MLB Tournament Thoughts by DraftCheat – 6/16/17

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Now let’s get down to business with some insight from DraftCheat!

 

Tonight on FantasyDraft, we have a glorious $20,000 Home Run with a very manageable $25 entry fee and a 25 entry limit so we will not see the field swamped by anyone one player with deep pockets.  All 30 teams are in action, so we have plenty of pitching choices as well as some very offensively friendly ballparks.  Here are a few of my top plays that I am focusing on for tournaments.

Starting Pitchers

Sean Manaea – OAK vs NYY – $14,400 – While the matchup against the red-hot Yankees is certainly a scary one for the A’s left-hander, talent and a cheap DFS cost win out here in making Manaea my #1 point-per-dollar pitcher on the night.

Despite facing a relatively tough schedule of opponents who put the ball in play, Manaea is boasting a whopping a 15.1% Swinging Strike percentage and recently dominating this same Yankees team in Yankee Stadium. Pitching this time in Oakland, Manaea should have little trouble racking up the strikeouts once again, and if he can avoid the long ball could be in for a big night on the mound.

Aaron Nola – PHI vs ARZ – $12,600  – While the results haven’t quite been there for the Phillies right-hander yet this season, his stuff remain intact and I believe the results should improve soon. Nola features two good fastballs that complement each other, a changeup with excellent fade, and one of the filthiest curveballs in all of MLB. He is at a discounted price point tonight and takes on a Diamondbacks team that is scary in name but has actually been a relatively easy matchup for right-handed pitchers away from Chase Field. Take the discount here and load up on some bats.

 

Infield

Justin Smoak – TOR vs CWS – $8,400 – The Blue Jays’ first baseman has legitimately been one of the best hitter in MLB this season, particularly from the right side of the plate where he has some eye-popping numbers: a minuscule 5.6% K-rate, 11% BB-rate, .277 ISO, and .459 wOBA. Those are all truly elite numbers and while Smoak will face a solid pitcher in Jose Quintana tonight, Smoak’s success against left-handed pitching far overcomes the mediocre matchup when you consider his discounted $8,400 Fantasy Draft Salary.

Matt Carpenter – STL at BAL – $8,700 – Carpenter has been on fire recently and started to hit the ball with authority again, and gets a great matchup tonight against a struggling Kevin Gausman who continues to get hit hard nearly every time he takes the mound. Carpenter will also benefit from a positive park shit moving from Busch Stadium in St. Louis to the friendly confines of Camden Yards. Expect the Cardinals offense to do damage against both Gausman and a depleted Orioles’ bullpen.

 

Outfield

Charlie Blackmon – COL vs SF – $10,500 – I certainly have respect for the pitching ability of Jeff Samardzija, but the fact remains that Blackmon is near unstoppable in Coors Field and the weather is expected to be very nice in Denver tonight – the ball should be flying. Samardzija has not been nearly as effective against left-handed hitters, and with his pitches likely flattening out in the thin air of Coors Field, Blackmon should be able to have a big game once again in his home ballpark. He is worth paying for even at this hefty price tag.

Ben Gamel – SEA at TEX – $8,100 – Assuming he is hitting near the top of the order for the Mariners tonight, Ben Gamel could make for a relatively under-the-radar option in the outfield at just $8,100 on Fantasy Draft.

Gamel has hit very well for the Mariners this season, and brings a bit of pop and speed to the plate against Tyson Ross, making his return from the DL for his first start of the year. Ross struggles against left-handed bats and he REALLY struggles to hold runners on base, and was awful in his minor-league rehab starts. Expect a big game from Gamel and the Mariners in the Arlington heat tonight.

Good luck out there tonight! ~ DraftCheat