LAD at WAS
Rich Hill will take the mound against Max Scherzer in the pivotal Game Five. With the game total sitting at just seven, it’s fair to say this will be a low scoring affair with very few opportunities. If the lefties can get to Scherzer how they did in Game One, the Dodgers might be able to sneak one out in Washington. Guys like Seager, Utley, Gonzalez, and even Turner are all in play on this short slate. Don’t be afraid to pick on Scherzer as he’s been a middle of the road pitcher against lefties. The same cannot be said about Hill, who’s done much better against righties this season. Right-handed bats have hit for a mere .256 wOBA and a .084 ISO on the year and seem to be at a huge disadvantage. If we trust numbers here, the Dodgers have a good shot and coming away with a Game Five victory.
CLE vs TOR
The starting pitching advantage goes to Cleveland in this one who will have Kluber on the mound against Estrada. Although one might think of lefties owning Estrada due to the platoon advantage, that has not been the case this season. With Estrada having one of the best changeups in the league, he’s neutralized lefties to a .265 wOBA this season while inducing a lot of soft contact. Corey Kluber has been just as affective against righties, limiting them to a .267 wOBA and striking them out at about 30%. In what most people think should be a high scoring series, Game One looks like a pitcher’s duel in Cleveland.
I would rather be a fan at this point of the season but if you’re playing DFS this is a great spot to be contrarian. The field should gravitate to the Cleveland game for offense and that might be the wrong move. Take a shot at bats from the Washington game and you’ll naturally be contrarian while also having upside. Hitters from both the Dodgers and Nationals are in play and should come at a lower ownership. Till next time, party animals!