 starts here at Michigan while Larson has garnished a win and three top 10 finishes in his only six starts. By these numbers alone it looks as if that Truex may make the better GPP play here while Larson heads up the cash game rosters.
Kevin Harvick ($9,900) rounds out the top three in terms of highest priced drivers and should be considered here in both cash and GPP formats. The driver of the #4 Jimmy John’s Ford is tied with Joey Logano with eight top 10 finishes in their last 10 starts here at Michigan International Speedway. Harvick will start from the 11th spot while Logano starts two rows ahead him in the seventh position. While we are at it we may as well go full bore and mention Jimmie Johnson ($9,800) here as well. Although the driver of the # 48 Lowe’s Chevrolet will be scored from the 13th position, he will start from the back of the field because of an engine change. This will undoubtedly turn off some fantasy players as the prospect of leading a lot of laps is not good. However because he is starting from the back, that may just be enough to keep his ownership down in GPP play. Roster him as a big risk, big reward type play.
Now that we have gone over the heavy hitters in terms of price, let’s slide down the grid a little bit and see what gems we can find. After a horrendous finish last week Jamie McMurray ($8,200) will try to get back on track as the driver of the # 1 McDonald’s Chevrolet will roll off eighth in this afternoon’s race. McMurray’s eight top 10 finished this season has him in 13th place in the overall standings. More importantly though may be the fact that he had six of those eight top 10 finishes in the eight races prior to last weekend’s debacle so a rebound may be in order here.
Fresh off a nice third place finish last week at Pocono Erik Jones ($8,000) looks to have another strong finish as he currently sits just two spots out of the final playoff spot in 18th place. That was his second top 10 finish in the last three weeks as it looks like the driver of the #77 5-hour Energy Extra Strength Toyota will start from the 14th position when the green flag falls this afternoon. In the last two practices Jones has seemed to have found an extra gear as he turned in the 8th and 5th fastest times respectively over those two sessions.
If we like Jones we may as well go and take a look at Daniel Suarez ($7,500) as he will roll off 20th for the 49th Annual FireKeepers 400. Suarez has had a rough start but has seemed to be learning as he goes. The driver of the # 19 Stanley Toyota finished in sixth place two weeks ago and needs to get a little more consistent if he wants to have a shot at the Championship as he comes into this one 20th in the standings.
Paul Menard ($6,500) is not a safe bet by any means but what he does bring to the table is a bit of consistency here at Michigan. The driver of the # 27 NBCO/Menard’s Chevrolet has not missed a start over the last nine years and will not miss this one either as only 37 cars showed up to qualify for today’s race. Menard has finished in the top 10 five times in his last 10 starts here and could be a point getter today as he starts from the 30th spot on the grid.
That will about put a wrap on another week of Nascar content here at fanvice.com, where you have all of your fantasy needs right at your fingertips. As always, follow me on twitter @elctrceye and good luck in your contests today.