Starting Nine 9/6/17
The data displayed will be from the start of this 2017 season. I like displaying this information on one page so I can see which pitchers have the most strikeout opportunities on a given night. We know strikeouts are huge in MLB DFS and looking at this information as lineups come out help me pinpoint which pitchers have the best matchups. With this info in front of us, here are the pitchers I think are in the best spots tonight.
Carlos Carrasco – The top-tier seems straight forward yet again. This time it’s Carrasco’s turn to face a White Sox team which is amongst league worst in every category. I mentioned yesterday that most of the guys in this projected lineup have a 40% strikeout rate against right-handed pitching. Carrasco has been better on the road for his career and has dominated righties while striking them out 30% of the time. This is another smash spot for this Indians team as they should get run support for Carrasco as well. With Reynaldo Lopez as the opposing pitcher, Carrasco should be pitching with a lead for most of this game. I love Carrasco in all game types tonight and will be on most of my lineups.
Julio Teheran – This one is a bit scary as he is susceptible to lefties and is pitching in one of the best lefty-hitting parks, but Teheran has been good lately. He’s does showcase the strikeout stuff you’d want for DFS, but the lack of hard contact against him recently makes it seem like he’s found his rhythm. This Texas team is a boom or bust matchup for him where he can give up five homeruns or none at all while going the distance. I love his price on DraftKings where he lets me get creative with my bats and I don’t expect him to be owned at all. He makes a risky SP2 option but one that I think can pay off BIG if it works.
Kenta Maeda – EEEEEK! Hopefully Roberts doesn’t derail this train today. I love that Maeda is facing this Arizona team in Dodgers Stadium where he’s been much better and could be without Goldschmidt. We’ve seen some bad lineups out of Arizona lately and if we get one today, Maeda could put up a respectable score even if he goes 85 pitches. Due to his recent struggles, we’re getting Maeda at an $8,000 price tag which is way too cheap for this matchup. He can give up a run or two and still put up a score that can help you take down tournaments. I don’t think I want to pay up completely for bats, so this mid-tier that includes Maeda and Teheran is very appealing. This isn’t a safe option by any means, as Roberts could pull him in the 5th inning, but it’s one where I love the upside he possesses and the expected ownership doesn’t seem high.
Feel free to message me on Twitter (@MLora) with any questions regarding todays slate. I will confirm these plays and more on the Deeper Dive later today. I’ll also be in the premium slack chat answering questions leading up to lock. Till next time, party animals!